Hot-Alert — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.0%

Resolved

Trades

234

lifetime

Volume

$303

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 07-21 21:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 64% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1784480100	2	$8	9	9	+0	open	—	07-19 16:58
btc updown 5m 1776768900	2	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	04-21 10:58
btc updown 5m 1776974700	3	$8	9	2	+7	open	—	04-23 20:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	05-31 18:31
btc updown 5m 1776777600	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	04-21 13:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	6	$5	6	6	+0	Down	$-1	05-10 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	5	$5	7	3	+4	Up	$-1	05-09 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	6	$5	5	5	+0	Up	$-1	05-10 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	4	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 13:58
btc updown 5m 1776777300	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	04-21 13:20
btc updown 5m 1776977400	4	$5	6	6	+0	open	—	04-23 20:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	4	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	04-30 21:44
btc updown 5m 1776948900	3	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	04-23 12:58
btc updown 5m 1784454900	2	$5	6	6	+0	open	—	07-19 09:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	4	$4	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 21:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 21:18
btc updown 5m 1784454600	3	$4	5	2	+3	open	—	07-19 09:54
btc updown 5m 1776953400	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-23 14:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	4	$4	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 19:54
btc updown 15m 1776973500	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-23 19:52
btc updown 5m 1776776400	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-21 13:05
btc updown 5m 1776977100	3	$4	9	2	+7	open	—	04-23 20:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	3	$4	22	2	+20	Up	$-0	05-06 18:54
btc updown 5m 1776975300	3	$4	28	8	+21	open	—	04-23 20:19
eth updown 5m 1776973500	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-23 19:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	3	$4	6	3	+3	Down	$-0	05-09 13:34
btc updown 5m 1776974400	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	04-23 20:03
btc updown 5m 1784663700	3	$3	5	2	+3	open	—	07-21 20:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 21:41:25	btc updown 5m 1784670000	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xf23c5d…
07-21 21:35:36	btc updown 5m 1784669700	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x0b3314…
07-21 20:12:30	btc updown 5m 1784664600	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x2037b6…
07-21 20:10:39	btc updown 5m 1784664600	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xf98a0a…
07-21 20:06:34	btc updown 5m 1784664300	Up	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x39a0a1…
07-21 20:06:12	btc updown 5m 1784664300	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb1d648…
07-21 20:01:49	btc updown 5m 1784664000	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x48a652…
07-21 20:00:01	btc updown 5m 1784663700	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x0b31f5…
07-21 19:56:55	btc updown 5m 1784663700	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xb0c660…
07-21 19:55:36	btc updown 5m 1784663700	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x673f8d…
07-21 19:52:15	btc updown 5m 1784663400	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x647e47…
07-21 19:51:00	btc updown 5m 1784663400	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x381a95…
07-21 19:47:10	btc updown 5m 1784663100	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x418f36…
07-21 19:45:27	btc updown 5m 1784663100	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x37b381…
07-21 19:42:07	btc updown 5m 1784662800	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x7b5152…
07-21 19:40:28	btc updown 5m 1784662800	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd560fd…
07-21 19:36:00	btc updown 5m 1784662500	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x88ccea…
07-19 16:58:49	btc updown 5m 1784480100	Down	SELL	9	44¢	$4	0x7dbc68…
07-19 16:57:40	btc updown 5m 1784480100	Down	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0xa8fd4c…
07-19 10:06:39	btc updown 5m 1784455500	Up	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0x0b22ec…
07-19 10:05:33	btc updown 5m 1784455500	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xeb4e03…
07-19 09:57:25	btc updown 5m 1784454900	Up	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0x9734b7…
07-19 09:55:57	btc updown 5m 1784454900	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xfad11d…
07-19 09:54:55	btc updown 5m 1784454600	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x3e3eba…
07-19 09:53:18	btc updown 5m 1784454600	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x398697…
07-19 09:51:34	btc updown 5m 1784454600	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x2fd7ce…
05-31 18:42:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xd23da4…
05-31 18:36:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x88a6cd…
05-31 18:31:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x10d36f…
05-31 18:31:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x202c29…
05-31 18:21:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xd5abd9…
05-29 18:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x086973…
05-29 18:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$2	0xff790b…
05-29 18:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xd3fcc4…
05-29 18:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x4c5cac…
05-29 18:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x8afa18…
05-11 14:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0x70ef20…
05-11 14:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x03496e…
05-11 14:18:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x6eab6e…
05-11 14:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x479128…
05-11 14:11:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0x01ea70…
05-11 14:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xf65e07…
05-11 14:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe61612…
05-11 14:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x2135e0…
05-11 14:06:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x714cc9…
05-11 14:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x3cabad…
05-10 21:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x92ac98…
05-10 21:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x5c8294…
05-10 21:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xd6ec00…
05-10 21:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xd0af90…
05-10 21:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x0a32d0…
05-10 21:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x56debb…
05-10 21:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0xe0115f…
05-10 21:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x5fd449…
05-10 21:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0x653223…
05-10 21:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x48d6a6…
05-10 21:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0xa3aca3…
05-10 21:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x713447…
05-10 21:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0xdeab7b…
05-10 21:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x007fb9…
05-10 21:04:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd416d2…
05-10 21:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x481f11…
05-10 21:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x1b7619…
05-10 20:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x90e7a1…
05-10 20:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0c6075…
05-10 20:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xe86287…
05-10 20:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0xaa2f5d…
05-10 20:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb3c1c9…
05-10 20:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x55441e…
05-10 20:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x3d4d52…
05-10 20:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x7fc86f…
05-10 20:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xa942b3…
05-10 20:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$1	0x898d23…
05-10 20:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x880c6d…
05-10 20:32:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x12f36b…
05-10 20:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xaa9c96…
05-10 20:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$1	0x6ee633…
05-10 20:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x4c3d62…
05-10 20:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x708cfe…
05-10 20:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x90b769…
05-10 20:17:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x1443d8…
05-10 20:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x604e53…
05-10 20:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x7dd022…
05-10 20:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xf17b68…
05-10 20:09:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xe3a52d…
05-10 20:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xb3b686…
05-10 20:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x709ef4…
05-10 20:06:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xb09091…
05-10 20:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x310915…
05-10 20:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1eaba4…
05-10 20:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xd4b2a2…
05-10 20:04:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x32fd4e…
05-10 20:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0xa307e3…
05-10 20:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xe07b7d…
05-10 19:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc17f7f…
05-10 19:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x6482ed…
05-10 19:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd1a4f9…
05-10 19:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd0f742…
05-10 19:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xcb6419…
05-10 19:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xa721eb…