Lumpy-Haunt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.42K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$111

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 05-24 15:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

65% 100% +$0

Politics

19% — —

Other

10% — —

Sports

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 66k on april 13	3	$351	234	117	+117	open	—	04-13 13:18
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	3	$308	207	104	+103	open	—	02-27 04:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?	2	$236	118	118	+0	Yes	+$0	05-08 00:55
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	2	$233	117	117	+0	open	—	05-19 14:23
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	2	$231	116	116	+0	open	—	05-22 07:11
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	2	$214	108	108	+0	open	—	03-15 23:47
Iran leadership change by March 13?	2	$211	107	107	+0	open	—	03-14 09:17
Fabric FDV above $50M one day after launch?	2	$205	103	103	+0	open	—	02-27 23:31
nhl buf tb 2026 02 28	2	$205	111	111	+0	open	—	03-01 01:39
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$204	107	107	+0	open	—	02-28 23:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	1	$118	118	0	+118	Yes	+$0	05-11 01:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 6?	1	$118	118	0	+118	Yes	+$0	05-05 06:27
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	1	$117	118	0	+118	open	—	04-30 14:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 28?	1	$117	118	0	+118	open	—	04-27 13:00
bitcoin above 70k on april 24	1	$117	117	0	+117	open	—	04-23 15:54
bitcoin above 66k on april 20	1	$117	117	0	+117	open	—	04-18 06:48
bitcoin above 66k on april 17	1	$117	117	0	+117	open	—	04-16 04:59
Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$117	117	0	+117	open	—	04-14 04:49
bitcoin above 60k on april 11	1	$117	117	0	+117	open	—	04-10 03:29
bitcoin above 62k on april 8	1	$117	117	0	+117	open	—	04-07 23:51
bitcoin above 62k on april 7	1	$116	117	0	+117	open	—	04-06 07:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	1	$116	116	0	+116	open	—	05-19 14:55
bitcoin above 62k on april 1	1	$116	116	0	+116	open	—	04-01 05:00
Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?	1	$116	116	0	+116	open	—	03-31 05:03
bitcoin above 60k on march 30	1	$116	116	0	+116	open	—	03-30 05:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	1	$116	116	0	+116	open	—	05-24 15:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?	1	$116	0	116	-116	open	—	05-23 14:42
dota2 ty tundra 2026 03 28 game1	1	$112	116	0	+116	open	—	03-28 16:21
bitcoin above 60k on march 27	1	$112	112	0	+112	open	—	03-27 13:40
bitcoin above 66k on march 26	1	$112	112	0	+112	open	—	03-26 13:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 15:45:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x668707…
05-23 14:42:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?	No	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0x9295e3…
05-22 07:11:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	116	99¢	$116	0xba372d…
05-22 05:27:56	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	116	99¢	$116	0xbc213a…
05-19 14:55:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x6c5abe…
05-19 14:23:38	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	No	SELL	117	100¢	$116	0xbbe395…
05-19 13:33:14	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$116	0x0b6544…
05-11 01:44:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x43c8f7…
05-08 00:55:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?	Yes	SELL	118	100¢	$118	0xa592ed…
05-07 00:40:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0xcaca40…
05-05 06:27:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0xb48188…
04-30 14:39:06	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$117	0xdb3f2d…
04-27 13:00:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	118	100¢	$117	0x812eec…
04-23 15:54:02	bitcoin above 70k on april 24	Yes	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x1d0b38…
04-18 06:48:14	bitcoin above 66k on april 20	Yes	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0xa10adb…
04-16 04:59:00	bitcoin above 66k on april 17	Yes	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0xbebe8f…
04-14 04:49:35	Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0xaee406…
04-13 13:18:47	bitcoin above 66k on april 13	Yes	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0xd97c78…
