Untidy-Math — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.15K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$61

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-07 03:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 100% +$0

Other

30% — —

Politics

14% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 74k on february 10	1	$116	116	+116	open	—	02-10 10:02
bitcoin above 90k on january 30	1	$116	116	+116	open	—	01-30 07:45
bitcoin above 98k on january 7	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	01-07 06:29
bitcoin above 84k on january 2	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	01-02 06:46
elon musk of tweets january 12 january 14 0 39	1	$75	75	+75	open	—	01-12 09:31
will canada strike iran by march 31	1	$65	65	+65	open	—	03-30 09:10
bitcoin above 76k on march 4	1	$61	61	+61	open	—	03-04 01:50
will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	1	$61	61	+61	open	—	02-28 09:19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	1	$60	60	+60	Yes	+$0	05-11 08:34
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 340 359	1	$60	60	+60	open	—	04-07 03:33
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$60	60	+60	open	—	04-29 08:45
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 460 479	1	$60	60	+60	open	—	03-09 06:39
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 21	1	$60	60	+60	open	—	04-21 02:32
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	1	$60	60	+60	open	—	04-26 01:45
military action against iran ends on march 25 2026	1	$60	60	+60	open	—	03-25 07:32
will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on april 15	1	$60	60	+60	open	—	04-15 03:51
military action against iran ends on march 19 2026	1	$60	60	+60	open	—	03-18 02:30
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 7 2026	1	$60	60	+60	open	—	06-07 03:38
bitcoin above 56k on june 7 2026	1	$58	58	+58	open	—	06-07 03:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?	1	$57	58	+58	open	—	05-17 08:39
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$57	57	+57	open	—	04-26 01:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	1	$57	57	+57	open	—	04-29 08:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	1	$57	57	+57	open	—	05-14 03:30
ethereum above 2100 on april 21	1	$57	57	+57	open	—	04-21 02:33
elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 240plus	1	$57	57	+57	open	—	04-15 03:51
bitcoin above 60k on april 7	1	$57	57	+57	open	—	04-07 03:33
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 200 219	1	$56	57	+57	open	—	03-25 07:33
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 440 459	1	$56	56	+56	open	—	03-18 02:31
will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on march 9	1	$56	56	+56	open	—	03-09 06:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 9?	1	$55	55	+55	No	+$0	05-08 06:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 03:38:36	bitcoin above 56k on june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0xdb71e6…
06-07 03:38:19	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 7 2026	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xb3fc6e…
05-17 08:39:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	58	100¢	$57	0x2234d4…
05-14 03:30:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x0b67b9…
05-11 08:34:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x7c6ac6…
05-08 06:26:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x7ac2ad…
04-29 08:45:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0xaa4940…
04-29 08:45:32	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x13a1b8…
04-26 01:45:58	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x209d78…
04-26 01:45:18	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xfa963a…
04-21 02:33:12	ethereum above 2100 on april 21	Yes	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x69d99b…
04-21 02:32:22	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 21	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xfb9f43…
04-15 03:51:38	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 240plus	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x7c57da…
04-15 03:51:22	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on april 15	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x2d476a…
04-07 03:33:41	bitcoin above 60k on april 7	Yes	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x4a9dea…
04-07 03:33:29	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 340 359	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xf0737d…
03-30 09:10:40	ethereum above 1800 on march 30	Yes	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x0a5f82…
03-30 09:10:28	will canada strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x3f9b11…
03-25 07:33:31	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 200 219	No	BUY	57	100¢	$56	0x690041…
03-25 07:32:37	military action against iran ends on march 25 2026	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x54da17…
03-18 02:31:15	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 440 459	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x7bea72…
03-18 02:30:59	military action against iran ends on march 19 2026	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x490c3d…
03-09 06:39:33	will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on march 9	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0xe60fc5…
03-09 06:39:21	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 460 479	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x0427df…
03-04 01:50:35	bitcoin above 76k on march 4	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x54adb7…
03-04 01:50:23	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 380 399	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x1c7a20…
02-28 09:19:21	will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0xaf5e33…
02-28 09:19:07	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 420 439	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xb74053…
02-10 10:02:23	bitcoin above 74k on february 10	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x84a6aa…
01-30 07:45:46	bitcoin above 90k on january 30	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x3148de…
01-28 03:59:37	nhl wsh sea 2026 01 27	Kraken	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xdf85e8…
01-12 09:31:42	elon musk of tweets january 12 january 14 0 39	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x1b535b…
01-12 09:26:42	bitcoin above 84k on january 12	No	BUY	600	0¢	$1	0x39f114…
01-07 06:29:17	bitcoin above 98k on january 7	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xb76076…
01-02 06:46:45	bitcoin above 84k on january 2	Yes	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xc1d6d4…