Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$336

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

77.7%

Resolved

125

Trades

223

lifetime

Volume

$5.27K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-09-20

last 10-26 22:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Politics

48% 20% -$248

Crypto

33% 55% +$148

Other

16% 50% -$236

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes		+0	-$1	52¢	$0	+$1	10-24 14:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$2.1K	1,229	1,229	+0	No	+$80	10-11 09:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 16:35 UTC	8	$967	562	562	+0	Up	+$67	09-29 16:38
dota2 ts8 ty 2026 10 03	2	$241	907	0	+907	Team Spirit	-$241	10-03 19:50
Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	9	$231	183	183	+0	open	—	10-25 13:27
Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	5	$178	2,041	0	+2,041	No	-$178	09-20 18:45
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?	6	$133	120	120	+0	open	—	10-26 17:10
Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?	4	$128	225	85	+140	open	—	10-24 09:01
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	8	$120	120	120	+0	open	—	10-24 21:17
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-03 20:00 UTC	2	$120	486	486	+0	Up	-$80	10-03 20:10
Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?	4	$116	205	25	+180	open	—	10-22 11:06
Will voter turnout be between 47% and 50% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	3	$101	5,089	500	+4,589	No	-$100	09-20 11:00
Will Apple’s market capitalization be between $5.00T and $5.50T at the end of 2026?	3	$96	133	133	+0	open	—	10-23 14:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 16:50 UTC	1	$80	339	0	+339	Down	+$259	09-29 16:51
Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	14	$71	802	802	+0	No	-$48	09-20 13:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	6	$18	183	0	+183	Down	-$18	10-21 08:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	3	$15	27	0	+27	Down	+$12	10-23 20:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$15	21	0	+21	Down	+$6	10-24 13:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	1	$15	16	0	+16	Down	+$1	10-24 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	5	$15	35	0	+35	Up	+$20	10-23 20:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	2	$15	34	0	+34	Down	-$15	10-25 02:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	1	$15	18	0	+18	Up	-$15	10-25 16:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	2	$15	37	0	+37	Up	-$15	10-23 23:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	3	$15	35	0	+35	Down	-$15	10-23 19:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	2	$15	23	0	+23	Down	-$15	10-25 05:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	1	$15	16	0	+16	Up	+$1	10-25 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	4	$14	22	0	+22	Up	+$7	10-25 01:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	4	$12	25	0	+25	Down	-$12	10-20 22:44
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	1	$10	15	0	+15	Yes	+$5	09-20 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	2	$7	18	0	+18	Down	+$11	10-23 23:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	2	$6	12	0	+12	Down	-$6	10-22 09:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 22:58:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xc85072…
10-26 22:39:20	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x364896…
10-26 22:39:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x813e80…
10-26 22:19:35	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xcfd799…
10-26 19:28:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xd5f8e5…
10-26 18:43:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xaf7dd1…
10-26 18:28:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x977db9…
10-26 18:13:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x4f536c…
10-26 17:19:23	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x886670…
10-26 17:10:00	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?	No	SELL	1	54¢	$0	0x52d77a…
10-26 17:09:23	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?	No	SELL	43	54¢	$23	0x7181c8…
10-26 13:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xc036eb…
10-26 13:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x299eaf…
10-26 12:14:09	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xdb5068…
10-26 07:58:44	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x84289d…
10-26 06:14:21	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xcbcd5a…
10-26 05:44:08	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x7e6714…
10-26 05:24:35	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xa8e353…
10-26 04:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x13289a…
10-26 04:59:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x845cf7…
10-26 04:09:21	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x308cb3…
10-26 03:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x4b5b79…
10-26 03:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x23198f…
10-26 02:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xaae9ad…
10-26 02:44:20	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xa2fa4d…
10-26 02:44:17	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x5a37cf…
10-26 02:19:18	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xcd9083…
10-26 02:09:26	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0xaac169…
10-26 02:09:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xadeb53…
10-26 01:49:18	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	291	1¢	$3	0x74c5d6…
10-26 01:04:35	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x1acf32…
10-26 00:59:14	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0xa5d98a…
10-26 00:28:03	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xa44329…
10-26 00:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x4ba8bf…
10-25 23:34:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	72	4¢	$3	0xb3fe05…
10-25 23:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xda20f9…
10-25 21:13:30	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xb0f765…
10-25 20:39:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xe11bc4…
10-25 18:59:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x8f9296…
10-25 18:44:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xca8e52…
10-25 18:29:38	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xca86c8…
10-25 17:54:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x0f2e2d…
10-25 17:39:39	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xcce043…
10-25 16:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0xbc6d27…
10-25 16:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xe63ead…
10-25 15:49:26	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x72e8ca…
10-25 14:49:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x52099e…
10-25 14:24:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xb3ee5a…
10-25 13:27:44	Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	SELL	28	75¢	$21	0x99f755…
10-25 13:04:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x34984b…
10-25 12:59:26	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x1784de…
10-25 10:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x3c9e7c…
10-25 10:58:32	Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	SELL	22	77¢	$17	0x068fc6…
10-25 10:57:23	Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x529323…
10-25 10:57:23	Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0x529323…
10-25 10:56:03	Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	SELL	50	74¢	$37	0x90772e…
10-25 10:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x8b09ef…
10-25 10:39:21	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xaffc9f…
10-25 10:14:35	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x696a11…
10-25 10:09:29	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x41dee3…
10-25 10:09:20	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x9a5216…
10-25 09:34:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x3da3a0…
10-25 09:04:24	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-25 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x4dc912…
10-25 08:44:24	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xf8cf9d…
10-25 08:04:23	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x9f2eb0…
10-25 07:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xad0000…
10-25 07:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xbf3555…
10-25 07:49:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x1c9c2e…
10-25 05:54:20	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x9419d2…
10-25 05:09:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x0b839e…
10-25 05:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0xbc8cf4…
10-25 05:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x21e6d3…
10-25 04:59:33	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x6338c1…
10-25 04:34:50	Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0xa1cf17…
10-25 04:34:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x45b792…
10-25 04:29:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xff94de…
10-25 03:44:38	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xf5532e…
10-25 03:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x37e1f0…
10-25 03:14:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xfe7ade…
10-25 03:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x110e17…
10-25 03:04:29	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xdcc96a…
10-25 02:59:18	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xb2b848…
10-25 02:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	28	48¢	$14	0x23e625…
10-25 02:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x3de533…
10-25 02:28:17	Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	SELL	33	73¢	$24	0x606a90…
10-25 02:14:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x0d2888…
10-25 01:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x9b7b62…
10-25 01:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x63fb09…
10-25 01:53:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x4357cf…
10-25 01:52:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf4d145…
10-25 01:29:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x8cd06f…
10-25 01:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x2281d0…
10-25 01:19:18	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xf1cf03…
10-25 01:14:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x3d1021…
10-25 01:03:24	Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	33	72¢	$24	0x066255…
10-25 00:59:35	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xe8fb9b…
10-25 00:46:05	Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xbae3f0…
10-25 00:09:20	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x8b2fdf…
10-25 00:04:27	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x8fb5e3…
10-24 23:59:30	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x71a564…