Definitive-Defense — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.3%

Resolved

Trades

164

lifetime

Volume

$274

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 05-08 22:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 64% $-5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 146 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	4	$21	18	18	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 06:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	7	$14	12	11	+1	Up	+$0	05-07 12:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	4	$13	16	16	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 06:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$13	9	9	+0	Down	+$2	05-07 08:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	5	$12	9	9	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 21:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	4	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 12:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	3	$10	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 17:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	2	$9	9	9	+0	Up	$-1	05-07 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	4	$7	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 03:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	6	$7	7	3	+3	Down	$-0	05-07 12:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	6	$6	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 12:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	4	$6	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 05:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	4	$6	5	5	+0	Up	$-0	05-07 04:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$6	0	8	-8	Down	$-3	05-07 13:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	4	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 09:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	5	$5	4	3	+1	Down	$-1	05-07 08:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	3	$5	6	3	+2	Down	$-1	05-07 12:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	3	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 06:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Down	+$3	05-07 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	4	$5	10	2	+8	Down	$-3	05-08 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	5	$4	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 12:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 06:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	4	$4	4	1	+3	Up	+$1	05-07 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 06:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	3	$3	5	1	+4	Down	$-1	05-08 21:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	3	$3	2	1	+1	Up	$-1	05-07 05:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	3	$3	3	2	+2	Up	$-1	05-07 08:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	3	$3	8	0	+8	Down	$-3	05-08 22:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 04:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 22:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xd3e6f7…
05-08 22:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x54f12e…
05-08 22:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x8fa9df…
05-08 22:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1b21ac…
05-08 22:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xee386e…
05-08 22:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xba17d6…
05-08 22:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0xc121cd…
05-08 22:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x030817…
05-08 21:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf7a51a…
05-08 21:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x462f6a…
05-08 21:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x56298b…
05-08 21:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0xcc25a3…
05-08 21:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x02affd…
05-08 21:41:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x576e2b…
05-08 21:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x3351cf…
05-08 21:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xc1ee85…
05-08 09:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	74¢	$2	0xbc5287…
05-08 09:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x32f666…
05-07 17:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	87¢	$3	0x166a3a…
05-07 17:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0x89a01c…
05-07 17:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x183aba…
05-07 13:41:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0xcfa5f3…
05-07 13:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	61¢	$3	0xb277ac…
05-07 12:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x3ea9e3…
05-07 12:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xcb61ad…
05-07 12:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0x0de6cd…
05-07 12:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xceb1b9…
05-07 12:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x61407b…
05-07 12:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x1e092f…
05-07 12:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xcb7e39…
05-07 12:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x29ec2b…
05-07 12:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x4a9d95…
05-07 12:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xeb6319…
05-07 12:36:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0xec6d0b…
05-07 12:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0xf90730…
05-07 12:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x7ee5ef…
05-07 12:34:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	8	81¢	$6	0x7e05ec…
05-07 12:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	69¢	$5	0x1d045b…
05-07 12:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xcf3fd8…
05-07 12:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf17267…
05-07 12:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xd1c25a…
05-07 12:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x287aed…
05-07 12:26:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x245fe8…
05-07 12:25:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x6958b8…
05-07 12:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0x86d937…
05-07 12:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x99219f…
05-07 12:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x120a78…
05-07 12:17:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xed5931…
05-07 12:16:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x311342…
05-07 12:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xf3b9ed…
05-07 12:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x931109…
05-07 12:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x31ab2d…
05-07 12:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x54c299…
05-07 12:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2d34bc…
05-07 12:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0xca74dd…
05-07 12:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xd469f3…
05-07 12:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x6df398…
05-07 12:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xbf3a9f…
05-07 11:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x9466c5…
05-07 11:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x4df1f6…
05-07 09:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd7be87…
05-07 09:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x181efe…
05-07 09:40:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x324fa7…
05-07 09:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x170e5c…
05-07 09:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x9ebe73…
05-07 09:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xe20454…
05-07 09:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0xfc8219…
05-07 09:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0xcc4876…
05-07 09:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xa88e35…
05-07 09:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x17ecda…
05-07 09:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x9a35d1…
05-07 09:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x4bc00e…
05-07 09:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	9	48¢	$4	0xb1beae…
05-07 09:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x107db6…
05-07 09:06:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x2c8045…
05-07 09:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x645aa9…
05-07 08:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	9	85¢	$7	0xc7e754…
05-07 08:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	63¢	$6	0x0e3385…
05-07 08:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x01e758…
05-07 08:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x4d7a48…
05-07 08:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x6d9e1b…
05-07 08:31:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xc656fa…
05-07 08:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x0c360e…
05-07 08:27:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xf8ffd1…
05-07 08:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0xbd05f7…
05-07 08:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x242430…
05-07 08:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x5d0164…
05-07 08:22:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xc137e6…
05-07 07:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x6b276b…
05-07 06:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xbba419…
05-07 06:26:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x0ac1a7…
05-07 06:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	15	40¢	$6	0xac9c29…
05-07 06:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x46fdb1…
05-07 06:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x25cc80…
05-07 06:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x88bb43…
05-07 06:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	SELL	12	46¢	$6	0x1e771c…
05-07 06:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x323f92…
05-07 06:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xc3f8f5…
05-07 06:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x31309f…
05-07 06:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x982df4…