Tricky-Euphonium — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$390

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

24.3%

Resolved

Trades

192

lifetime

Volume

$11.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$59

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-11

last 05-22 22:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

49% — —

Politics

42% 0% $-273

Crypto

9% 50% $-117

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	23	$2.0K	2,528	1,956	+572	open	—	05-20 07:25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	2	$840	612	603	+9	open	—	04-24 00:20
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	5	$720	1,800	1,800	+0	open	—	05-04 08:29
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	5	$696	992	428	+564	open	—	04-12 18:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	4	$688	916	733	+183	open	—	05-22 22:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	10	$580	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-04 08:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	6	$541	494	446	+49	open	—	04-29 12:30
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	5	$502	342	342	+0	open	—	04-12 13:23
Will USD reach 2.0M Iranian rials by May 31?	7	$489	299	299	-0	open	—	05-04 14:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	3	$467	430	287	+143	open	—	05-20 19:00
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$343	811	811	+0	No	$-273	05-08 00:52
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	2	$270	150	150	+0	open	—	05-04 10:48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	1	$250	735	0	+735	open	—	04-24 08:08
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	2	$219	187	187	+0	open	—	04-12 13:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	3	$202	1,240	423	+817	open	—	04-24 08:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	5	$194	1,110	0	+1,110	open	—	04-30 06:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	2	$173	5,451	5,237	+214	open	—	04-23 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	5	$164	123	96	+27	open	—	05-02 16:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	2	$160	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-04 08:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	5	$141	290	290	+0	open	—	04-30 13:00
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	2	$135	236	236	+0	open	—	04-12 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	8	$135	138	138	+0	open	—	05-02 17:29
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	2	$133	84	84	+0	open	—	04-12 08:48
will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 21 2026	2	$132	177	177	+0	open	—	04-12 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	1	$100	175	0	+175	Down	$-100	05-08 22:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	2	$89	1,288	1,239	+50	open	—	04-23 20:13
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	2	$78	50	50	+0	open	—	05-07 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	5	$74	80	57	+24	open	—	05-02 17:19
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	2	$73	208	208	+0	open	—	04-23 04:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	2	$59	67	67	+0	open	—	05-02 17:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 22:52:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	183	12¢	$22	0x1cadc9…
05-21 22:39:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,538	1¢	$20	0xf42b24…
05-20 19:05:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x00e6e4…
05-20 19:05:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	BUY	185	27¢	$50	0x544686…
05-20 19:00:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	232	25¢	$58	0x8cd369…
05-20 19:00:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0x2e0c65…
05-20 07:25:23	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	154	44¢	$68	0xd8f536…
05-20 06:46:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	287	58¢	$167	0xad4dc2…
05-09 07:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x5356e8…
05-09 07:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xb90c38…
05-09 07:28:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x3b6b6a…
05-09 07:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x25d385…
05-09 07:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x79d5bb…
05-09 07:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x5daaa3…
05-09 07:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x12c505…
05-09 07:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xb9b4f7…
05-09 07:12:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	9	70¢	$7	0x42f568…
05-09 07:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x8d2cd1…
05-09 07:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x9f8044…
05-09 07:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x986c2e…
05-09 07:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	83	10¢	$8	0x21bab8…
05-09 07:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x685f60…
05-09 07:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x53b3d5…
05-09 07:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa54fad…
05-09 07:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xe8b0be…
05-09 07:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$5	0x11a991…
05-08 23:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xca5fda…
05-08 23:17:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x0dd68d…
05-08 23:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	29	43¢	$13	0x904192…
05-08 23:16:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x7bcb4e…
05-08 23:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xa89a36…
05-08 23:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	16	75¢	$12	0x8381c2…
