Measly-Alder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.6%

Resolved

Trades

230

lifetime

Volume

$273

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 05-07 00:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 51% $-10

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	4	$19	15	15	+0	Down	+$7	05-06 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8PM ET	1	$7	15	0	+15	Down	$-7	05-07 00:03
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	1	$6	9	0	+9	open	—	05-04 01:26
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Down	+$4	05-05 09:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	5	$5	7	4	+3	open	—	05-03 05:41
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	2	$4	9	0	+9	Down	$-4	05-06 10:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7PM ET	4	$4	5	2	+4	Up	$-2	05-06 23:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 14:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	05-04 00:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-02 05:16
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	3	$3	4	2	+2	open	—	05-03 05:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-02 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 22:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	3	$3	3	1	+2	open	—	05-03 05:37
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-02 01:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-02 02:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-03 07:07
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 12:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 08:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-02 13:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 08:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-03 10:38
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-04 03:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-04 00:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-04 03:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Up	$-2	05-05 06:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	2	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-03 22:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	Down	$-2	05-06 09:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	2	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-04 02:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 00:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x36be4b…
05-06 23:42:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x77849b…
05-06 23:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xd2b91d…
05-06 23:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x44350a…
05-06 23:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xd7460b…
05-06 23:01:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xb09855…
05-06 22:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x294792…
05-06 22:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x5b6a07…
05-06 22:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xb26faf…
05-06 22:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x522dca…
05-06 22:17:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x714b6c…
05-06 22:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xae2bef…
05-06 21:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xcd1a88…
05-06 21:53:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xdba9d6…
05-06 14:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x3f57e3…
05-06 14:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xfa7018…
05-06 13:48:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x60cdbc…
05-06 13:30:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x35e3ff…
05-06 13:23:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xa53007…
05-06 12:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xe357e9…
05-06 12:43:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0xb4a376…
05-06 12:31:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x7b49a8…
05-06 12:16:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xa276ad…
05-06 12:02:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xcd8236…
05-06 11:58:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x68f583…
05-06 11:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x4052de…
05-06 10:47:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xa91a12…
05-06 10:44:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	77¢	$3	0xc260ef…
05-06 10:42:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x129492…
05-06 10:41:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0x0ab7c3…
05-06 10:30:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x687cf5…
05-06 10:16:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x837abc…
05-06 09:55:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x202793…
05-06 09:35:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x78d8a2…
05-06 09:35:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xcc074d…
05-06 09:35:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x76126a…
05-06 09:34:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe94f06…
05-06 09:18:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xaf53e3…
05-06 09:00:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x7641ea…
05-06 08:43:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0c2d06…
05-06 08:41:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf449ba…
05-06 08:34:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2dcb1e…
05-06 08:28:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x276ee6…
05-06 08:17:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x4418bb…
05-06 08:03:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x7c5717…
05-06 08:01:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xbcf402…
05-06 07:47:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x202e6f…
05-06 05:56:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc92211…
05-06 05:12:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x8c8199…
05-06 05:11:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x090fa9…
05-06 03:48:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x167c2a…
05-06 03:36:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xff7431…
05-05 15:28:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$2	0xca594e…
05-05 15:23:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x3e683b…
05-05 15:06:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x84217a…
05-05 14:39:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x6571f1…
05-05 14:33:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x816ab7…
05-05 14:17:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe9be40…
05-05 14:04:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x25b22c…
05-05 09:43:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xed2cf2…
05-05 09:32:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x748877…
05-05 09:23:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xe96129…
05-05 09:02:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xa8174f…
05-05 07:01:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xd36e7b…
05-05 06:43:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x6865c0…
05-05 06:28:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x930daa…
05-05 06:15:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x38dd24…
05-05 06:04:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xc1198b…
05-05 05:15:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xd27cc8…
05-05 03:15:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x8f4ce4…
05-05 03:10:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xaf4e1c…
05-04 10:49:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x887470…
05-04 10:15:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x708cbd…
05-04 08:54:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x2c54a8…
05-04 07:38:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x2db511…
05-04 06:14:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x504df1…
05-04 06:01:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x87ba1e…
05-04 05:31:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x37bae6…
05-04 05:31:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xf75dbe…
05-04 05:15:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x46279e…
05-04 05:06:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x13ecdf…
05-04 03:49:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x125f5f…
05-04 03:45:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xb00e31…
05-04 03:40:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xe174d3…
05-04 03:35:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa4dd83…
05-04 03:04:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0edfd7…
05-04 03:03:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x513564…
05-04 03:03:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x63c3cb…
05-04 03:03:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb94cbc…
05-04 02:59:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x9c3e07…
05-04 02:50:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x5c7698…
05-04 02:50:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x2b2a7b…
05-04 02:47:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x1f55fb…
05-04 01:26:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0xefa9c8…
05-04 01:20:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x0d54f7…
05-04 01:13:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x2f8235…
05-04 00:54:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x1b1677…
05-04 00:35:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xb59e9f…
05-04 00:31:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x006dd0…
05-04 00:25:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x6ebc45…