Robust-Lumberman — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$31

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

94.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$52

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-14

last 05-14 07:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

65% 86% +$26

Sports

21% 100% +$1

Other

8% 100% +$4

Politics

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?	No		-10	$-3	32¢	$-3	+$0	05-14 04:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down		-2	$-2	99¢	$-2	$-0	05-14 07:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	2	$11	10	10	+0	Cavaliers	+$1	05-14 02:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	2	$9	7	7	+0	Up	+$5	05-14 04:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	05-14 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	1	$4	8	0	+8	open	—	05-14 06:29
Chicago Sky vs. Golden State Valkyries	1	$4	0	10	-10	Chicago Sky	+$4	05-14 03:35
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?	1	$3	0	10	-10	open	—	05-14 04:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	1	$3	12	0	+12	Up	+$9	05-14 05:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	1	$2	0	2	-2	open	—	05-14 07:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	1	$2	6	0	+6	Up	+$4	05-14 05:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	1	$2	7	0	+7	Up	+$5	05-14 04:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Up	+$2	05-14 05:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	1	$2	6	0	+6	Up	$-2	05-14 05:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Up	+$2	05-14 05:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 07:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xa2d494…
05-14 07:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xd6a3ed…
05-14 06:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xf9a890…
05-14 05:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x75ff8c…
05-14 05:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x122a44…
05-14 05:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x56ac3b…
05-14 05:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x2cc8e5…
05-14 05:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x730600…
05-14 04:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xa2a001…
05-14 04:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x877893…
05-14 04:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x4cc78b…
05-14 04:36:17	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?	No	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0x0af867…
05-14 03:35:06	Chicago Sky vs. Golden State Valkyries	Golden State Valkyries	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0xf9ae29…
05-14 02:43:18	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x82ca05…
05-14 02:20:52	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0fbfe1…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	11	$2.98K	93	05-14 07:49
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	10	$1.51K	134	05-14 07:49
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	10	$715	69	05-14 07:48
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	9	$1.47K	58	05-14 07:48
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	9	$1.19K	29	05-14 07:48
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	9	$790	26	05-14 07:48
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	8	$1.46K	59	05-14 07:48
Aged-Visit 0x2ea2…d3d7	8	$905	62	05-14 07:48