Aged-Carving — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

70.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$347

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-20

last 06-24 09:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 43% $-4

Other

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	Yes		-9	$-1	9¢	$-1	+$0	06-24 09:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	5	$29	41	22	+19	open	—	04-27 20:08
btc updown 5m 1776801900	4	$27	19	18	+1	open	—	04-21 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	5	$25	36	22	+14	open	—	04-27 20:23
btc updown 5m 1776707100	2	$24	20	19	+1	open	—	04-20 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	4	$21	32	13	+19	open	—	04-27 20:13
btc updown 5m 1776707400	3	$20	35	14	+21	open	—	04-20 17:52
btc updown 5m 1776706800	2	$18	14	13	+1	open	—	04-20 17:45
btc updown 5m 1776801300	3	$16	24	16	+8	open	—	04-21 19:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	5	$16	15	15	+0	open	—	05-24 01:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	4	$13	23	9	+14	open	—	04-28 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	3	$12	17	16	+1	open	—	04-27 20:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	4	$11	20	8	+12	open	—	04-28 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	5	$11	26	18	+8	Up	+$3	05-12 11:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	3	$10	18	7	+11	open	—	04-27 19:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$10	17	0	+17	open	—	04-28 18:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	4	$8	10	10	+0	open	—	04-28 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$7	23	0	+23	open	—	04-28 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	2	$7	17	0	+17	open	—	04-27 20:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$7	8	8	+0	open	—	04-28 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	1	$5	19	0	+19	open	—	04-28 18:25
btc updown 5m 1776801600	1	$5	14	0	+14	open	—	04-21 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-25 01:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 11:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Down	$-5	05-12 12:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	3	$4	6	3	+3	Up	+$0	05-05 08:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	4	$4	13	2	+10	open	—	04-29 19:45
Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?	1	$3	12	0	+12	open	—	04-30 13:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	05-24 01:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$2	18	0	+18	open	—	04-28 18:23
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Up	$-2	05-05 11:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-24 09:26:23	Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	9	10¢	$1	0x9be561…
06-22 17:20:28	btc updown 5m 1782148800	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x9817b0…
05-25 01:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x8237ea…
05-24 01:19:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	9	77¢	$7	0x8c683b…
05-24 01:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xa75d14…
05-24 01:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x168d79…
05-24 01:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	6	40¢	$2	0x9a36d9…
05-24 01:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xbc2968…
05-24 01:11:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x34d075…
05-24 01:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x39d045…
05-24 01:07:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xfe6c36…
05-12 12:41:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	41¢	$5	0x3f3056…
05-12 12:36:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xb191ca…
05-12 12:34:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6b1719…
05-12 11:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x496722…
05-12 11:36:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x51d71b…
05-12 11:34:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0xf3ba9f…
05-12 11:34:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x5d9c54…
05-12 11:33:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0xf2dcd8…
05-12 11:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x5f9a7b…
05-12 11:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x048aee…
05-05 11:55:36	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x0fa0ee…
05-05 08:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x3e0c8f…
05-05 08:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	78¢	$2	0xc75501…
05-05 08:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x081c1e…
04-30 13:18:50	Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x42ce84…
04-29 19:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xc545dd…
04-29 19:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xad8f37…
04-29 19:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	26¢	$1	0x36d1a4…
04-29 19:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x2cda89…
04-29 19:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xbf353c…
04-29 19:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa2f7df…
04-29 10:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x166696…
04-28 18:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xcf1247…
04-28 18:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xc79ddf…
04-28 18:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	9	35¢	$3	0xca1ed2…
04-28 18:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xc645a3…
04-28 18:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xae7592…
04-28 18:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x2eb7ba…
04-28 18:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x093308…
04-28 18:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x57c9bf…
04-28 18:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	8	27¢	$2	0xb7181d…
04-28 18:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x5c117f…
04-28 18:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x84cf62…
04-28 18:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xc533ec…
04-28 18:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xc73aa4…
04-28 18:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xe8f1b8…
04-28 17:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	8	51¢	$4	0xe359a8…
04-28 17:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x79db8d…
04-28 16:33:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x3dfce3…
04-28 16:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	38¢	$3	0x74ea41…
04-28 16:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0x79ef8f…
04-28 16:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xa5c3a8…
04-28 16:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xa93b58…
04-27 20:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x78dc95…
04-27 20:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0x717fa3…
04-27 20:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xb2a672…
04-27 20:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0xcb646a…
04-27 20:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x70aba0…
04-27 20:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x69e9ef…
04-27 20:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x74d497…
04-27 20:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x97f4ab…
04-27 20:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	13	66¢	$9	0x014704…
04-27 20:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x8b70b2…
04-27 20:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xff4824…
04-27 20:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xe60552…
04-27 20:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	11	84¢	$9	0x9a036f…
04-27 20:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	11	73¢	$8	0xc15aae…
04-27 20:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x576317…
04-27 20:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xe1b26e…
04-27 20:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	16	52¢	$8	0x821e43…
04-27 20:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x91fc45…
04-27 20:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x86f3f4…
04-27 19:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xc45b56…
04-27 19:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	48¢	$3	0x4f2e19…
04-27 19:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x0badce…
04-21 20:10:10	btc updown 5m 1776801900	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x032536…
04-21 20:08:44	btc updown 5m 1776801900	Down	SELL	8	93¢	$7	0x55d751…
04-21 20:06:26	btc updown 5m 1776801900	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xa19894…
04-21 20:05:44	btc updown 5m 1776801900	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xaf760d…
04-21 20:00:42	btc updown 5m 1776801600	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xcf6ac4…
04-21 19:57:52	btc updown 5m 1776801300	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xf16614…
04-21 19:57:10	btc updown 5m 1776801300	Down	SELL	16	40¢	$6	0x29f737…
04-21 19:55:32	btc updown 5m 1776801300	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xb482ff…
04-21 19:53:12	btc updown 5m 1776801000	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xe80554…
04-20 17:52:46	btc updown 5m 1776707400	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xb68226…
04-20 17:52:04	btc updown 5m 1776707400	Down	SELL	14	68¢	$10	0xe57514…
04-20 17:51:08	btc updown 5m 1776707400	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xc9cb8f…
04-20 17:49:58	btc updown 5m 1776707100	Up	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xd0980e…
04-20 17:45:58	btc updown 5m 1776707100	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x391882…
04-20 17:45:30	btc updown 5m 1776706800	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xdc7951…
04-20 17:41:04	btc updown 5m 1776706800	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xa07e39…
04-20 17:38:38	btc updown 5m 1776706500	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xc858de…