Far-Flung-Planning — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$27

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$411

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 06-11 10:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

43% — —

Crypto

29% 100% +$2

Politics

26% 50% $-29

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 58k february 23 march 1	3	$57	31	31	+0	open	—	02-28 18:04
will russia capture lyman by april 30 2026	2	$44	27	27	+0	open	—	04-02 00:53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$41	25	25	+0	Yes	+$1	03-17 23:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	1	$30	32	0	+32	Yes	$-30	04-12 20:35
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	2	$25	19	19	+0	open	—	03-29 23:27
will russia enter toretske by january 31	1	$21	23	0	+23	open	—	01-26 22:25
will russia enter zaliznychne by january 31	1	$21	24	0	+24	open	—	01-26 22:24
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by May 31?	1	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	05-26 07:31
Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$17	19	0	+19	Yes	+$2	05-05 05:03
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$15	19	0	+19	open	—	02-28 18:04
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	04-29 20:37
Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$13	30	30	+0	open	—	05-16 22:18
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	1	$12	17	0	+17	open	—	04-29 20:38
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?	1	$11	14	0	+14	open	—	02-07 18:42
EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	03-29 23:28
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	05-24 08:09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-26 07:31
Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	04-12 20:32
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$7	8	0	+8	open	—	04-16 10:00
world cup ronaldo to score 2 penalties 20260605004524368	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	06-11 10:51
will martin degaard score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	06-07 19:17
btc updown 5m 1772404800	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	03-01 22:42
bitcoin above 66k on march 1	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	03-01 12:32
Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$3	13	0	+13	open	—	05-11 19:59
btc updown 5m 1772269200	1	$2	100	0	+100	open	—	02-28 09:04
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	1	$0	0	4	-4	open	—	01-26 22:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 10:51:43	world cup ronaldo to score 2 penalties 20260605004524368	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6dc218…
06-07 19:17:16	will martin degaard score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb6c74a…
05-26 07:31:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x0b208c…
05-26 07:31:03	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by May 31?	No	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x733454…
05-24 08:09:38	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Crystal Palace FC	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x00c34a…
05-16 22:18:13	Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	30	10¢	$3	0x5bdf2c…
05-11 19:59:41	Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xb5d06e…
05-11 19:54:01	Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x648294…
05-05 05:03:00	Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	19	89¢	$17	0xbcc262…
04-29 20:38:12	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	17	69¢	$12	0xab49b8…
04-29 20:37:52	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x3c6c38…
04-22 16:24:54	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x2c9ca0…
04-16 10:00:44	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	No	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0x0a3429…
04-12 20:35:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x391133…
04-12 20:32:09	Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xb59b14…
04-02 00:53:55	will russia capture lyman by april 30 2026	No	SELL	27	89¢	$24	0x6b25cd…
03-29 23:28:14	EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x07c7ed…
03-29 23:27:54	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	No	SELL	19	77¢	$15	0xc705f6…
03-17 23:00:17	will russia capture lyman by april 30 2026	No	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0xd55865…
03-17 23:00:01	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	25	83¢	$21	0x87a114…
03-13 06:11:11	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x117726…
03-01 22:42:27	btc updown 5m 1772404800	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xb05260…
03-01 13:51:25	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	No	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x5ff4eb…
03-01 12:32:31	bitcoin above 66k on march 1	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x7e9c19…
02-28 18:04:49	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x6be722…
02-28 18:04:25	will bitcoin dip to 58k february 23 march 1	No	SELL	31	97¢	$30	0x89a400…
02-28 10:28:59	will bitcoin dip to 58k february 23 march 1	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x360727…
02-28 09:07:21	will bitcoin dip to 58k february 23 march 1	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xda33a2…
02-28 09:06:05	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	10	94¢	$10	0xa5786d…
02-28 09:04:27	btc updown 5m 1772269200	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xd86abc…
02-07 18:42:17	Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?	No	BUY	14	78¢	$11	0x5f6e2a…
01-26 22:25:03	will russia enter toretske by january 31	No	BUY	23	90¢	$21	0xa07bbf…
01-26 22:24:57	will russia enter zaliznychne by january 31	No	BUY	24	89¢	$21	0xd15e78…
01-26 22:24:37	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	4	9¢	$0	0x6e3d8f…