Black-Fence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

39.1%

Resolved

Trades

150

lifetime

Volume

$15.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$104

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 05-23 13:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

42% 0% $-20

Other

30% — —

Crypto

27% 43% +$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Reds	10	$2.9K	1,684	1,679	+5	open	—	04-25 03:53
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	5	$1.9K	1,741	1,724	+17	open	—	04-24 15:44
nba phx okc 2026 04 19	2	$1.2K	659	658	+2	open	—	04-19 18:56
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs	2	$1.1K	643	643	+0	open	—	04-28 19:42
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	6	$843	877	728	+150	open	—	04-26 22:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	10	$661	958	1,672	-714	open	—	05-23 13:56
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	5	$635	1,153	440	+713	open	—	04-29 22:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	2	$596	411	411	+0	open	—	04-28 20:37
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in May?	5	$538	641	641	+0	open	—	05-12 12:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2PM ET	13	$436	420	420	+0	open	—	05-04 18:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1PM ET	4	$412	393	393	+0	open	—	05-04 17:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11AM ET	7	$412	392	378	+15	open	—	05-04 15:27
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	2	$370	351	340	+11	open	—	04-26 21:51
bitcoin up or down april 17 2026 9am et	2	$334	200	196	+4	open	—	04-17 13:55
Celtics vs. 76ers	1	$300	435	0	+435	open	—	04-26 23:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	8	$291	295	295	+0	Up	$-7	05-08 17:25
Thunder vs. Suns	1	$250	305	0	+305	open	—	04-27 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	7	$223	196	190	+6	open	—	05-04 17:08
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in May?	3	$206	255	255	+0	open	—	05-12 12:34
Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Nick Szabo as Satoshi?	5	$190	7,666	0	+7,666	open	—	04-21 22:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 April 27-May 3?	2	$189	179	179	+0	open	—	04-28 18:11
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	2	$187	153	153	+0	open	—	04-28 18:11
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	2	$185	2,564	2,564	+0	open	—	04-28 16:45
QQQ (QQQ) Up or Down on April 27?	2	$179	161	159	+2	open	—	04-27 08:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	3	$175	294	144	+150	Down	+$25	05-08 16:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	3	$152	0	300	-300	Up	+$2	05-08 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$150	293	0	+293	Up	$-8	05-08 13:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	2	$145	0	300	-300	Down	$-5	05-08 17:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	3	$111	198	98	+100	Down	+$11	05-08 13:09
Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?	5	$110	237	0	+237	open	—	04-21 19:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-23 13:56:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	179	18¢	$32	0x64a39c…
05-23 13:39:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	536	19¢	$100	0x8606ce…
05-22 21:05:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 18-24?	Yes	SELL	105	16¢	$17	0x703129…
05-22 19:14:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 18-24?	Yes	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0xfa5835…
05-21 23:09:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	132	26¢	$34	0x672d5b…
05-21 22:13:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	106	28¢	$30	0xa6f80b…
05-21 21:25:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	80	24¢	$19	0x1401df…
05-21 21:25:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	319	24¢	$77	0xd689d3…
05-21 21:25:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	426	24¢	$103	0x30fa5f…
05-21 18:25:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	109	32¢	$35	0x793685…
05-21 18:23:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	355	31¢	$110	0x273cf3…
05-21 18:15:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	388	31¢	$120	0x8e0e37…
05-12 12:34:51	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in May?	Yes	SELL	128	29¢	$36	0xc6006e…
05-12 12:27:23	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in May?	Yes	SELL	128	34¢	$43	0x0ee271…
05-12 12:26:43	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in May?	Yes	SELL	240	50¢	$120	0x9f88d1…
05-11 19:38:29	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in May?	Yes	BUY	255	50¢	$127	0x4e4888…
05-10 22:14:25	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in May?	Yes	SELL	80	42¢	$34	0x0ca638…
05-10 22:14:06	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in May?	Yes	SELL	321	42¢	$135	0xce126b…
05-08 19:32:44	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in May?	Yes	BUY	128	39¢	$50	0x4d86b6…
05-08 19:31:31	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in May?	Yes	BUY	513	39¢	$200	0x733e92…
05-08 17:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	150	74¢	$111	0x0518ae…
05-08 17:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	150	23¢	$34	0xaf08ec…
05-08 17:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	75	86¢	$64	0x7e3b75…
05-08 17:37:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	75	84¢	$63	0xf43602…
05-08 17:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	150	16¢	$25	0x50dea4…
05-08 17:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	75	84¢	$63	0xf4654a…
05-08 17:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	75	86¢	$64	0xcb1798…
05-08 17:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	36	9¢	$3	0x639990…
05-08 17:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	36	10¢	$4	0x538678…
