Rude-Circadian — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

+$36

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$230

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$73

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 06-19 07:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

75% — —

Sports

15% 0% $-3

Crypto

6% 0% $-1

Politics

4% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	-160	$-106	43¢	$-69	+$37	06-18 07:50
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?	No	+108	$3	3¢	$3	$-1	06-11 09:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	+20	$2	6¢	$1	$-1	06-19 07:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	2	$106	0	160	-160	open	—	06-18 07:50
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	1	$40	159	0	+159	open	—	04-20 09:22
Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	1	$15	67	0	+67	open	—	04-20 09:21
will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	1	$5	16	0	+16	open	—	06-18 09:50
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$5	15	0	+15	open	—	04-24 17:45
Spurs vs. Thunder	1	$5	15	0	+15	open	—	05-18 13:24
btc updown 5m 1781679900	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	06-17 07:09
will joo pedro score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	2	$4	188	188	+0	open	—	06-09 08:09
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?	1	$3	108	0	+108	open	—	06-11 09:11
will australia reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120748	1	$3	15	0	+15	open	—	06-08 12:20
will sweden reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120758	1	$3	12	0	+12	open	—	06-08 12:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	05-22 13:15
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?	1	$3	14	0	+14	open	—	05-06 12:15
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	2	$3	11	11	+0	open	—	05-20 10:27
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	1	$2	105	0	+105	open	—	04-21 07:14
Thunder vs. Suns	1	$2	10	0	+10	open	—	04-25 20:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$2	20	0	+20	open	—	06-19 07:12
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?	1	$2	4	0	+4	No	$-2	05-06 07:18
btc updown 5m 1777031400	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	04-24 11:50
will austria reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120772	1	$2	7	0	+7	open	—	06-08 12:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Up	$-1	05-07 09:34
Rockets vs. Lakers	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-29 19:12
btc updown 5m 1777030200	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	04-24 11:33
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 7, 2026?	1	$1	17	0	+17	Yes	$-1	05-07 09:04
Lakers vs. Rockets	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	04-30 20:39
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	1	$1	7	0	+7	open	—	05-22 11:21
eth updown 5m 1777013400	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	04-24 06:52
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs M80 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A	1	$1	8	0	+8	open	—	05-20 10:43
Lakers vs. Thunder	1	$1	7	0	+7	Thunder	$-1	05-05 12:01
btc updown 5m 1777015200	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-24 07:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-19 07:12:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x9649f4…
06-18 09:50:11	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x0bc4cb…
06-18 07:50:34	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	120	80¢	$96	0x3957e2…
06-17 07:09:02	btc updown 5m 1781679900	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x5e37da…
06-11 09:11:18	Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?	No	BUY	108	3¢	$3	0xf006cf…
06-09 08:09:15	will joo pedro score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	188	1¢	$1	0x346f88…
06-09 08:04:13	will joo pedro score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	188	2¢	$3	0x4bd84b…
06-08 12:21:04	will sweden reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120758	Yes	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x042678…
06-08 12:20:22	will australia reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120748	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xca6035…
06-08 12:17:54	will austria reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120772	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x50fff3…
06-05 07:20:10	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	40	27¢	$11	0x2694f4…
05-22 13:15:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x98c1ee…
05-22 11:21:01	LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	KT Rolster	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x5bed8d…
05-20 10:43:36	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs M80 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A	M80	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x4af927…
05-20 10:41:00	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B	TheMongolz	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xae4e26…
05-20 10:27:44	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	SELL	11	14¢	$2	0x491872…
05-19 07:35:15	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xd14020…
05-18 13:24:21	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xc8d8a8…
05-07 09:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf5d279…
05-07 09:04:31	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 7, 2026?	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x31a78d…
05-06 12:15:30	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?	No	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x48cb3b…
05-06 07:18:26	Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xeeaae9…
05-05 12:01:28	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x1d8fc1…
04-30 20:39:34	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x54c759…
04-29 19:12:04	Rockets vs. Lakers	Rockets	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x52f870…
04-25 20:23:16	Thunder vs. Suns	Suns	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xee91d4…
04-24 17:45:26	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x144a8b…
04-24 11:50:20	btc updown 5m 1777031400	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xe7dd33…
04-24 11:33:40	btc updown 5m 1777030200	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x6671c8…
04-24 07:26:42	btc updown 5m 1777015500	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x01c3e7…
04-24 07:22:44	btc updown 5m 1777015200	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x2936e0…
04-24 07:19:28	btc updown 5m 1777014900	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x63cdd7…
04-24 06:52:58	eth updown 5m 1777013400	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x598205…
04-24 06:44:30	btc updown 5m 1777012800	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x954b17…
04-21 07:14:14	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	105	2¢	$2	0xdc0c6b…
04-20 09:22:02	Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	No	BUY	159	25¢	$40	0x53c6f9…
04-20 09:21:34	Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	67	22¢	$15	0x92c239…