Crafty-Vineyard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

112

lifetime

Volume

$6.36K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$57

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 05-24 20:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

44% — —

Other

37% 0% $-0

Crypto

13% — —

Politics

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	6	$320	160	160	+0	No	$-0	04-16 21:29
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$308	154	154	+0	open	—	03-03 09:18
Will Osasuna win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$296	148	148	+0	open	—	03-05 08:22
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	4	$246	123	123	+0	open	—	03-14 03:57
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$246	123	123	+0	No	$-0	03-25 07:17
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	4	$242	121	121	+0	open	—	04-12 00:06
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$234	117	117	+0	open	—	04-14 21:39
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$212	106	106	+0	open	—	04-17 04:58
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$206	103	103	+0	open	—	02-12 00:33
Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$198	99	99	+0	open	—	02-17 23:59
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$192	96	96	+0	open	—	02-22 21:29
will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	2	$178	89	89	+0	open	—	03-12 15:21
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$176	88	88	+0	open	—	02-13 21:42
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	2	$162	81	81	+0	open	—	02-28 06:09
Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$142	71	71	+0	open	—	03-02 09:45
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$140	70	70	+0	open	—	03-01 21:01
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	2	$138	69	69	+0	open	—	03-04 16:17
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$138	69	69	+0	open	—	03-29 22:46
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	2	$136	68	68	+0	open	—	04-13 06:27
will ethereum reach 3200 in march 2026	2	$136	68	68	+0	open	—	03-29 00:54
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$132	66	66	+0	open	—	03-30 22:45
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$132	66	66	+0	open	—	04-13 14:24
will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	2	$132	66	66	+0	open	—	03-27 14:31
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$126	63	63	+0	open	—	03-24 06:40
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$122	61	61	+0	open	—	04-16 00:28
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$122	61	61	+0	open	—	03-21 23:50
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	2	$122	61	61	+0	open	—	04-13 20:48
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$120	60	60	+0	open	—	03-17 15:33
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	2	$118	59	59	+0	open	—	04-05 14:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	2	$118	59	59	+0	open	—	05-24 20:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 20:36:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0x5d2ecd…
05-24 08:07:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x49e25b…
04-22 12:33:32	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x06bc14…
04-22 10:01:22	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0xb3f83b…
04-17 12:41:16	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x88b965…
04-17 07:29:34	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x1bd236…
04-17 04:58:10	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x5b3d7b…
04-17 01:17:20	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xb7dbc9…
04-16 21:29:44	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0x4a8f8b…
04-16 14:32:06	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x96bbc8…
04-16 00:28:28	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0xaa88c7…
04-15 21:18:20	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0xfbbd61…
04-14 21:39:56	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0xbf0639…
04-14 16:14:55	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x0a831b…
04-13 20:48:29	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0x5d1cd7…
04-13 16:38:41	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x1ac6d3…
04-13 14:24:39	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0x75d6a1…
04-13 06:28:13	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0xa9915f…
04-13 06:27:53	Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0xed7bb7…
04-13 05:20:45	Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x02146e…
04-12 00:06:29	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0xb4c32b…
04-11 21:47:53	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x36aa6a…
04-10 14:38:53	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0xbeff7f…
04-10 12:11:29	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x6ce001…
04-10 12:11:05	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x00eb2a…
04-08 19:34:45	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0xb9428f…
04-08 03:20:23	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0x1d419f…
04-08 01:52:37	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0xe2099d…
04-05 14:25:19	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0x2be711…
04-05 11:36:57	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0xead5c0…
04-04 08:39:35	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x81b0b1…
04-03 13:50:15	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0xe08882…
03-31 10:38:01	EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xda783c…
