Legitimate-Mug — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

62.7%

Resolved

Trades

103

lifetime

Volume

$834

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$11

1 position

First seen

2026-04-28

last 06-07 01:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 50% +$10

Sports

23% 0% $-23

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes		+100	$10	11¢	$11	+$1	06-07 01:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	2	$83	43	43	+0	open	—	05-01 01:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	2	$55	44	44	+0	open	—	04-29 04:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	3	$42	32	32	+0	open	—	05-03 08:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	5	$42	31	31	+0	Up	+$12	05-07 01:45
nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	2	$37	27	27	+0	open	—	06-04 03:15
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes	2	$34	24	24	+0	open	—	06-03 03:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	2	$30	191	0	+191	open	—	05-03 08:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	3	$28	20	20	+0	open	—	05-26 18:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	2	$26	21	21	+0	open	—	04-29 01:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	3	$26	17	16	+0	open	—	05-03 21:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	2	$26	21	21	+0	open	—	04-29 21:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	2	$24	19	19	+0	open	—	05-03 21:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	2	$22	17	17	+0	open	—	04-28 20:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	4	$21	13	13	+0	open	—	05-01 01:10
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	1	$20	59	0	+59	open	—	05-23 03:44
Canadiens vs. Sabres	1	$20	41	0	+41	open	—	05-18 18:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	1	$20	29	0	+29	open	—	04-30 07:18
Canadiens vs. Sabres	3	$20	51	0	+51	Sabres	$-20	05-06 23:27
btc updown 5m 1780796100	2	$18	14	14	+0	open	—	06-07 01:40
Canadiens vs. Lightning	2	$17	12	12	+0	open	—	04-30 01:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	3	$13	12	7	+5	open	—	05-18 18:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	4	$13	21	6	+15	open	—	05-18 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	2	$11	87	0	+87	open	—	04-30 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-04 17:45
Trump out as President before 2027?	1	$10	100	0	+100	open	—	06-07 01:34
nhl las car 2026 06 04	1	$10	25	0	+25	open	—	06-04 23:38
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	1	$10	23	0	+23	open	—	05-26 02:00
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Oilers	1	$10	29	0	+29	open	—	04-29 21:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	2	$10	56	0	+56	open	—	05-03 08:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	2	$10	18	0	+18	open	—	05-01 01:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 01:40:58	btc updown 5m 1780796400	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x888b2b…
06-07 01:40:07	btc updown 5m 1780796100	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$13	0x74f48b…
06-07 01:35:52	btc updown 5m 1780796100	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x628b75…
06-07 01:34:55	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xc76116…
06-04 23:38:43	nhl las car 2026 06 04	Golden Knights	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x04b7c9…
06-04 03:15:54	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	Knicks	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xbb9f6c…
06-04 00:41:52	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	Knicks	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x7f73bd…
06-03 03:01:21	Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes	Golden Knights	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0xd2aed4…
06-01 17:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x0d7bc9…
06-01 17:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xef3d82…
06-01 17:26:34	Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes	Golden Knights	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xcd3b43…
06-01 17:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x2dbf8a…
06-01 14:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x4e470a…
06-01 14:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x2ff45b…
06-01 14:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x8aa7ba…
06-01 14:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x2e3616…
05-27 00:20:17	Avalanche vs. Golden Knights	Avalanche	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x14a868…
05-27 00:20:03	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x30a7f3…
05-26 18:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x260b2a…
05-26 18:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x45e371…
05-26 18:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x71d0b7…
05-26 18:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x7c29ea…
05-26 17:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xde40a7…
05-26 02:00:21	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x436b77…
05-24 16:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2654f6…
05-24 16:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xd44b91…
05-23 03:44:52	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0xff80a5…
05-20 19:34:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x3b4c68…
05-20 19:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	23	26¢	$6	0xf611a4…
05-20 17:25:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x7ed46b…
05-19 04:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xec1d2a…
05-18 18:36:02	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x7e977e…
05-18 18:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xd89918…
05-18 18:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xde9483…
05-18 18:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x5b8e75…
05-18 18:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xea6b41…
05-18 18:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x043837…
05-18 18:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xd731e6…
05-18 18:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x56dc7d…
05-18 18:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x8b5dd3…
05-09 02:32:55	Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Ducks	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x9c9d84…
05-07 01:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x25ffd9…
05-07 01:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xcd14e7…
05-07 01:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa1e6ed…
05-07 01:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x47881e…
05-07 01:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x735749…
05-07 01:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xbd7388…
05-07 01:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	8	51¢	$4	0x989105…
05-07 01:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x39df0f…
05-07 01:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x0b4561…
05-06 23:27:11	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x1614d1…
05-06 23:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x647553…
05-06 23:01:58	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x921424…
05-04 17:47:24	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x02e1e5…
05-04 17:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x8a8394…
05-04 17:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb0acd2…
05-03 21:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x8d47ce…
05-03 21:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x68d9bd…
05-03 21:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xe16ed0…
05-03 21:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xb95e39…
05-03 21:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x38053e…
05-03 21:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x38f2ba…
05-03 21:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x71b88d…
05-03 08:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x7d5ffa…
05-03 08:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	128	16¢	$20	0xa0cea9…
05-03 08:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	39	13¢	$5	0x017815…
05-03 08:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xf91660…
05-03 08:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0x0a8fd4…
05-03 08:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x2fe23e…
05-03 08:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x658ab0…
05-01 01:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0x64f6a5…
05-01 01:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0x6fcbbc…
05-01 01:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x0690f2…
05-01 01:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x52f616…
05-01 01:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x10b62c…
05-01 01:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x7ea7fb…
05-01 01:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	7	78¢	$5	0x30496c…
05-01 01:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x3b0e20…
04-30 22:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x88785a…
04-30 22:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xa6b071…
04-30 07:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0xcb802a…
04-30 07:13:54	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xe3d233…
04-30 06:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x2ce6b3…
04-30 01:48:42	Canadiens vs. Lightning	Canadiens	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xbb6c3f…
04-29 21:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x8941ea…
04-29 21:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x12f2fd…
04-29 21:03:20	NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Oilers	Oilers	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x3cdc1f…
04-29 21:01:42	Canadiens vs. Lightning	Canadiens	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xe5abec…
04-29 17:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xeb9c98…
04-29 17:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xef07cf…
04-29 17:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x16448b…
04-29 16:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x7cf924…
04-29 16:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xaf030a…
04-29 04:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0x2a9e1c…
04-29 04:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	44	25¢	$11	0xe2af7e…
04-29 01:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$20	0x5d93e1…
04-29 01:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	21	29¢	$6	0x8e8e4d…
04-29 00:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x5b33d2…
04-29 00:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xe6351f…
04-29 00:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x9fa374…