Strict-Daffodil — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

7.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$432

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 06-21 01:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

36% 100% +$9

Other

34% 0% $-0

Crypto

30% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	2	$136	68	68	+0	No	$-0	04-21 21:45
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$133	67	67	+0	open	—	04-18 09:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	05-03 04:21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 4?	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	05-04 07:01
Will Solana reach $140 in May?	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	05-19 20:11
will solana reach 140 in june 2026	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	06-19 18:14
will bitcoin reach 120k in february 2026	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	02-14 10:30
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	01-07 09:30
mlb sd tex 2026 06 21	1	$11	20	0	+20	open	—	06-21 01:25
Avalanche vs. Wild	1	$10	19	0	+19	Avalanche	+$9	05-11 01:42
Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	03-08 07:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 01:25:40	mlb sd tex 2026 06 21	Texas Rangers	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xfbbaac…
06-19 18:14:14	will solana reach 140 in june 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x5ceb4d…
05-19 20:11:29	Will Solana reach $140 in May?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x88203f…
05-11 01:42:15	Avalanche vs. Wild	Avalanche	BUY	19	55¢	$10	0x2b7854…
05-04 07:01:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x3a8fc8…
05-03 04:21:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x4aa673…
04-21 21:45:24	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0xac4f0f…
04-21 20:42:44	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0xb106e1…
04-18 09:24:14	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	67	99¢	$66	0xe026b3…
04-18 04:58:06	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$66	0x4b6d84…
03-08 07:34:33	Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xe13ac7…
02-14 10:30:25	will bitcoin reach 120k in february 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xf049b1…
01-07 09:30:29	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x91ab0d…