Frugal-Outback — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$29

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

6.0%

Resolved

Trades

203

lifetime

Volume

$1.08K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-01

last 05-08 12:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 12% $-29

Other

13% — —

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 72k on april 8	27	$349	439	422	+17	open	—	04-08 15:43
bitcoin above 68k on april 1	2	$69	100	96	+4	open	—	04-01 11:10
ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 bay1	11	$60	38	38	+0	open	—	04-07 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	7	$39	36	28	+8	Down	$-1	05-07 23:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	6	$34	219	52	+167	Down	$-6	05-07 23:14
bitcoin above 64k on april 1	2	$32	1,699	1,579	+120	open	—	04-01 11:18
ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 rma1	11	$31	285	265	+20	open	—	04-07 20:47
btc updown 5m 1775314200	3	$26	20	20	+0	open	—	04-04 14:55
btc updown 5m 1775595600	5	$24	21	12	+9	open	—	04-07 21:05
ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 draw	7	$22	403	50	+352	open	—	04-07 20:54
btc updown 5m 1775314500	2	$21	50	0	+50	open	—	04-04 14:58
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	7	$20	23	23	+0	open	—	04-09 16:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	4	$20	505	5	+500	Up	$-10	05-07 23:09
bitcoin above 62k on april 1	3	$19	10,338	0	+10,338	open	—	04-01 11:19
btc updown 5m 1775316600	4	$18	40	20	+20	open	—	04-04 15:34
btc updown 5m 1775577900	4	$18	29	8	+21	open	—	04-07 16:08
bitcoin above 60k on april 1	3	$17	14,299	0	+14,299	open	—	04-01 11:15
lal mal rea 2026 04 04 mal	7	$17	14	14	+0	open	—	04-04 16:13
bitcoin above 66k on april 1	2	$16	214	200	+14	open	—	04-01 11:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	3	$16	132	7	+125	Up	$-4	05-07 23:22
btc updown 5m 1775577600	4	$16	121	7	+114	open	—	04-07 16:04
btc updown 5m 1775596200	4	$15	19	7	+11	open	—	04-07 21:13
bitcoin above 68k on april 7	3	$14	18	6	+12	open	—	04-07 15:59
bitcoin above 70k on april 8	5	$14	125	67	+58	open	—	04-08 15:24
btc updown 5m 1775578200	4	$12	16	11	+4	open	—	04-07 16:13
btc updown 5m 1775953500	3	$12	20	7	+13	open	—	04-12 00:28
lal mal rea 2026 04 04 draw	4	$12	95	0	+95	open	—	04-04 16:10
btc updown 5m 1775596500	2	$12	15	14	+1	open	—	04-07 21:16
btc updown 5m 1775595900	3	$12	106	6	+100	open	—	04-07 21:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	3	$12	17	5	+12	Up	$-2	05-07 23:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 12:06:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x419fb2…
05-08 12:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0x417c09…
05-07 23:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xb4bfbe…
05-07 23:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0x96da32…
05-07 23:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x5b459d…
05-07 23:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xbde7d8…
05-07 23:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x410f1c…
05-07 23:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xbf257d…
05-07 23:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	87¢	$5	0x04ffdc…
05-07 23:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb673b4…
05-07 23:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x739b61…
05-07 23:21:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0x25f7e7…
05-07 23:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x0bd731…
05-07 23:18:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xa393bc…
05-07 23:18:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	8	93¢	$8	0xf39d3f…
05-07 23:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xdd27fc…
05-07 23:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	18	56¢	$10	0x3fbdfb…
05-07 23:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb90a7d…
05-07 23:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xea81df…
05-07 23:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x528623…
05-07 23:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x0c6c0a…
05-07 23:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x11663a…
05-07 23:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xe0c5d9…
05-07 23:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	47	19¢	$9	0x099fbf…
05-07 23:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x6717f4…
05-07 23:12:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x1dfb4f…
05-07 23:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa7a147…
05-07 23:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xb9fb82…
05-07 23:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x81e8e2…
05-07 23:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x554e16…
04-12 00:28:31	btc updown 5m 1775953500	Up	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0x66e0f3…
04-12 00:27:43	btc updown 5m 1775953500	Down	SELL	7	61¢	$4	0x00427b…
04-12 00:25:51	btc updown 5m 1775953500	Down	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x7db3bb…
04-12 00:22:19	btc updown 5m 1775953200	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xf230d6…
04-12 00:21:53	btc updown 5m 1775953200	Up	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x0905e6…
04-12 00:20:47	btc updown 5m 1775953200	Up	BUY	6	57¢	$4	0x22e8cb…
04-12 00:19:47	btc updown 5m 1775952900	Up	SELL	18	7¢	$1	0x683afd…
04-12 00:16:19	btc updown 5m 1775952900	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x190519…
04-09 16:21:27	btc updown 5m 1775751600	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x8a574e…
04-09 16:18:29	us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	No	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0x652f71…
