Instructive-Countess — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$189

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

33.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$523

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 06-07 07:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 22% $-189

Other

3% — —

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	2	$125	176	0	+176	Down	$-85	05-07 12:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	2	$77	68	68	+0	Up	+$27	05-07 06:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	2	$61	45	45	+0	Up	+$11	05-07 06:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	3	$60	403	0	+403	Up	$-60	05-09 12:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	1	$25	100	0	+100	Down	$-25	05-08 01:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	1	$25	47	0	+47	Up	$-25	05-07 06:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	1	$25	58	0	+58	Up	$-25	05-09 12:11
btc updown 5m 1780818300	2	$16	22	22	+0	open	—	06-07 07:47
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	1	$15	60	0	+60	open	—	05-08 05:10
Trump out as President by May 31?	1	$10	1,098	0	+1,098	open	—	05-07 11:55
btc updown 5m 1780818600	1	$10	25	0	+25	open	—	06-07 07:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	1	$10	34	0	+34	Down	+$24	05-09 12:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	2	$10	667	0	+667	Up	$-10	05-10 02:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	1	$5	146	0	+146	Up	$-5	05-07 06:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Up	$-5	05-10 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	1	$5	100	0	+100	Down	$-5	05-07 06:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	$-5	05-09 11:57
btc updown 5m 1780818000	1	$5	71	0	+71	open	—	06-07 07:43
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$5	98	0	+98	open	—	05-14 08:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Up	$-5	05-09 12:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	1	$5	28	0	+28	open	—	05-14 10:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	1	$5	18	0	+18	Down	+$13	05-09 13:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	1	$5	39	0	+39	Up	$-5	05-09 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	1	$3	23	0	+23	Up	$-3	05-09 12:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	1	$2	20	0	+20	Up	$-2	05-09 12:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 07:50:46	btc updown 5m 1780818600	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x1cc699…
06-07 07:47:39	btc updown 5m 1780818300	Up	SELL	22	49¢	$11	0x49d7e3…
06-07 07:46:22	btc updown 5m 1780818300	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x8d13f4…
06-07 07:43:45	btc updown 5m 1780818000	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x67a815…
05-14 10:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x46db91…
05-14 08:12:07	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	98	5¢	$5	0xa6b388…
05-10 05:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x670450…
05-10 02:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x61439c…
05-10 02:37:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xf9c9eb…
05-09 13:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x933f08…
05-09 12:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x508dde…
05-09 12:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	77	6¢	$5	0x1e14fe…
05-09 12:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0x1313f7…
05-09 12:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x6ac5d6…
05-09 12:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	23	12¢	$3	0xe7fbd6…
05-09 12:19:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	39	13¢	$5	0xcf297f…
05-09 12:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x1b6998…
05-09 12:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x724b13…
05-09 12:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xfb8f01…
05-09 11:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xe45169…
05-08 05:10:58	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0x1457ae…
05-08 01:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x53c776…
05-07 12:33:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	136	74¢	$100	0x4ce9b1…
05-07 12:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x2d4ee8…
05-07 11:55:03	Trump out as President by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,098	1¢	$10	0xe2407f…
05-07 06:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	68	77¢	$52	0x158b63…
05-07 06:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0x15ff28…
05-07 06:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x32f234…
05-07 06:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x6908c8…
05-07 06:38:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	45	80¢	$36	0x462329…
05-07 06:36:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x3f20d1…
05-07 06:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	146	3¢	$5	0x61a9d3…