Happy-Wrestler — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$24

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

65.5%

Resolved

Trades

208

lifetime

Volume

$1.06K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-22

last 06-29 06:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 51% +$24

Other

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		-43	$-2	3¢	$-1	+$1	06-10 06:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	5	$142	96	96	+0	Down	$-8	05-13 20:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	6	$86	56	56	+0	Down	+$6	05-13 20:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	4	$62	66	30	+36	Up	$-2	05-13 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$50	26	26	+0	Down	+$0	05-13 12:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	2	$50	25	25	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 09:00
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	4	$46	53	27	+26	Down	+$8	05-13 22:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	3	$31	21	21	+0	Down	+$11	05-11 04:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	5	$27	19	19	+0	Down	+$5	05-13 21:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	4	$25	29	14	+15	Up	+$3	05-12 05:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	2	$23	18	18	+0	Up	+$13	05-11 05:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$22	18	18	+0	Down	+$12	05-11 11:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	3	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	3	$20	21	11	+10	Up	+$2	05-11 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	3	$20	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	05-13 06:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	2	$20	15	15	+0	Up	+$10	05-12 06:10
btc updown 15m 1774198800	10	$18	54	20	+34	open	—	03-22 17:15
btc updown 15m 1774199700	3	$16	19	19	+0	open	—	03-22 17:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	05-14 05:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	3	$15	20	10	+10	Down	+$5	05-10 21:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	05-11 05:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	4	$15	26	12	+15	Down	$-1	05-12 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	3	$14	23	11	+12	Down	+$6	05-10 21:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	Up	+$3	05-13 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	3	$13	12	7	+5	Up	+$1	05-14 06:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	4	$13	23	7	+16	Up	+$2	05-10 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Down	+$2	05-13 15:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Down	+$2	05-11 19:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-14 06:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	3	$10	20	11	+9	Down	$-1	05-10 21:12
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$10	14	0	+14	Up	$-10	05-13 22:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 06:38:53	btc updown 5m 1782714900	Up	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0x640da4…
06-29 06:35:55	btc updown 5m 1782714900	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x2b196d…
06-10 06:47:55	btc updown 5m 1781073900	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xdaba32…
06-10 06:46:52	btc updown 5m 1781073900	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xac4e59…
06-10 06:43:37	Will Woody Allen be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xc87ca6…
06-10 06:43:34	Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Yes	SELL	59	1¢	$1	0x52c90b…
06-10 06:43:30	Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Yes	SELL	48	1¢	$1	0xd631fa…
06-10 06:43:16	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	5¢	$2	0xdc3062…
05-15 14:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xa1fc5e…
05-15 14:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0x5426f5…
05-15 14:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x66a7bb…
05-14 06:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xf63a46…
05-14 06:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x5675dc…
05-14 06:54:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x974359…
05-14 06:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x965bc0…
05-14 06:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x12e06b…
05-14 06:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xcf353a…
05-14 06:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x74e698…
05-14 05:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x6bb3a9…
05-14 05:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x2c3a0b…
05-14 05:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x8b1d8b…
05-14 05:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x925c4a…
05-14 05:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x6890ad…
05-13 23:01:29	Will Trump say "Transgender" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xf11989…
05-13 22:59:05	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	52	10¢	$5	0x7cd9a1…
05-13 22:42:16	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xfb9864…
05-13 22:41:56	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xa0a92b…
05-13 22:41:25	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x84a35d…
05-13 22:39:31	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x7d58a8…
05-13 22:37:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x8fe01a…
05-13 22:35:23	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x7e06ef…
05-13 22:33:17	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xc477c4…
05-13 22:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xe85e59…
05-13 22:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x6c19bb…
05-13 22:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xe56076…
05-13 22:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x3c30b5…
05-13 22:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x479ef5…
05-13 22:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x79434d…
05-13 22:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xebae3d…
05-13 21:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xff072d…
05-13 21:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x0bb2db…
05-13 21:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x2dd24d…
05-13 21:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	7	47¢	$3	0x35539a…
05-13 21:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xea8d60…
05-13 21:46:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x5ab327…
05-13 21:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xb5354f…
05-13 21:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xf60f6c…
05-13 21:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xf5eb58…
05-13 21:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xf1f63c…
05-13 20:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	43	99¢	$42	0x2fe92d…
05-13 20:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xda4380…
05-13 20:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xd6a65e…
05-13 20:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	14	28¢	$4	0xe44cf0…
05-13 20:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xe6e8c0…
05-13 20:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x18888e…
05-13 20:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	61	99¢	$60	0xfee74d…
05-13 20:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x1fab99…
05-13 20:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	35	18¢	$6	0x9c71d6…
05-13 20:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x1b00d7…
05-13 20:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0xe57a4e…
05-13 20:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xedff25…
05-13 20:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x3f7d38…
05-13 15:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x63c72e…
05-13 15:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x56932d…
05-13 12:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	26	99¢	$25	0xbc65e9…
05-13 12:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x1c3cfa…
05-13 09:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x98c6af…
05-13 08:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0xa551de…
05-13 07:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x325dbd…
05-13 06:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x887a6b…
05-13 06:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x73305a…
05-13 06:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xe5cd52…
05-13 06:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x323f4b…
05-13 06:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa6208f…
05-12 11:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xa97462…
05-12 11:07:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$3	0xa20070…
05-12 10:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x1eaa79…
05-12 08:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xe256fd…
05-12 08:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xeb33ec…
05-12 06:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xe324ac…
05-12 06:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xdabfd8…
05-12 06:02:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xccbfdb…
05-12 05:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x4fdddd…
05-12 05:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	12	56¢	$7	0xbdece3…
05-12 05:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x9ad4ad…
05-12 05:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xc5f08a…
05-12 05:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xc5d85c…
05-12 05:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x595d22…
05-12 05:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x0aadf3…
05-12 05:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xbb5c67…
05-11 20:15:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x7f29b2…
05-11 20:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0xd50576…
05-11 20:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x7d9c01…
05-11 20:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x2b2e4e…
05-11 20:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x8062f9…
05-11 20:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x9b2d79…
05-11 20:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x1399d6…
05-11 19:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x965322…
05-11 19:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x02de58…
05-11 17:38:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xc8bca6…