03-30 22:45:07	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0xa1c914…
03-30 18:34:47	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0xf22981…
03-30 14:13:17	will crude oil cl hit low 40 by end of march 777 183 974 725 949 716 258 533 859 313 659 847	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd4e6d5…
03-29 22:46:32	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	69	100¢	$69	0x3b253b…
03-29 18:36:36	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x3846f0…
03-29 14:19:14	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0x515c85…
03-29 10:09:12	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x116e1f…
03-29 00:54:48	will ethereum reach 3200 in march 2026	No	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0xff4884…
03-28 20:56:48	will ethereum reach 3200 in march 2026	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0xed7d71…
03-27 14:31:49	will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	No	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0xc748c9…
03-27 08:27:13	will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0x5087b9…
03-26 14:06:07	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0xaa4387…
03-26 07:56:39	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0xd8b08d…
03-25 07:17:27	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0x0f0321…
03-25 01:08:17	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0xf450b7…
03-24 06:40:41	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0xf59085…
03-24 00:37:37	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x8859ed…
03-23 00:17:45	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x0bfc09…
03-22 18:14:21	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x601ffd…
03-22 12:12:39	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0x075383…
03-22 06:10:09	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0xab846d…
03-21 23:50:21	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0xeb279e…
03-21 18:06:15	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x7ac5db…
03-19 22:27:37	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0xaa199e…
03-19 16:20:31	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x920581…
03-17 21:45:41	will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x43052e…
03-17 15:34:25	will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0xed0451…
03-17 15:33:45	Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x5bc2c3…
03-17 09:32:41	Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x0c6081…
03-17 03:31:39	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x982e29…
03-16 21:33:23	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x194edc…
03-14 03:57:19	Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x1b7036…
03-13 22:05:27	Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x578716…
03-12 20:25:25	nba den sas 2026 03 12	Spurs	BUY	38	64¢	$24	0xee0853…
03-12 20:24:51	nba was orl 2026 03 12	Wizards	BUY	34	11¢	$4	0x87953b…
03-12 15:21:11	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	SELL	89	100¢	$89	0xad2b34…
03-12 08:12:33	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x17feef…
03-12 02:23:11	Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0x5497f5…
03-11 20:23:51	Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0xb2dfab…
03-11 20:23:35	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0x35ddc3…
03-11 14:29:35	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x16de89…
03-10 16:43:37	nba dal atl 2026 03 10	Mavericks	BUY	39	22¢	$9	0x59cdb6…
03-10 16:43:09	nba det bkn 2026 03 10	Nets	BUY	31	11¢	$3	0xf77d62…
03-10 16:42:35	nba cha por 2026 03 10	Trail Blazers	BUY	49	42¢	$21	0x5db760…
03-08 19:05:57	will bitcoin dip to 61500 on march 8	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xd341f5…
03-07 13:35:59	nba orl min 2026 03 07	Magic	BUY	55	31¢	$17	0x04d1c3…
03-07 13:35:29	nba phi atl 2026 03 07	76ers	BUY	46	30¢	$14	0xc07eaa…
03-05 15:53:55	nba det sas 2026 03 05	Spurs	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0x14c669…
03-05 08:22:27	Will Osasuna win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	78	100¢	$78	0xfcd746…
03-04 16:29:53	Will Osasuna win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x9dfc72…
03-04 16:17:35	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	69	100¢	$69	0x9dd102…
03-04 08:28:57	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x03115b…
03-03 18:04:27	nba phx sac 2026 03 03	Kings	BUY	52	24¢	$12	0x61cc39…
03-03 18:03:53	nba mem min 2026 03 03	Timberwolves	BUY	32	87¢	$28	0xd65cec…
03-03 09:19:45	nba nop lal 2026 03 03	Pelicans	BUY	33	24¢	$8	0xfa0666…
03-03 09:19:09	nba bkn mia 2026 03 03	Heat	BUY	36	86¢	$31	0x85fdb3…
03-03 09:18:41	Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	82	100¢	$82	0xac084e…
03-03 00:42:15	Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xc2b46e…
03-02 09:45:51	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	71	100¢	$71	0x3c50fc…
03-02 03:24:15	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0x460a6f…
03-01 21:01:01	Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x4a19b4…
03-01 14:35:15	Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x60933b…
03-01 02:51:35	Will Osasuna win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x642f0c…
02-28 06:10:11	Will Osasuna win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xc03784…
02-28 06:09:53	Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	81	100¢	$81	0x17eca0…
02-27 23:20:33	Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x04b56d…
02-22 21:30:30	bitcoin above 74k on february 23	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x18b7d7…