Assured-Fry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.7%

Resolved

351

Trades

2,635

lifetime

Volume

$9.39K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 05-31 02:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 58% +$3

Other

3% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 225 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1776169800	18	$69	54	53	+1	open	—	04-14 12:40
btc updown 15m 1776171600	14	$60	42	41	+1	open	—	04-14 13:08
btc updown 15m 1776167100	12	$50	36	35	+1	open	—	04-14 11:57
lal bar sev 2026 03 15 sev	1	$50	55	0	+55	open	—	03-15 15:15
btc updown 15m 1776119400	10	$42	30	29	+1	open	—	04-13 22:37
btc updown 15m 1776163500	10	$40	30	29	+1	open	—	04-14 10:55
bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 10am et	6	$39	27	27	+0	open	—	03-23 15:49
btc updown 5m 1776369600	10	$37	30	29	+1	open	—	04-16 20:03
btc updown 5m 1776332700	10	$37	30	29	+1	open	—	04-16 09:47
btc updown 5m 1776440700	8	$34	24	23	+1	open	—	04-17 15:48
btc updown 5m 1776477900	8	$31	24	23	+1	open	—	04-18 02:08
btc updown 5m 1776476400	8	$30	24	23	+1	open	—	04-18 01:43
btc updown 5m 1776368400	6	$30	18	18	+0	open	—	04-16 19:44
btc updown 5m 1776363300	8	$29	24	23	+1	open	—	04-16 18:19
btc updown 5m 1776374700	7	$29	24	18	+6	open	—	04-16 21:27
btc updown 5m 1776375600	8	$28	24	23	+1	open	—	04-16 21:43
btc updown 5m 1776122400	6	$28	18	18	+0	open	—	04-13 23:23
btc updown 15m 1776164400	6	$27	18	18	+0	open	—	04-14 11:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	6	$26	18	18	+0	open	—	04-30 19:33
btc updown 5m 1776363900	6	$26	18	18	+0	open	—	04-16 18:28
btc updown 15m 1776170700	6	$26	18	18	+0	open	—	04-14 12:54
btc updown 5m 1776639000	6	$26	18	18	+0	open	—	04-19 22:51
btc updown 5m 1776357300	6	$25	18	18	+0	open	—	04-16 16:38
btc updown 5m 1776687000	6	$25	18	18	+0	open	—	04-20 12:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	6	$25	18	18	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 02:23
btc updown 5m 1776438600	6	$25	18	18	+0	open	—	04-17 15:14
btc updown 5m 1776420300	6	$25	18	18	+0	open	—	04-17 10:08
btc updown 5m 1776469500	6	$25	18	18	+0	open	—	04-17 23:47
btc updown 15m 1776168000	7	$25	24	17	+7	open	—	04-14 12:09
btc updown 5m 1776684900	6	$25	18	18	+0	open	—	04-20 11:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 15:36:04	btc updown 5m 1781192100	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x573fd7…
06-11 15:07:28	btc updown 5m 1781190300	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x207cbc…
06-11 13:26:15	btc updown 5m 1781184300	Down	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x4f349a…
05-31 02:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x3b2ba1…
05-31 02:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x5ab6da…
05-31 01:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0xade50d…
05-31 01:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0x1c332b…
05-31 01:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x6fa9e5…
05-31 01:01:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xa58d3f…
05-31 00:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x7e7285…
05-31 00:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	24¢	$2	0x36430f…
05-31 00:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xbe0b86…
05-30 23:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0xd50af6…
05-30 23:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0x064132…
05-30 23:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xbebdd0…
05-30 23:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	7	29¢	$2	0xcebcd9…
05-30 23:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x7259bc…
05-30 23:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x515273…
05-30 23:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	71¢	$5	0xb984c7…
05-30 23:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x4e6b98…
05-30 22:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xeeff22…
05-30 22:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xe86a1b…
05-30 22:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x7d049f…
05-30 22:37:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x62ba2b…
05-30 22:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xa728b0…
05-30 22:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0x3bccfe…
05-30 22:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xc3976e…
05-30 22:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x16b93f…
05-30 22:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0xa2faa9…
05-30 21:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x12bfb8…
05-30 21:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x6b7f24…
05-30 21:21:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	36¢	$2	0x0f0220…
05-30 21:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xe3bbee…
05-30 21:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x80e7c5…
05-30 20:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x27f0cd…
05-30 20:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x274a70…
05-30 20:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xbb58ef…
05-30 20:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x98d6c1…
05-30 20:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x9e3708…
05-30 20:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xe6ddf2…
05-30 20:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x5605b3…
05-30 19:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xc3cab4…
05-30 19:37:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x47c89e…
05-30 19:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x857954…
05-30 14:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xbf9fb4…
05-30 14:42:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0xa74d26…
05-30 14:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x559641…
05-30 14:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x318ddd…
05-30 14:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x931ed5…
05-30 14:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x2e922a…
05-30 14:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xf03152…
05-30 14:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x5e351d…
05-30 13:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	36¢	$2	0x2ad916…
05-30 13:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x165c4f…
05-30 13:37:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0xe84f46…
05-30 13:17:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x5e3cfc…
05-30 13:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x658d0e…
05-30 13:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x1e7f20…
05-30 12:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xee6807…
05-30 12:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xd7ebba…
05-30 12:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x4d692a…
05-30 11:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xf319a3…
05-30 09:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xa8ac3a…
05-30 09:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x9b111b…
05-30 09:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xd5eaeb…
05-30 09:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x4dc621…
05-30 09:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0xccc009…
05-30 08:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x5fd259…
05-30 08:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x4b399a…
05-30 08:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x7f6331…
05-30 08:07:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x26e696…
05-30 08:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x5d3e5d…
05-30 06:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	65¢	$4	0xc04899…
05-30 06:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	65¢	$4	0xd9ba82…
05-30 06:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0x7e1bc5…
05-30 06:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x835e19…
05-30 05:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x6e7056…
05-30 05:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xef63a2…
05-30 05:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x6059ca…
05-30 04:57:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xc157c1…
05-30 04:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$5	0x8e662f…
05-30 04:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x1563b1…
05-30 03:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0xbdbd1a…
05-30 03:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0x341c34…
05-30 03:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x5c3864…
05-30 03:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x41d021…
05-30 03:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0xc87998…
05-30 02:46:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xd54ec9…
05-30 02:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0xc646c4…
05-30 02:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0xd04474…
05-30 02:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0xec36c4…
05-30 02:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x78cdd4…
05-30 02:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x1f2524…
05-30 02:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x52c681…
05-30 01:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x632075…
05-30 01:33:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x91aec5…
05-30 01:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xbbeceb…
05-30 01:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x27ee6e…
05-30 01:13:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xbe9091…
05-30 00:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x547a1f…