Quiet-Messenger — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$118

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.37K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 05-16 21:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 54% $-118

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	3	$75	693	0	+693	Down	$-1	05-12 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	3	$73	3,286	0	+3,286	Down	$-73	05-12 17:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	2	$60	40	40	+0	open	—	05-15 21:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	2	$50	2,579	0	+2,579	open	—	05-16 00:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	2	$50	347	0	+347	open	—	05-16 01:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$50	1,284	0	+1,284	Up	$-50	05-12 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$50	107	0	+107	Down	$-50	05-12 19:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	2	$50	85	0	+85	open	—	05-15 22:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	2	$50	104	0	+104	open	—	05-16 01:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$50	73	0	+73	Up	+$23	05-12 18:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$30	50	0	+50	Up	+$20	05-12 19:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$25	78	0	+78	Up	$-25	05-12 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	1	$25	51	0	+51	open	—	05-16 01:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	1	$25	44	0	+44	open	—	05-16 13:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	1	$25	56	0	+56	Down	$-25	05-12 19:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	1	$25	50	0	+50	open	—	05-16 01:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	1	$25	76	0	+76	open	—	05-16 01:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	1	$25	68	0	+68	open	—	05-16 02:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	1	$25	89	0	+89	open	—	05-16 13:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$25	48	0	+48	open	—	05-15 21:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$25	54	0	+54	open	—	05-16 00:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	1	$25	54	0	+54	open	—	05-16 01:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	1	$25	64	0	+64	open	—	05-15 23:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$25	35	0	+35	Up	+$10	05-12 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$25	56	0	+56	open	—	05-15 23:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	1	$25	68	0	+68	open	—	05-16 00:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	1	$25	48	0	+48	open	—	05-15 21:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	1	$25	49	0	+49	open	—	05-15 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	1	$25	49	0	+49	open	—	05-15 23:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$25	42	0	+42	open	—	05-16 00:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 21:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x4c1af5…
05-16 21:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xb7d866…
05-16 16:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x1afe9a…
05-16 15:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x6b25b8…
05-16 15:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x805730…
05-16 15:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0x26278d…
05-16 15:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x4efbab…
05-16 13:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x9d8e5a…
05-16 13:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xe6b521…
05-16 13:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0xb4ae64…
05-16 13:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xc66ed9…
05-16 13:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x8aaa74…
05-16 02:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0x171023…
05-16 01:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	191	13¢	$25	0x43afd5…
05-16 01:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	156	16¢	$25	0x692b6e…
05-16 01:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0x8d11c6…
05-16 01:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x39ed37…
05-16 01:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0xabc053…
05-16 01:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x5c9dbc…
05-16 01:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xa8571f…
05-16 01:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xe937ec…
05-16 00:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0xb86d17…
05-16 00:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	79	32¢	$25	0x6b66f9…
05-16 00:25:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x112cff…
05-16 00:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x919043…
05-16 00:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0x318ddd…
05-15 23:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xcb3417…
05-15 23:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x059ba6…
05-15 23:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x1b4afa…
05-15 23:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x535b95…
05-15 23:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xb8a35d…
05-15 22:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x5dc2a3…
05-15 22:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x0d0ca3…
05-15 21:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x36c2ef…
05-15 21:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x63113e…
05-15 21:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0x56bc8f…
05-15 21:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x9f678d…
05-15 21:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x53c7df…
05-15 20:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x3077de…
05-12 20:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1,241	2¢	$25	0xefd238…
05-12 20:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0xee7c8d…
05-12 19:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x73ef65…
05-12 19:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0xf6be9d…
05-12 19:41:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x20b217…
05-12 19:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x0e1041…
05-12 19:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0x5e3e2b…
05-12 19:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0xcfcf75…
05-12 19:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x095691…
05-12 19:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x9c94a3…
05-12 19:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x1efb60…
05-12 18:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0xb6fc30…
05-12 18:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x8ea232…
05-12 18:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0xd76cb1…
05-12 18:26:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x183908…
05-12 18:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x1d4969…
05-12 17:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2,301	1¢	$23	0xd77849…
05-12 17:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	802	3¢	$25	0x83ae27…
05-12 17:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	183	14¢	$25	0x08e4e8…
05-12 16:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	619	4¢	$25	0xa4e071…
05-12 16:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0xe59ba8…
05-12 16:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0xfbfe2b…
05-12 16:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x7d1e48…
05-12 03:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x07c603…
05-12 03:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x6f2d9a…
05-11 19:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xfdf1bf…
05-11 16:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	55	9¢	$5	0x05631f…
05-11 16:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x739c58…
05-11 15:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x358f1a…
05-11 15:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xb81b66…
05-11 15:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x30420b…
05-11 15:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xd4ae08…
05-11 15:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xd4d255…
05-11 15:21:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x4051a3…
05-11 15:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xb345d7…
05-11 15:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x82a4ce…
05-11 13:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x528125…
05-11 13:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xb10b4b…
05-11 13:22:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x3d2aa1…
05-11 13:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x5cf66c…
05-11 13:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x8e9697…
05-11 05:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x9dd108…
05-11 04:52:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x080045…
05-11 04:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xfbf525…
05-11 04:41:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x0349d5…
05-11 04:36:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x71632b…