Busy-War — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.4%

Resolved

Trades

368

lifetime

Volume

$1.46K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 06-01 21:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 52% $-4

Other

12% — —

Sports

1% 0% $-7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 105 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in seattle on april 17 2026 56 57f	3	$47	83	80	+3	open	—	04-17 23:17
highest temperature in seattle on april 16 2026 54 55f	3	$42	33	32	+1	open	—	04-17 01:09
highest temperature in seattle on april 17 2026 58 59f	2	$37	255	244	+11	open	—	04-18 00:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	1	$25	49	0	+49	open	—	05-01 03:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	1	$25	49	0	+49	open	—	05-01 03:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	1	$25	57	0	+57	open	—	05-01 03:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	1	$25	52	0	+52	open	—	05-01 03:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$25	68	0	+68	open	—	05-01 22:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	1	$25	45	0	+45	open	—	05-01 03:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	5	$25	29	20	+9	open	—	04-30 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	5	$23	23	16	+7	open	—	05-01 21:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	5	$21	42	15	+27	open	—	05-01 06:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	4	$20	36	0	+36	open	—	05-01 03:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	5	$19	28	17	+11	open	—	05-01 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	5	$18	24	12	+13	open	—	05-01 06:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	8	$17	23	23	+0	Up	+$2	05-05 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	3	$17	21	14	+8	open	—	05-02 23:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	3	$17	18	8	+10	open	—	05-01 19:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	3	$16	79	7	+71	open	—	05-03 02:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	2	$16	12	12	+0	Up	+$6	05-05 02:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	2	$16	12	12	+0	open	—	05-02 23:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	4	$16	21	21	+0	open	—	05-01 21:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	2	$15	11	11	+0	open	—	06-01 03:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	3	$15	37	5	+31	open	—	05-02 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	2	$15	12	12	+0	open	—	05-02 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	2	$15	12	12	+0	open	—	05-01 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	05-01 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	2	$14	11	11	+0	open	—	05-01 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	Up	+$4	05-05 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	5	$14	12	12	+0	Down	+$2	05-06 00:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 21:17:57	Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Priscilla Hon	Priscilla Hon	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x80d300…
06-01 04:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf553dc…
06-01 04:51:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x10a521…
06-01 04:49:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x474d73…
06-01 04:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xe38a86…
06-01 04:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x9db7f3…
06-01 04:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xc44a97…
06-01 04:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xadaa48…
06-01 04:22:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x5f4f13…
06-01 04:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x39e07e…
06-01 04:18:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x699cfc…
06-01 04:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x3b2b00…
06-01 04:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x96e0c7…
06-01 03:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xc873f7…
06-01 03:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x333f9f…
06-01 03:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0x1da8af…
06-01 03:39:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2b3608…
06-01 03:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xecb121…
06-01 03:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xa8316d…
06-01 03:23:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	11	85¢	$9	0x3b1636…
06-01 03:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0xa05bf2…
06-01 03:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	12	58¢	$7	0xb1b480…
06-01 03:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xd52480…
06-01 03:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xcc5f25…
06-01 03:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x2e7942…
06-01 03:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0xca9572…
06-01 03:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x20906d…
06-01 03:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xf2375e…
06-01 02:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	67¢	$2	0x82cd40…
06-01 02:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x7953d6…
06-01 02:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	86¢	$3	0xb159aa…
06-01 02:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x258659…
06-01 02:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$2	0x4e1d4b…
06-01 02:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x8b3820…
06-01 02:52:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xf3c9d5…
06-01 02:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xedd8dd…
06-01 02:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	SELL	7	87¢	$6	0xbad337…
06-01 02:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x2dc46c…
06-01 02:46:52	Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Priscilla Hon	Priscilla Hon	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x3c524a…
06-01 02:43:52	Roland Garros Juniors, Girls: Maia Ilinca Burcescu vs Thea Frodin	Thea Frodin	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x94f753…
06-01 02:43:33	Roland Garros Juniors, Girls: Adelina Lachinova vs Victoria Barros	Adelina Lachinova	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5368fa…
06-01 01:02:12	Roland Garros Juniors, Boys: Damir Zhalgasbay vs Yannick Alexandrescou	Damir Zhalgasbay	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1580b4…
06-01 00:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x496748…
06-01 00:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x342295…
06-01 00:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0xc34170…
05-30 23:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xe3aafa…
05-30 23:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x72d4ad…
05-30 10:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xfc1de2…
05-30 10:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x45eb52…
05-30 09:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x9ded3d…
05-30 09:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xfe2728…
05-30 09:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe433d4…
05-30 09:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x903518…
05-30 09:21:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x2d356d…
05-30 09:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf9888e…
05-30 08:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xfb7e16…
05-30 08:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xac83ae…
05-30 08:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x58abf7…
05-30 08:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xf5017d…
05-30 08:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x61728b…
05-30 08:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x14e33e…
05-30 08:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x47365c…
05-30 08:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc75441…
05-30 08:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x54f68b…
05-30 08:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x47f558…
05-30 01:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5412a5…
05-30 01:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xe4b779…
05-30 01:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x43b5b0…
05-30 01:06:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0xf3f16e…
05-12 21:51:40	Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5	Under	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x81f7f6…
05-12 21:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x6c7415…
05-12 21:13:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	14¢	$0	0x5bf066…
05-12 21:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xdfbb4a…
05-12 21:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x3ee7b1…
05-12 21:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x2a4172…
05-12 21:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	51¢	$1	0x355ab1…
05-12 21:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xf890c3…
05-12 20:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xd2c759…
05-12 20:55:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x855d0d…
05-12 20:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x10c677…
05-12 20:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0xe465a5…
05-12 20:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x6106e9…
05-12 20:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x8b1c21…
05-12 20:46:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x22d033…
05-12 20:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xad47fa…
05-12 20:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x565461…
05-12 20:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xdf738b…
05-12 20:04:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x35b759…
05-12 19:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xdecd8b…
05-12 19:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe1311b…
05-12 19:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x217c60…
05-12 19:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x9d3f04…
05-12 17:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xb59f53…
05-06 03:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x457192…
05-06 03:26:42	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x5cc67b…
05-06 03:25:28	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x675adf…
05-06 03:24:42	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x6b941a…
05-06 03:24:20	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xe4ebb6…
05-06 03:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0x7e330e…
05-06 03:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xfa5f35…