Oddball-Pollution — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.87K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$121

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 05-25 04:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

64% — —

Crypto

36% 89% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will jay kelly win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$1.2K	621	621	+0	open	—	01-06 05:02
will mistral have the third best ai model at the end of january 2026	2	$1.2K	621	621	+0	open	—	01-06 04:29
will ethereum dip to 1000 in january 2026 651	2	$1.2K	604	604	+0	open	—	01-06 05:31
eth updown 15m 1767675600	2	$71	36	36	+0	open	—	01-06 05:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	2	$26	13	13	+0	open	—	05-18 02:20
eth updown 15m 1773906300	2	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	03-19 08:01
bitcoin up or down on march 19 2026	1	$14	97	0	+97	open	—	03-19 07:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 09:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	2	$7	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 09:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	2	$6	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 06:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 10:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	1	$3	3	0	+3	Down	+$0	05-12 09:48
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	1	$3	3	0	+3	Up	$-3	05-13 06:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	1	$3	3	0	+3	Down	+$0	05-12 08:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	1	$3	3	0	+3	Down	+$0	05-12 02:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	1	$3	3	0	+3	Up	+$0	05-12 02:52
btc updown 15m 1767674700	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	01-06 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-18 03:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-18 02:38
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-25 03:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-25 04:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 04:51:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9d6ac2…
05-25 03:13:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x6ab267…
05-18 03:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6a3a45…
05-18 02:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc36dfc…
05-18 02:20:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x870cb9…
05-18 02:19:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x5a811d…
05-13 06:24:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x5a8116…
05-13 06:14:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x0294a1…
05-13 06:07:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x2edd51…
05-12 09:48:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x366bf6…
05-12 08:55:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x7896e9…
05-12 02:52:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xb67a70…
05-12 02:37:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xd1d773…
05-11 10:00:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x50e17b…
05-11 09:59:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x6a4fe6…
05-11 09:45:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x388994…
05-11 09:39:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0xca3005…
05-11 09:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xfa4da4…
05-11 08:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9dbc12…
03-19 08:01:03	eth updown 15m 1773906300	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xd8cd9f…
03-19 07:59:11	eth updown 15m 1773906300	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xb52754…
03-19 07:52:59	bitcoin up or down on march 19 2026	Up	BUY	97	15¢	$14	0xf75599…
01-06 05:31:13	will ethereum dip to 1000 in january 2026 651	No	SELL	604	100¢	$602	0x2f6b9e…
01-06 05:15:25	eth updown 15m 1767675600	Up	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0x8817fb…
01-06 05:12:49	eth updown 15m 1767675600	Up	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0xa71a3a…
01-06 05:06:09	will ethereum dip to 1000 in january 2026 651	No	BUY	604	100¢	$603	0x8bc332…
01-06 05:02:03	will jay kelly win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	621	100¢	$619	0x20181f…
01-06 04:59:25	btc updown 15m 1767674700	Down	SELL	3	47¢	$2	0x207786…
01-06 04:55:59	btc updown 15m 1767674700	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x2ad57c…
01-06 04:33:07	will jay kelly win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	621	100¢	$620	0x102385…
01-06 04:29:43	will mistral have the third best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	SELL	621	100¢	$619	0x406c6d…
01-06 04:01:55	will mistral have the third best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	621	100¢	$620	0xb149d4…