05-08 23:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	35¢	$5	0xe3859e…
05-08 23:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	54¢	$6	0x6c3726…
05-08 23:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x833bdc…
05-08 23:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0xcf2cf8…
05-08 23:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2f1132…
05-08 23:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	12	78¢	$10	0xac1b89…
05-08 23:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xfd2f4d…
05-08 22:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	16	65¢	$10	0x8075ab…
05-08 22:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x67576b…
05-08 22:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x0cd03a…
05-08 22:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x9aaf26…
05-08 22:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xc12cac…
05-08 22:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xddf0eb…
05-08 22:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	7	81¢	$5	0x86200e…
05-08 22:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xc86e44…
05-08 22:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	11	73¢	$8	0x637ab8…
05-08 22:48:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x24af62…
05-08 22:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0xd08250…
05-08 22:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x1018e2…
05-08 22:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	32	62¢	$20	0xcac5de…
05-08 22:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x3b9317…
05-08 22:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0x9bbc12…
05-08 00:52:01	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	811	4¢	$35	0xbf9fce…
05-07 20:45:36	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	50	79¢	$40	0x5f5dda…
05-06 22:14:48	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0x46100b…
05-04 16:44:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	811	38¢	$308	0x3bd339…
05-04 16:38:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	287	87¢	$250	0xe5fa0d…
05-04 16:37:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x7fa42a…
05-04 15:32:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	750	40¢	$300	0x130178…
05-04 15:28:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	200	42¢	$84	0x2efa2d…
05-04 15:24:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	300	41¢	$123	0x17545f…
05-04 15:12:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	250	44¢	$110	0x43fca9…
05-04 15:04:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	14	54¢	$7	0xf65ffa…
05-04 15:04:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	18	54¢	$10	0xbd99df…
05-04 15:04:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xabd2a5…
05-04 15:04:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	47	54¢	$25	0x6867fd…
05-04 15:03:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	500	54¢	$270	0x2269bf…
05-04 15:01:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	193	52¢	$101	0x777863…
05-04 14:58:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	258	50¢	$129	0x2f4e82…
05-04 14:54:12	Will USD reach 2.0M Iranian rials by May 31?	Yes	SELL	149	80¢	$120	0x6b0b9b…
05-04 14:44:42	Will USD reach 2.0M Iranian rials by May 31?	Yes	SELL	149	83¢	$123	0x7db0bc…
05-04 12:08:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	600	47¢	$282	0x57a8ac…
05-04 12:07:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	47¢	$94	0x9152a0…
05-04 12:06:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x5acb4b…
05-04 12:03:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	101	46¢	$47	0x621dd7…
05-04 11:04:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	21	45¢	$9	0xc2359d…
05-04 10:48:18	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	150	90¢	$135	0x8c981c…
05-04 10:10:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	150	44¢	$66	0xe3ee8b…
05-04 10:10:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0x2a8b0e…
05-04 10:08:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	47	47¢	$22	0xd59b0a…
05-04 10:07:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x501c7d…
05-04 10:07:08	Will USD reach 2.0M Iranian rials by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x4a6687…
05-04 10:06:30	Will USD reach 2.0M Iranian rials by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0x51a9fb…
05-04 10:05:48	Will USD reach 2.0M Iranian rials by May 31?	Yes	BUY	90	83¢	$75	0x56774c…
05-04 09:41:28	Will USD reach 2.0M Iranian rials by May 31?	Yes	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x67e4d0…
05-04 09:38:50	Will USD reach 2.0M Iranian rials by May 31?	Yes	BUY	109	80¢	$87	0xbaac9a…
05-04 09:26:06	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	150	90¢	$135	0x1232fa…
05-04 09:22:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	418	36¢	$150	0x58b69a…
05-04 08:29:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,800	20¢	$360	0x8de3e1…
05-04 08:27:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	1,000	28¢	$280	0xd794d5…
05-04 08:14:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	SELL	1,000	6¢	$60	0x4f2d82…
05-02 18:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x902c35…
05-02 18:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xf55b03…
05-02 18:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xa8a7cc…
05-02 18:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	38	79¢	$30	0x2fce70…
05-02 18:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	38	71¢	$27	0xf54ada…
05-02 17:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	67	44¢	$29	0x5533ea…
05-02 17:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	67	45¢	$30	0x415b20…