04-09 16:18:13	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	Yes	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0x7e2fe2…
04-09 13:18:11	us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	No	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0x845d8f…
04-09 13:17:57	US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	32	4¢	$1	0x9a5e8b…
04-09 08:52:23	US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	32	5¢	$2	0xadbe3f…
04-09 08:52:09	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	Yes	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0x06ba28…
04-09 08:48:09	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xedfa0f…
04-09 08:47:55	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	No	SELL	8	39¢	$3	0x4206ca…
04-08 15:50:31	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	No	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0x3fd803…
04-08 15:50:15	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	No	SELL	9	41¢	$4	0x835612…
04-08 15:49:27	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	No	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x9250f2…
04-08 15:43:15	bitcoin above 72k on april 8	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xac7f75…
04-08 15:42:55	bitcoin above 72k on april 8	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x11ded6…
04-08 15:24:01	bitcoin above 70k on april 8	Yes	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xf90320…
04-08 15:10:07	bitcoin above 70k on april 8	No	BUY	53	3¢	$2	0xe7840a…
04-08 15:07:15	bitcoin above 70k on april 8	No	SELL	63	3¢	$2	0x8280cf…
04-08 15:02:09	bitcoin above 70k on april 8	Yes	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xe56073…
04-08 14:53:17	bitcoin above 70k on april 8	No	BUY	68	4¢	$3	0xf7f13f…
04-08 14:51:49	bitcoin above 72k on april 8	No	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x10b6f7…
04-08 14:47:15	bitcoin above 72k on april 8	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x997893…
04-08 14:31:33	bitcoin above 72k on april 8	Yes	SELL	93	8¢	$7	0xd91ddb…
04-08 13:47:23	bitcoin above 72k on april 8	Yes	BUY	97	42¢	$41	0x4279d1…
04-08 13:46:47	bitcoin above 72k on april 8	No	SELL	71	59¢	$42	0x30736b…
04-08 13:41:15	bitcoin above 72k on april 8	No	BUY	73	63¢	$46	0x4ea95b…
04-08 13:40:47	bitcoin above 72k on april 8	Yes	SELL	126	38¢	$48	0xe02198…
04-08 13:17:27	bitcoin above 72k on april 8	Yes	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x782545…
04-08 13:15:55	bitcoin above 72k on april 8	No	SELL	30	25¢	$7	0x2a5081…
04-08 13:11:15	bitcoin above 72k on april 8	No	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xccb653…
04-08 13:02:47	bitcoin above 72k on april 8	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x27d79a…
04-08 13:02:23	bitcoin above 72k on april 8	No	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x81647a…
04-08 12:59:07	bitcoin above 72k on april 8	Yes	BUY	34	56¢	$19	0x6ac3c6…
04-08 12:53:41	bitcoin above 72k on april 8	Yes	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xbf6c72…
04-08 12:35:03	bitcoin above 72k on april 8	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x22afba…
04-08 12:28:31	bitcoin above 72k on april 8	No	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0xf80423…
04-08 12:16:07	bitcoin above 72k on april 8	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xa573b4…
04-08 12:15:29	bitcoin above 72k on april 8	Yes	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0xdaaa9a…
04-08 12:15:17	bitcoin above 72k on april 8	No	SELL	15	59¢	$9	0x19aa43…
04-08 12:05:19	bitcoin above 72k on april 8	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x1cbf41…
04-08 12:05:11	bitcoin above 72k on april 8	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xb4e6a3…
04-08 12:04:09	bitcoin above 72k on april 8	Yes	SELL	57	33¢	$19	0x2b2bb6…
04-08 12:03:31	bitcoin above 74k on april 8	Yes	SELL	107	2¢	$2	0x4f98c2…
04-08 11:58:23	bitcoin above 74k on april 8	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x2fcc26…
04-08 07:21:33	bitcoin above 74k on april 8	Yes	BUY	126	5¢	$6	0x6662e8…
04-08 07:21:01	bitcoin above 72k on april 8	Yes	SELL	12	42¢	$5	0x5e6dea…
04-07 22:15:31	bitcoin above 72k on april 8	Yes	BUY	64	16¢	$10	0x3ab481…
04-07 21:41:49	bitcoin above 72k on april 8	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xbd3946…
04-07 21:34:45	btc updown 5m 1775597400	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb7bc32…
04-07 21:33:25	btc updown 5m 1775597400	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xcf3d85…
04-07 21:31:19	btc updown 5m 1775597400	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xb97464…
04-07 21:27:37	btc updown 5m 1775597100	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xd52eab…
04-07 21:25:57	btc updown 5m 1775597100	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x9c64ab…
04-07 21:25:41	btc updown 5m 1775597100	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xcbfa06…
04-07 21:24:15	btc updown 5m 1775596800	Down	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0xdc1244…
04-07 21:22:55	btc updown 5m 1775596800	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x133b58…
04-07 21:22:31	btc updown 5m 1775596800	Up	SELL	4	42¢	$1	0x4d914e…
04-07 21:20:53	btc updown 5m 1775596800	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xf806c0…
04-07 21:20:35	btc updown 5m 1775596800	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xd4c6c9…
04-07 21:16:27	btc updown 5m 1775596500	Up	SELL	14	30¢	$4	0xf4b4d5…
04-07 21:15:33	btc updown 5m 1775596500	Up	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0xcc969f…
04-07 21:13:29	btc updown 5m 1775596200	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xaf9cae…
04-07 21:12:41	btc updown 5m 1775596200	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x0e136a…