Realized P&L
+$56
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
80.3%
Resolved
190
Trades
2,043
lifetime
Volume
$25.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$160
10 positions
First seen
2026-04-02
last 06-12 08:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Other
67% 79% +$58
Sports
27% 66% +$3
Politics
6% 67% $-5
Crypto
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 115 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +72 $26 40¢ $28 +$3 06-01 07:32
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +31 $26 80¢ $25 $-1 06-08 01:39
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +19 $17 94¢ $18 +$0 06-01 16:14
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No +17 $16 99¢ $17 +$0 06-06 22:23
Xi Jinping out by June 30? No +16 $16 99¢ $16 +$0 06-11 15:53
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +17 $16 93¢ $16 +$0 06-04 03:00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +14 $13 96¢ $13 +$0 06-10 20:35
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? Yes +11 $11 100¢ $11 +$0 06-04 22:45
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? Yes +11 $11 99¢ $11 +$0 06-10 21:33
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 06-11 13:58