05-08 17:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	73	11¢	$8	0xa9a787…
05-08 17:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	131	51¢	$67	0x18c486…
05-08 17:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0xc0b246…
05-08 17:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	150	50¢	$75	0x316e36…
05-08 16:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	144	17¢	$25	0x62c9d8…
05-08 16:15:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	144	52¢	$75	0x50e4de…
05-08 16:15:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	150	50¢	$75	0x023482…
05-08 13:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	142	53¢	$75	0xdf88a6…
05-08 13:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	152	49¢	$75	0xa7497a…
05-08 13:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	98	11¢	$11	0x030a17…
05-08 12:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xc22717…
05-08 12:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x14b42a…
05-04 20:58:58	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xdc0fa1…
05-04 20:52:26	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x979ac3…
05-04 19:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3PM ET	Down	SELL	40	52¢	$21	0xe8d43f…
05-04 19:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	39	35¢	$14	0x1f9c18…
05-04 18:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x966168…
05-04 18:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x445006…
05-04 18:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x62457a…
05-04 18:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0xbf09c7…
05-04 18:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	9	71¢	$6	0xd9408a…
05-04 18:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	17	71¢	$12	0x6d7bee…
05-04 18:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	34	62¢	$21	0xe452aa…
05-04 18:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	23	63¢	$14	0x2e7f50…
05-04 18:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	91	57¢	$52	0xe89dee…
05-04 18:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2PM ET	Up	SELL	109	48¢	$53	0xd58b53…
05-04 17:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2PM ET	Up	SELL	109	45¢	$49	0x992fea…
05-04 17:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x965ca3…
05-04 17:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0x5277a7…
05-04 17:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	21	54¢	$11	0x51a6a8…
05-04 17:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0x2802be…
05-04 17:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	197	84¢	$166	0x4e93be…
05-04 17:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	196	24¢	$46	0x9c3024…
05-04 17:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	99	98¢	$97	0x177622…
05-04 17:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0xfa4e1d…
05-04 17:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	12	23¢	$3	0x6f54d5…
05-04 17:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	24	24¢	$6	0x0e73a5…
05-04 17:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	48	35¢	$17	0xefa185…
05-04 16:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x8d9930…
05-04 16:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	197	51¢	$100	0x1e0e38…
05-04 16:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	97	52¢	$50	0xbb316b…
05-04 16:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	99	51¢	$50	0x9af935…
05-04 16:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xb77dc9…
05-04 16:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x50947c…
05-04 16:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0x158bf0…
05-04 16:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xd657e3…
05-04 15:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xdff8e8…
05-04 15:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7168cb…
05-04 15:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x716808…
05-04 15:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0x704785…
05-04 15:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xe535d0…
05-04 15:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x661d69…
05-04 15:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xea9157…
05-04 15:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	190	83¢	$158	0x3fe4cf…
05-04 15:12:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	12	33¢	$4	0xe893f3…
05-04 15:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	25	32¢	$8	0xdc90f3…
05-04 15:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0x389364…
05-04 15:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	100	28¢	$28	0x9577b6…
05-04 14:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x350bd8…
05-04 14:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x45c52a…
05-04 14:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	15¢	$1	0x321194…
05-04 13:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x585532…
05-04 13:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x2db440…
04-29 22:40:28	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	No	BUY	510	4¢	$21	0xfc4d68…
04-29 21:30:52	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	No	BUY	69	6¢	$4	0xf4377c…
04-29 21:01:02	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	No	BUY	134	6¢	$8	0xb3ef3e…
04-28 20:37:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	No	SELL	411	72¢	$296	0xc568b4…
04-28 20:30:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	No	BUY	411	73¢	$300	0x5e2af9…
04-28 19:56:32	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	No	SELL	440	57¢	$253	0x69bf92…
04-28 19:42:38	Trail Blazers vs. Spurs	Spurs	SELL	643	83¢	$534	0xa80fdd…
04-28 19:40:50	Trail Blazers vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	643	84¢	$540	0x740fa0…