Careful-Sponge — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$81

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.3%

Resolved

293

Trades

3,804

lifetime

Volume

$11.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 05-06 13:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 42% $-81

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 1818 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	2	$324	226	226	+0	Down	+$124	05-06 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	26	$134	248	0	+248	Down	$-4	05-05 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	23	$115	218	0	+218	Down	$-2	05-05 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	27	$110	231	0	+231	Down	+$6	05-06 04:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	23	$104	203	0	+203	Up	+$1	05-06 04:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	28	$98	188	0	+188	Up	+$3	05-06 00:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	23	$97	196	0	+196	Up	$-3	05-05 20:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	24	$93	190	0	+190	Down	+$42	05-05 22:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	24	$91	183	0	+183	Up	+$3	05-06 03:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	22	$88	174	0	+174	Up	$-1	05-06 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	28	$85	170	0	+170	Down	+$0	05-05 16:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	20	$84	187	0	+187	Down	$-11	05-05 20:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	24	$84	166	0	+166	Down	$-7	05-05 16:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	31	$83	164	0	+164	Up	+$6	05-05 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	30	$82	163	0	+163	Down	$-9	05-05 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	29	$81	158	0	+158	Down	+$1	05-06 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	26	$81	168	0	+168	Up	$-7	05-06 03:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	20	$80	145	0	+145	Up	+$0	05-05 21:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	23	$79	150	0	+150	Up	$-12	05-05 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	21	$79	152	0	+152	Up	$-1	05-06 03:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	17	$78	243	0	+243	Down	$-4	05-05 08:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	21	$76	147	0	+147	Up	$-6	05-06 03:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	25	$74	151	0	+151	Down	$-3	05-05 20:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	22	$72	138	0	+138	Down	+$2	05-05 23:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	26	$72	155	0	+155	Down	+$8	05-06 04:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	24	$72	144	0	+144	Up	+$4	05-05 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	23	$71	136	0	+136	Down	+$0	05-05 15:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	11	$70	71	51	+21	open	—	05-04 05:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	18	$70	134	0	+134	Down	+$5	05-05 18:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	20	$69	137	0	+137	Down	$-3	05-06 04:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 13:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc9308c…
05-06 13:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x73b07e…
05-06 13:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	17¢	$0	0x5bb339…
05-06 13:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x121705…
05-06 11:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	23	94¢	$22	0x92cc5f…
05-06 11:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x81fe58…
05-06 11:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x998f30…
05-06 11:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xcba6d8…
05-06 11:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x95a184…
05-06 11:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x4275ef…
05-06 11:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x9c0140…
05-06 11:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x914236…
05-06 11:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xbf57f5…
05-06 11:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x8acdd9…
05-06 11:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xd5b7d5…
05-06 11:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xf1145d…
05-06 11:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x4e655e…
05-06 10:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	226	99¢	$224	0x847bf3…
05-06 10:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	226	44¢	$100	0xfea0cf…
05-06 10:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x221a67…
05-06 10:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x123645…
05-06 10:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x77efde…
05-06 10:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x7d8f07…
05-06 10:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x1eee46…
05-06 10:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x48e7fa…
05-06 10:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x8455ce…
05-06 10:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xe2544a…
05-06 10:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xcadb20…
05-06 10:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe95dfd…
05-06 10:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x2eac53…
05-06 10:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x69e123…
05-06 10:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x0c2ddd…
05-06 10:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x9321d8…
05-06 08:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x75794d…
05-06 04:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x33b5cc…
05-06 04:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xb5dc59…
05-06 04:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x410ad4…
05-06 04:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xf96f5d…
05-06 04:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x775069…
05-06 04:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xb84d00…
05-06 04:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x7e4333…
05-06 04:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x9dc8da…
05-06 04:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xfa18e7…
05-06 04:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xa22bd5…
05-06 04:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xf95a6e…
05-06 04:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xf7194f…
05-06 04:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xed46da…
05-06 04:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xf26416…
05-06 04:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x29fd7e…
05-06 04:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x50d42d…
05-06 04:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xe73060…
05-06 04:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	69¢	$8	0x25b564…
05-06 04:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x8c09e7…
05-06 04:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x60ef7f…
05-06 04:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xf1ed84…
05-06 04:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	70¢	$8	0xa8bf23…
05-06 04:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0x747f87…
05-06 04:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xe0b7ad…
05-06 04:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xf638e1…
05-06 04:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xdf3d51…
05-06 04:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x5cb11d…
05-06 04:32:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x0140eb…
05-06 04:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0x310abe…
05-06 04:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x574d75…
05-06 04:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0xb83f40…
05-06 04:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x518318…
05-06 04:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xa27bed…
05-06 04:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x774897…
05-06 04:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x77aaeb…
05-06 04:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x9fc0ef…
05-06 04:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x7311e2…
05-06 04:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x3364cd…
05-06 04:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xc20296…
05-06 04:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	17	67¢	$11	0xdff9b1…
05-06 04:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	17	10¢	$2	0xefb95b…
05-06 04:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x88ccf9…
05-06 04:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xca0cbd…
05-06 04:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xc15d91…
05-06 04:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	21¢	$1	0x5577fe…
05-06 04:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	21¢	$0	0x2396fa…
05-06 04:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xddb878…
05-06 04:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0x28ee34…
05-06 04:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0xc5fe92…
05-06 04:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xd35424…
05-06 04:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0xff4eb6…
05-06 04:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0x5a778f…
05-06 04:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x8140c1…
05-06 04:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0x8077ee…
05-06 04:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x27eac4…
05-06 04:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0xa57d24…
05-06 04:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xc2ec68…
05-06 04:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	19¢	$2	0x78104c…
05-06 04:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf2baf9…
05-06 04:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xeacb57…
05-06 04:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x724b32…
05-06 04:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	57¢	$1	0x30860f…
05-06 04:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x24e89c…
05-06 04:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	54¢	$1	0x213a82…
05-06 04:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x1a8221…
05-06 04:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x26b5f2…