04-13 04:26:51	bitcoin above 66k on april 13	Yes	SELL	117	100¢	$117	0xf21f6f…
04-11 23:52:01	bitcoin above 66k on april 13	Yes	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0xe7f2f6…
04-10 03:29:29	bitcoin above 60k on april 11	Yes	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x4ab593…
04-07 23:51:59	bitcoin above 62k on april 8	Yes	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x6a452d…
04-06 07:54:21	bitcoin above 62k on april 7	Yes	BUY	117	100¢	$116	0x5f9e33…
04-01 05:00:35	bitcoin above 62k on april 1	Yes	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0xa3c328…
03-31 05:03:13	Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0xe8bc70…
03-30 05:10:12	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x57b0d9…
03-28 16:21:11	dota2 ty tundra 2026 03 28 game1	Tundra Esports	BUY	116	97¢	$112	0x1d146d…
03-27 13:40:33	bitcoin above 60k on march 27	Yes	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xe8ebf0…
03-26 13:19:47	bitcoin above 66k on march 26	Yes	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x9518e7…
03-24 11:13:45	bitcoin above 64k on march 25	Yes	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xa4d559…
03-21 07:23:57	bitcoin above 62k on march 22	Yes	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xd72792…
03-20 18:29:27	cbb liub arz 2026 03 20	Arizona Wildcats	BUY	112	100¢	$111	0x208328…
03-20 04:19:17	cbb kenest gnzg 2026 03 19	Gonzaga Bulldogs	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x64d5b8…
03-19 01:00:31	cbb kentst illst 2026 03 18	Illinois State Redbirds	BUY	110	98¢	$108	0xb966d8…
03-18 04:34:03	nhl tb sea 2026 03 17	Lightning	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0xc07d3c…
03-16 02:06:57	bitcoin above 64k on march 17	Yes	BUY	108	99¢	$107	0xfb1cd8…
03-15 23:47:23	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	No	SELL	108	100¢	$107	0x8c86c5…
03-14 09:18:21	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	No	BUY	108	99¢	$106	0x593c86…
03-14 09:17:11	Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	SELL	107	100¢	$106	0x40abe8…
03-12 14:15:55	Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	BUY	107	98¢	$105	0x12aeec…
03-10 05:11:35	bitcoin above 84k on march 11	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x0bd855…
03-09 05:28:15	ethereum above 1600 on march 9	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x552f24…
03-07 12:09:55	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 7th	No	BUY	105	100¢	$104	0x8ae247…
03-06 03:55:11	Opinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x962871…
03-04 01:39:59	bitcoin above 56k on march 5	Yes	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0xbbb5fb…
03-02 14:19:51	bitcoin above 54k on march 3	Yes	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x513b5d…
03-02 02:16:59	will bitcoin dip to 60k february 23 march 1	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0xd1d306…
03-01 01:39:41	nhl buf tb 2026 02 28	Sabres	SELL	111	94¢	$104	0xdde319…
03-01 00:43:49	nhl buf tb 2026 02 28	Sabres	BUY	111	91¢	$101	0x05eb65…
02-28 23:47:29	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	107	94¢	$101	0x45797a…
02-28 22:35:09	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	107	97¢	$103	0x27cd0f…
02-28 03:29:21	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x4ccc47…
02-27 23:31:57	Fabric FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x513d5f…
02-27 10:38:03	Fabric FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x005d66…
02-27 04:13:46	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xfa84b9…
02-26 10:34:28	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	SELL	104	98¢	$103	0x3679ee…
02-26 04:38:24	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	BUY	104	98¢	$103	0x6a7206…
02-25 12:37:24	will the us next strike iran on february 25 2026 et	No	BUY	103	99¢	$102	0x4337a9…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Unripe-Chow 0x1f07…a7c6	44	$6.46K	54	05-24 15:46
Unhealthy-Celebrity 0x9bdf…11f2	43	$6.39K	54	05-24 15:46
Necessary-Synod 0x4757…d752	43	$6.28K	53	05-24 15:45
Stale-Exterior 0xc9fd…92f9	43	$6.25K	54	05-24 15:46
Fluid-Sentencing 0xe089…acdc	43	$6.16K	52	05-24 15:46
Appropriate-Loaf 0x7a59…5bc6	43	$6.11K	53	05-24 15:46
Embarrassed-Minor 0xb439…2410	42	$6.22K	52	05-24 15:47
Thick-Tog 0x46ff…376d	42	$6.16K	51	05-24 15:46