Happy-Hardware — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$29

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

40.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$221

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-05-12

last 05-31 21:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 41% $-29

Politics

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	No		+10	$10	99¢	$10	+$0	05-31 21:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	3	$38	51	14	+37	Up	$-22	05-12 13:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	1	$25	52	0	+52	Down	$-25	05-12 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	1	$25	68	0	+68	Up	+$43	05-12 11:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	1	$25	37	0	+37	Up	+$12	05-12 11:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	1	$25	29	0	+29	Up	$-25	05-12 12:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	3	$11	20	10	+10	Down	+$1	05-12 09:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	2	$10	20	0	+20	Up	+$3	05-12 09:01
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-31 21:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	2	$10	15	0	+15	Down	$-5	05-12 09:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	2	$7	93	0	+93	Down	$-2	05-12 09:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Up	$-5	05-13 12:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	1	$5	25	0	+25	Up	$-5	05-12 10:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Down	+$6	05-12 10:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	1	$5	14	0	+14	Down	$-5	05-13 18:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Down	+$6	05-13 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	$-5	05-12 20:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-12 13:28
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	1	$1	8	0	+8	Down	$-1	05-12 08:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 21:10:26	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1f356e…
05-13 18:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x34bf29…
05-13 12:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x3c5a9f…
05-13 10:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x76895f…
05-12 20:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xc92ac5…
05-12 20:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x785551…
05-12 13:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	14	55¢	$8	0xec7bff…
05-12 13:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x4430a6…
05-12 13:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x6136c8…
05-12 13:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x07242b…
05-12 12:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x491ed4…
05-12 11:51:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0xf311c4…
05-12 11:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0xd596c8…
05-12 10:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x19fd60…
05-12 10:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x35f5dc…
05-12 09:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0xe2ac64…
05-12 09:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xcba37e…
05-12 09:19:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xac3832…
05-12 09:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x17ec05…
05-12 09:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xa7ffa8…
05-12 09:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	88	2¢	$2	0xd9d86f…
05-12 09:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3e52c6…
05-12 09:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x884e02…
05-12 09:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xfc2bd9…
05-12 08:44:15	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xf099af…