Novel-Wedding — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$22

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.2%

Resolved

Trades

551

lifetime

Volume

$1.04K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 05-29 09:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 40% $-20

Politics

2% 0% $-2

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 134 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	3	$20	43	0	+43	open	—	04-27 06:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	4	$20	41	0	+41	open	—	04-27 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$17	22	22	+0	open	—	05-04 10:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	2	$16	13	13	+0	open	—	05-01 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	3	$15	28	0	+28	open	—	04-27 06:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	3	$15	39	0	+39	open	—	04-27 06:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	3	$15	24	0	+24	open	—	04-27 06:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	2	$15	23	0	+23	open	—	04-27 06:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	3	$15	30	0	+30	open	—	04-27 06:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	05-29 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	3	$15	23	0	+23	open	—	04-27 06:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	3	$14	38	38	+0	open	—	05-04 10:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$12	195	0	+195	open	—	04-27 07:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-25 10:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	2	$10	9	9	+0	open	—	05-25 10:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	2	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	04-27 06:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	2	$10	18	0	+18	open	—	04-27 07:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	3	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	05-25 09:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	2	$9	8	8	+0	open	—	05-29 09:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	3	$9	12	12	+0	open	—	05-25 10:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	2	$9	9	9	+0	open	—	05-01 05:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	2	$8	7	7	+0	open	—	05-01 05:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	05-01 07:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	2	$7	8	8	+0	open	—	05-01 06:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	05-01 06:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	2	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	05-01 05:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	4	$7	11	5	+6	open	—	04-27 07:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$7	8	8	+0	open	—	04-30 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	2	$7	7	7	+0	open	—	05-04 10:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	3	$6	6	4	+2	open	—	04-30 12:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-29 09:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	8	51¢	$4	0x635b47…
05-29 09:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x70660c…
05-29 09:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xf743d2…
05-29 09:25:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xf13109…
05-29 09:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x371360…
05-29 09:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xb9d9fc…
05-29 09:00:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0x485360…
05-25 10:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	33¢	$0	0xa49199…
05-25 10:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	11	33¢	$4	0x72bb77…
05-25 10:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xacdff3…
05-25 10:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x120a1b…
05-25 10:25:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xd2f925…
05-25 10:22:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x502158…
05-25 10:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xc946bb…
05-25 10:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	9	56¢	$5	0xe02d63…
05-25 10:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x78a73b…
05-25 09:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0x500129…
05-25 09:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	7	60¢	$4	0x894627…
05-25 09:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xc57564…
05-25 09:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x43b815…
05-25 09:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	4	68¢	$3	0x5692c8…
05-25 09:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x72367a…
05-25 09:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0xdd9265…
05-25 09:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x7e0b8c…
05-25 09:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	4	89¢	$4	0xaa19f0…
05-25 09:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x55b054…
05-25 09:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x5f5773…
05-25 09:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3d6adc…
05-25 09:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xfeb237…
05-25 09:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x87aa0a…
05-25 09:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf1e35a…
05-25 09:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x77a5cd…
05-20 04:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x146d26…
05-20 04:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0x243c66…
05-20 04:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x28fec4…
05-08 02:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xcfa957…
05-08 02:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0x6564dd…
05-08 02:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf760ba…
05-07 11:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	24¢	$1	0xa67f92…
05-07 11:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x781d3e…
05-07 11:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x2448c0…
05-07 11:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x5076ae…
05-07 11:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xb31e33…
05-07 11:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x7d5efc…
05-07 11:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0x81a558…
05-07 11:36:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x76baf1…
05-07 11:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x4aba45…
05-07 11:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0xa023c6…
05-07 11:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x38db9f…
05-07 11:26:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x832e39…
05-07 11:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x4e75f8…
05-07 11:20:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x89fe3e…
05-07 11:19:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	4	96¢	$3	0x53fb51…
05-07 11:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x2cb3de…
05-07 11:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x34681d…
05-07 11:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x104f5b…
05-07 11:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x3409a5…
05-07 11:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x21931f…
05-07 10:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x9fa16a…
05-07 10:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x258123…
05-07 10:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xbf5b4b…
05-07 10:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x0be6cc…
05-07 10:40:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x7926bf…
05-07 10:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x7e988d…
05-07 10:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x1ccc4c…
05-07 10:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x618080…
05-07 10:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	4	84¢	$3	0x83ce2c…
05-07 10:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xf97fe8…
05-07 10:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x0efae7…
05-07 09:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xd571ac…
05-07 09:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0x2ff094…
05-07 09:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x8190ff…
05-07 09:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xaf4af2…
05-07 09:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x0c14ef…
05-07 09:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0xd0b247…
05-07 09:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xb7cde5…
05-07 09:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xaf4696…
05-07 09:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x17455d…
05-07 09:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0x165685…
05-07 09:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x02db33…
05-07 09:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x8b0917…
05-07 09:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x30f31e…
05-07 09:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x132919…
05-07 09:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x80f7c3…
05-07 09:19:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xd95114…
05-07 09:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xc25478…
05-07 09:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0x2f8e88…
05-07 09:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xdfa80f…
05-07 09:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0xeed91e…
05-07 09:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb1b9db…
05-07 09:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xb7ef35…
05-07 08:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf77b64…
05-07 08:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0xaae946…
05-07 08:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe45a56…
05-07 08:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	78¢	$2	0xd4b253…
05-07 08:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xf74abe…
05-07 08:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x1beffd…
05-07 08:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0x3bbf99…
05-07 08:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x513f00…
05-07 08:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa2e2db…