Large-Luggage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

12.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.49K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$79

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 05-13 12:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

82% — —

Politics

11% — —

Sports

5% 0% $-0

Crypto

1% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$1.4K	687	687	+0	open	—	03-06 14:58
will gold gc hit high 7000 by end of february 271 168 354 381 713	2	$954	478	478	+0	open	—	02-23 06:38
bank of japan increases interest rates by 50 bps after march 2026 meeting	2	$771	387	387	+0	open	—	03-06 14:50
will the us next strike iran on march 15 2026 et	2	$261	132	132	+0	open	—	02-23 06:38
Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?	2	$180	90	90	+0	open	—	01-05 15:27
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$159	87	80	+7	open	—	01-14 06:00
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$136	70	70	+0	No	$-0	03-06 14:50
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	4	$127	64	64	+0	open	—	03-06 14:58
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	2	$89	45	45	+0	open	—	02-23 06:35
bank of japan decreases interest rates after january 2026 meeting	4	$70	35	35	+0	open	—	01-19 07:10
Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$52	26	26	+0	open	—	01-14 05:44
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 115	2	$48	24	24	+0	open	—	01-05 15:16
no change in bank of japans interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$47	24	24	+0	open	—	01-05 15:23
will penac win the most seats in the 2026 costa rican legislative assembly election	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	01-05 15:24
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	02-23 06:45
microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	01-05 15:09
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	03-27 09:06
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$18	9	9	+0	open	—	04-22 10:03
bitcoin above 64k on march 23	2	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	03-23 13:07
will illinois win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	03-31 12:58
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 220 239	2	$13	7	7	+0	open	—	03-06 14:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	2	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	04-11 01:30
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 460 479	1	$9	9	0	+9	open	—	03-23 13:08
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 320 339	1	$8	9	0	+9	open	—	03-10 13:01
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 260 279	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	02-06 13:13
will ethereum dip to 1800 in january 2026 971	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	01-31 15:21
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-13 12:32
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-13 11:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-13 11:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-07 10:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 12:32:55	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd827b7…
05-13 11:54:51	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0b6c2f…
05-13 11:49:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa49767…
05-07 11:33:47	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8559ff…
05-07 10:03:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xfdf2b5…
04-22 10:03:44	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xb3268e…
04-22 09:49:58	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x55e01b…
04-11 01:30:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xbc5b22…
04-11 01:24:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x245e16…
03-31 12:58:15	will illinois win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	8	83¢	$7	0xa396fd…
03-31 12:51:43	will illinois win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0x74726b…
03-27 09:06:05	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0x3b1668…
03-27 07:24:37	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0x0aa896…
03-23 13:08:53	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 460 479	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x728744…
03-23 13:07:39	bitcoin above 64k on march 23	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x0f8308…
03-23 08:43:47	bitcoin above 64k on march 23	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2f66c9…
03-10 13:01:45	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 320 339	No	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0x7a6be5…
03-06 14:58:15	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	No	SELL	48	99¢	$47	0x5e3f0e…
03-06 14:58:01	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	687	100¢	$685	0x784a2c…
03-06 14:53:11	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	No	BUY	48	99¢	$48	0x738898…
03-06 14:52:57	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	687	100¢	$686	0x409e0b…
03-06 14:52:01	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 220 239	No	SELL	7	81¢	$6	0x083577…
03-06 14:50:49	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	70	97¢	$68	0x3ee250…
03-06 14:50:39	bank of japan increases interest rates by 50 bps after march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	387	100¢	$385	0x80fb8c…
03-06 14:34:39	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	70	97¢	$68	0x9507b9…
03-06 14:33:49	bank of japan increases interest rates by 50 bps after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	387	100¢	$385	0x5d7721…
03-06 14:02:15	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 220 239	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x680927…
02-23 06:45:34	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xe6debf…
02-23 06:38:58	will the us next strike iran on march 15 2026 et	No	SELL	132	99¢	$131	0xcce301…
02-23 06:38:42	will gold gc hit high 7000 by end of february 271 168 354 381 713	No	SELL	478	100¢	$477	0xe48246…
02-23 06:35:52	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	No	SELL	45	99¢	$44	0x169e8f…
02-23 05:51:28	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	No	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0xedd6ca…
02-23 05:51:08	will gold gc hit high 7000 by end of february 271 168 354 381 713	No	BUY	478	100¢	$477	0x870ffa…
02-23 05:50:28	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xc3c770…
02-23 05:50:10	will the us next strike iran on march 15 2026 et	No	BUY	132	99¢	$131	0xf899b5…
02-06 13:13:29	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 260 279	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x116c05…
01-31 15:21:30	will ethereum dip to 1800 in january 2026 971	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x78e189…
01-19 07:10:26	bank of japan decreases interest rates after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xf9c163…
01-19 06:56:52	bank of japan decreases interest rates after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7fc01e…
01-14 06:00:28	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	80	96¢	$76	0x6a6ae5…
01-14 06:00:28	bank of japan decreases interest rates after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x221a9f…
01-14 05:47:24	bank of japan decreases interest rates after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xea32e2…
01-14 05:47:02	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	87	96¢	$83	0x1b9bb5…
01-14 05:46:10	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xc48148…
01-14 05:44:22	Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x103db2…
01-14 04:11:58	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x209061…
01-14 04:11:48	Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x80e143…
01-05 15:27:11	Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0xef8699…
01-05 15:24:47	Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xe02e68…
01-05 15:24:01	will penac win the most seats in the 2026 costa rican legislative assembly election	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x8a728f…
01-05 15:23:49	no change in bank of japans interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	24	98¢	$24	0x710974…
01-05 15:16:53	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 115	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x458c08…
01-05 15:11:57	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 115	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x439821…
01-05 15:10:55	will penac win the most seats in the 2026 costa rican legislative assembly election	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xf23360…
01-05 15:10:43	no change in bank of japans interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0x9e14fc…
01-05 15:09:55	microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xe0f40b…
01-05 15:00:57	microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xbb94d1…