Robust-Lumberman — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.7%

Resolved

Trades

253

lifetime

Volume

$639

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-14

last 05-28 08:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 62% +$23

Other

4% 100% +$3

Sports

2% 50% $-4

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 155 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Chicago Sky vs. Golden State Valkyries	9	$26	30	30	+0	Chicago Sky	+$3	05-14 03:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	5	$16	12	12	+0	open	—	05-15 06:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	2	$15	9	9	+0	open	—	05-14 08:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	2	$14	12	12	+0	Up	+$8	05-14 05:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	4	$14	17	4	+12	open	—	05-14 07:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	4	$14	18	0	+18	open	—	05-14 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	05-14 05:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	05-14 07:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	6	$12	9	9	+0	open	—	05-14 11:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	2	$11	10	10	+0	Down	+$6	05-14 05:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	05-14 08:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	2	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	05-14 09:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	6	$11	14	7	+7	open	—	05-14 12:39
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	2	$11	10	10	+0	Cavaliers	+$1	05-14 02:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-14 23:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	3	$10	31	6	+25	Up	+$2	05-14 05:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	4	$10	13	3	+10	open	—	05-14 08:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	4	$9	7	5	+2	open	—	05-15 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	05-14 08:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	2	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	05-14 08:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	2	$9	7	7	+0	Up	+$5	05-14 04:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	3	$9	12	4	+8	open	—	05-15 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	05-14 07:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	3	$8	14	0	+14	open	—	05-14 08:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	4	$8	12	0	+12	open	—	05-14 07:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	05-15 00:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	4	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	05-14 12:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	2	$7	7	7	+0	Up	+$3	05-14 04:48
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?	2	$7	10	10	+0	open	—	05-14 04:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	3	$7	8	4	+4	open	—	05-14 12:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-28 08:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x81b070…
05-21 03:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x43d75d…
05-20 23:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1fe6a8…
05-20 23:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x794228…
05-20 23:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc1d66f…
05-20 23:25:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xd3067c…
05-20 23:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x946d36…
05-20 23:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x49e4dd…
05-20 23:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb69e0e…
05-20 15:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xc11103…
05-20 15:24:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xdbe6c2…
05-20 15:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x117a04…
05-20 15:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x4501ea…
05-20 14:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xfc8c2c…
05-20 14:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x33e424…
05-20 14:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x2efab1…
05-20 14:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x5fd383…
05-20 14:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x580433…
05-20 14:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf9c2b2…
05-20 14:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x257c5f…
05-20 14:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x8d470d…
05-20 13:57:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x769f86…
05-20 13:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x930a44…
05-16 01:24:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xb0dc04…
05-16 01:22:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x0937c5…
05-16 01:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x0e8cae…
05-15 16:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x3d4f6b…
05-15 16:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x64f528…
05-15 16:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xf11e31…
05-15 16:20:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x4a93ac…
05-15 16:19:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbd10f3…
05-15 12:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x123cfc…
05-15 12:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x5d8fff…
05-15 12:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xa56b08…
05-15 12:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x681eb2…
05-15 11:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xb8d8bd…
05-15 11:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x8490a4…
05-15 11:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x338649…
05-15 11:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x619b01…
05-15 11:39:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x567d85…
05-15 11:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xb906a7…
05-15 10:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x3b9316…
05-15 10:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x018f3d…
05-15 10:23:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xeb29c7…
05-15 10:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x29d2b1…
05-15 10:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xefc5ea…
05-15 09:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xe15646…
05-15 08:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xc445a4…
05-15 08:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x69b77c…
05-15 08:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xe22cc5…
05-15 08:51:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x4f9a0f…
05-15 08:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x9ee42f…
05-15 08:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x745ee4…
05-15 08:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x48fd8f…
05-15 08:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xe7c512…
05-15 08:34:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x427636…
05-15 08:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xf531c9…
05-15 08:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x88f19c…
05-15 08:14:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x66cc85…
05-15 07:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x468bd1…
05-15 07:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x84574f…
05-15 07:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x9b62a1…
05-15 07:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xdb4cab…
05-15 07:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x825f8f…
05-15 06:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x01a677…
05-15 06:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	68¢	$3	0x91d3fb…
05-15 06:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x30c3a1…
05-15 06:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x16f0ee…
05-15 06:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xb116e6…
05-15 06:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xff3d04…
05-15 06:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x202085…
05-15 06:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xabe39e…
05-15 06:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x34b03f…
05-15 06:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x940262…
05-15 06:19:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xf1e428…
05-15 06:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xb81608…
05-15 06:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xe6df0b…
05-15 06:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	91¢	$4	0xfbeb5f…
05-15 06:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x07f6e8…
05-15 06:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x95ca3d…
05-15 06:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5493d8…
05-15 06:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xc101e8…
05-15 06:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	8	52¢	$4	0xe48aeb…
05-15 06:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x3128fc…
05-15 06:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x57e48e…
05-15 06:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0xbdb84e…
05-15 06:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x799c8d…
05-15 06:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x803db4…
05-15 05:57:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xd9a60f…
05-15 04:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xa9a49f…
05-15 04:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x91bbe9…
05-15 04:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x369d60…
05-15 04:20:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb1503d…
05-15 04:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x27dffe…
05-15 00:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb446c1…
05-15 00:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xc232e1…
05-15 00:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xe7cc12…
05-15 00:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x8093a3…
05-14 23:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xd7eb18…
05-14 23:53:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x0db890…