Baggy-Accordion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$517

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 07-19 20:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

46% 100% +$8

Other

34% 0% $-6

Crypto

20% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 10 16	2	$63	42	42	+0	open	—	02-12 09:50
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	2	$60	100	100	+0	open	—	04-10 17:55
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$35	631	631	+0	open	—	02-12 09:21
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	5	$34	90	57	+33	open	—	04-29 13:38
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	2	$32	20	20	+0	open	—	04-29 08:47
will israel nuke iran by january 31	1	$30	3,333	0	+3,333	open	—	01-14 20:58
will the us strike syria next 492	1	$30	119	0	+119	open	—	01-21 16:37
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	2	$30	20	20	+0	Yes	+$8	05-07 01:10
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	1	$24	40	0	+40	open	—	07-19 20:39
Critical Discord Incident by May 31?	5	$23	30	0	+30	open	—	05-08 19:57
will iran strike israel on march 8	2	$23	200	0	+200	open	—	03-08 12:59
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	1	$23	30	0	+30	open	—	04-10 17:59
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	1	$20	60	0	+60	open	—	03-09 19:59
Steve Bannon exonerated by April 30?	6	$18	150	17	+133	open	—	04-28 14:53
will tisza win at least 90 seats	1	$13	15	0	+15	open	—	04-10 18:01
will pumpfun be accused of insider trading	1	$11	60	0	+60	open	—	02-23 22:43
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?	2	$9	15	7	+8	open	—	04-23 08:11
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?	2	$7	7	14	-7	open	—	04-23 10:58
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	1	$7	30	0	+30	open	—	07-10 15:31
will binance be accused of insider trading	3	$6	100	0	+100	open	—	02-23 22:44
Will Reform UK win at least 2200 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	1	$6	80	0	+80	No	$-6	05-06 11:13
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?	1	$5	50	0	+50	open	—	05-06 22:02
abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by july 31 2026 20260709234123316	1	$4	100	0	+100	open	—	07-13 09:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	1	$3	70	0	+70	open	—	05-04 15:43
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	1	$1	340	0	+340	open	—	05-30 14:53
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	1	$1	100	0	+100	open	—	05-30 14:53
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	2	$1	40	0	+40	open	—	06-04 14:05
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?	1	$0	0	21	-21	open	—	04-23 10:58
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?	1	$0	0	21	-21	open	—	04-23 10:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 20:39:36	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0xdb4546…
07-13 09:25:07	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by july 31 2026 20260709234123316	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x892ab5…
07-10 15:31:50	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	30	22¢	$7	0x09820a…
06-04 14:05:03	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x2f13e7…
06-04 13:08:03	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	37	2¢	$1	0x8ad3e1…
05-30 14:53:53	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7a0b6a…
05-30 14:53:11	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	340	0¢	$1	0x2d874c…
05-08 19:57:56	Critical Discord Incident by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x3678a0…
05-08 19:57:23	Critical Discord Incident by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xf19800…
05-08 19:57:23	Critical Discord Incident by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xde3027…
05-08 19:57:23	Critical Discord Incident by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xc3fb34…
05-08 19:56:52	Critical Discord Incident by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0xef2ee5…
05-07 01:10:02	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xaeee44…
05-06 22:02:49	Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x8f8aad…
05-06 11:13:56	Will Reform UK win at least 2200 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	80	7¢	$6	0xaa396a…
05-04 15:43:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	70	4¢	$3	0x5e311c…
04-29 13:38:28	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x296b05…
04-29 08:47:52	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x548b70…
04-28 14:53:34	Steve Bannon exonerated by April 30?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x826903…
04-28 10:38:12	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0xca7faa…
04-28 10:34:38	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	31	16¢	$5	0xe28627…
04-28 10:28:08	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0xb11bf0…
04-28 09:52:02	Steve Bannon exonerated by April 30?	Yes	SELL	15	7¢	$1	0x3087c6…
04-28 09:20:18	Steve Bannon exonerated by April 30?	Yes	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0x093e84…
04-23 10:58:34	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0xe0c3ce…
04-23 10:58:20	Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0x79d406…
04-23 10:57:52	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0x097969…
04-23 08:11:06	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?	No	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x33d847…
04-22 08:08:42	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?	Yes	SELL	7	58¢	$4	0xf584b9…
04-20 16:53:44	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x09b31e…
04-20 09:49:28	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xcf7855…
04-15 22:14:42	Steve Bannon exonerated by April 30?	Yes	BUY	74	14¢	$10	0x947643…
04-15 12:13:16	Steve Bannon exonerated by April 30?	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x34bfb3…
04-14 14:16:07	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x117ea5…
04-14 14:12:29	Steve Bannon exonerated by April 30?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x3460d8…
04-14 09:20:49	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	60	36¢	$22	0x34107a…
04-10 18:01:15	will tisza win at least 90 seats	Yes	BUY	15	84¢	$13	0x60cfbc…
04-10 17:59:17	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0x3da13b…
04-10 17:55:21	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	SELL	100	56¢	$56	0x177163…
04-01 19:49:07	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x322589…
03-09 19:59:41	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	Yes	BUY	60	34¢	$20	0x77eedc…
03-08 12:59:09	will iran strike israel on march 8	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xc580ae…
03-08 11:21:31	will iran strike israel on march 8	No	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0x0eda42…
02-23 22:44:00	will binance be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	49	6¢	$3	0xfc07b5…
02-23 22:43:08	will pumpfun be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	60	18¢	$11	0x8becd2…
02-23 22:42:56	will binance be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xcd6acd…
02-23 22:42:12	will binance be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xaa35b5…
02-12 09:50:55	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 10 16	No	SELL	42	80¢	$33	0x4df23f…
02-12 09:21:25	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	631	5¢	$30	0xa1cfb8…
02-10 15:03:31	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 10 16	No	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0xc071a1…
01-30 14:22:20	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	631	1¢	$5	0xb109f6…
01-21 16:37:28	will the us strike syria next 492	Yes	BUY	119	25¢	$30	0x111b82…
01-14 20:58:40	will israel nuke iran by january 31	Yes	BUY	3,333	1¢	$30	0x639d83…