Timely-Flung — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.12K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$8.21K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$93

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 06-02 16:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

43% 57% $-822

Other

26% — —

Sports

18% 25% $-304

Politics

12% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	2	$1.0K	505	505	+0	No	+$4	05-09 07:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	2	$998	518	518	+0	open	—	05-09 07:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$600	1,102	0	+1,102	Up	$-600	05-13 22:20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	2	$497	275	275	+0	open	—	05-09 07:06
Hurricanes vs. Flyers	4	$476	934	378	+556	Hurricanes	$-204	05-09 22:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	8	$466	269	269	+0	Down	+$66	05-09 07:09
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	5	$461	232	232	+0	open	—	05-09 20:47
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	2	$430	233	233	+0	Down	+$30	05-09 07:15
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	2	$274	145	145	+0	open	—	05-03 18:43
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 8?	1	$250	251	0	+251	No	+$1	05-08 20:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$217	128	128	+0	open	—	05-03 17:40
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	2	$216	150	150	+0	open	—	05-09 20:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	14	$206	113	113	+0	open	—	05-03 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$200	482	0	+482	Down	$-200	05-13 22:15
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	2	$200	526	526	+0	Sean Strickland	+$0	05-09 20:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	4	$161	112	112	+0	Down	+$61	05-09 16:50
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	2	$155	169	169	+0	open	—	05-03 17:55
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	3	$135	167	167	+0	open	—	05-03 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	2	$125	250	0	+250	Up	$-125	05-12 20:14
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	3	$115	17,143	0	+17,143	open	—	06-02 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$100	58	58	+0	Up	+$11	05-13 22:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$100	218	0	+218	open	—	05-03 18:44
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	1	$100	219	0	+219	Los Angeles Dodgers	$-100	05-09 03:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	1	$100	156	0	+156	open	—	05-03 19:24
Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 8?	1	$100	101	0	+101	No	+$1	05-08 20:36
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins	2	$95	61	61	+0	open	—	05-03 18:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$75	117	0	+117	Down	+$42	05-08 21:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	2	$65	41	41	+0	open	—	05-03 18:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	1	$50	106	0	+106	Up	$-50	05-05 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$50	57	0	+57	Down	+$7	05-08 20:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 16:34:47	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,000	1¢	$30	0x1b8631…
06-02 15:46:47	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,000	1¢	$35	0x987a70…
06-02 15:38:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7,143	1¢	$50	0xc54847…
05-24 10:58:30	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 24, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x9ef6c1…
05-24 10:57:55	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 24, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0x4c5d36…
05-24 10:57:34	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 24, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	47	54¢	$25	0xfa3d62…
05-13 22:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1,102	54¢	$600	0x170162…
05-13 22:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	482	41¢	$200	0x0cfff0…
05-13 22:12:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	58	96¢	$56	0x369ea2…
05-13 22:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	58	77¢	$45	0x938c16…
05-12 20:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x46757b…
05-12 20:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x5b5ef5…
05-09 22:11:25	Hurricanes vs. Flyers	Flyers	BUY	556	36¢	$200	0x00ea55…
05-09 20:48:55	Avalanche vs. Wild	Wild	SELL	44	44¢	$20	0x8bbfc7…
05-09 20:48:37	Hurricanes vs. Flyers	Flyers	SELL	378	36¢	$136	0xc2c596…
05-09 20:48:21	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	SELL	526	19¢	$100	0x4e7a16…
05-09 20:48:02	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	150	71¢	$106	0xe8d90d…
05-09 20:47:55	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	SELL	232	99¢	$230	0xcbf3b4…
05-09 20:41:02	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	150	73¢	$110	0x7d988d…
05-09 19:03:07	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	65	99¢	$64	0xa539b1…
05-09 18:54:50	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$80	0x384779…
05-09 18:47:24	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	81	99¢	$81	0x899ae0…
05-09 18:35:37	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xd76b61…
05-09 18:24:57	Hurricanes vs. Flyers	Flyers	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0x37927c…
05-09 18:24:27	Hurricanes vs. Flyers	Flyers	BUY	108	37¢	$40	0xa1a021…
05-09 18:24:04	Avalanche vs. Wild	Wild	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0xe55991…
05-09 17:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2,179	1¢	$20	0xd391bf…
05-09 16:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	58	99¢	$57	0x48df82…
05-09 16:49:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf4dde4…
05-09 16:49:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	49	99¢	$49	0x9d1f6e…
05-09 16:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	112	45¢	$50	0x884443…
05-09 16:45:15	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	526	19¢	$100	0xf84034…
05-09 07:15:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	505	100¢	$504	0xf64236…
05-09 07:15:03	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	233	99¢	$230	0xd093a5…
05-09 07:13:39	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	233	86¢	$200	0xe5a019…
05-09 07:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	SELL	59	99¢	$59	0xf48b63…
05-09 07:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x98372a…
05-09 07:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	SELL	163	99¢	$162	0x573a58…
05-09 07:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x4f8e57…
05-09 07:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x38c599…
05-09 07:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x293539…
05-09 07:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x0bee6e…
05-09 07:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	269	74¢	$200	0xa7b600…
05-09 07:06:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	275	90¢	$247	0x49d31d…
05-09 07:06:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	518	96¢	$498	0x41924c…
05-09 03:35:55	Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Atlanta Braves	BUY	219	46¢	$100	0x924cfa…
05-08 21:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	117	64¢	$75	0x8bada8…
05-08 20:41:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	275	91¢	$250	0x2d5692…
05-08 20:41:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	518	97¢	$500	0xfdef7d…
05-08 20:39:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	505	99¢	$500	0xc87857…
05-08 20:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0xd62129…
05-08 20:36:58	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x9025d2…
05-08 20:36:32	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	251	100¢	$250	0x2fe3ab…
05-05 21:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0xb3003b…
05-05 20:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	81	57¢	$46	0x7e2df0…
05-03 19:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	29	58¢	$17	0xc93ad4…
05-03 19:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x8efff6…
05-03 19:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0xd97f95…
05-03 19:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0xf470e7…
05-03 18:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd928da…
05-03 18:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbe0b18…
05-03 18:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x97fc93…
05-03 18:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x95887d…
05-03 18:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x55f0dd…
05-03 18:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x11824c…
05-03 18:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe2ea6d…
05-03 18:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	68	99¢	$67	0xcfa414…
05-03 18:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa6ff55…
05-03 18:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x95f594…
05-03 18:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x2a808b…
05-03 18:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0xbc1d35…
05-03 18:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	71	85¢	$60	0x5a26c7…
05-03 18:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	33	80¢	$26	0x83a588…
05-03 18:46:14	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	SELL	61	90¢	$55	0x104563…
05-03 18:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	218	46¢	$100	0x55d681…
05-03 18:43:20	Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	145	100¢	$145	0x39e875…
05-03 18:00:28	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	BUY	61	66¢	$40	0x1ce106…
05-03 18:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	41	99¢	$41	0xab82de…
05-03 17:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	41	58¢	$24	0x2b9712…
05-03 17:55:20	Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	169	15¢	$25	0x937fcc…
05-03 17:40:58	Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	145	89¢	$129	0x026436…
05-03 17:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	128	99¢	$127	0x2762e7…
05-03 17:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	128	70¢	$90	0x854a72…
05-03 17:19:42	Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	82	21¢	$17	0xa436ee…
05-03 17:19:06	Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	85	21¢	$18	0x52e542…
05-03 17:16:36	Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	169	77¢	$130	0x20e51f…
05-03 15:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xa8d748…
05-03 15:31:46	Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0xe671da…