Tense-Discourse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

117

lifetime

Volume

$25.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$215

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 04-24 16:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

48% 0% $-1

Sports

30% — —

Crypto

18% — —

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	6	$1.7K	845	845	+0	open	—	04-13 12:04
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$1.1K	573	573	+0	open	—	04-08 07:33
will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	4	$1.1K	552	552	+0	open	—	03-22 05:28
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$1.1K	533	533	+0	open	—	04-05 04:46
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$993	498	498	+0	open	—	04-03 09:57
Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	4	$978	489	489	+0	open	—	03-12 02:55
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	4	$968	485	485	+0	open	—	04-04 17:08
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	4	$942	472	472	+0	open	—	04-19 10:32
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$934	469	469	+0	open	—	04-22 11:49
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	4	$822	411	411	+0	open	—	03-15 04:40
Will the Vancouver Canucks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$805	403	403	+0	open	—	03-01 11:03
will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	2	$648	324	324	+0	open	—	03-29 18:08
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	2	$634	318	318	+0	open	—	04-12 06:57
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	2	$626	315	314	+0	open	—	04-07 13:42
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$612	307	307	+0	open	—	03-17 05:15
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$606	304	304	+0	No	$-0	04-01 00:31
will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	2	$556	279	279	+0	open	—	03-04 17:56
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$550	275	275	+0	open	—	04-24 08:46
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	2	$534	268	268	+0	open	—	04-15 04:12
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$532	266	266	+0	open	—	03-15 18:27
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	2	$530	266	266	+0	open	—	03-18 02:14
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$512	257	257	+0	open	—	04-14 11:45
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	2	$510	256	256	+0	No	$-0	03-23 23:56
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$504	252	252	+0	open	—	03-05 01:42
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$504	252	252	+0	No	$-0	04-07 08:33
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	2	$502	252	252	+0	open	—	04-14 05:58
will crude oil cl hit low 45 by end of march 524 288 596 421 318 497 667 674 276 275	2	$496	248	248	+0	open	—	03-26 22:21
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$488	245	245	+0	open	—	04-02 19:26
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?	2	$482	241	241	+0	open	—	04-24 16:33
will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	2	$454	227	227	+0	open	—	03-14 14:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-24 16:33:14	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?	No	SELL	241	100¢	$241	0x475f3f…
04-24 12:57:46	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?	No	BUY	241	100¢	$241	0x4d43b0…
04-24 08:46:04	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	275	100¢	$275	0xeec7f0…
04-22 17:33:54	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	275	100¢	$275	0x1ce7cc…
04-22 11:49:02	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	238	100¢	$237	0x782b6b…
04-22 08:54:46	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	238	100¢	$237	0xcb8af8…
04-19 10:32:30	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	224	100¢	$224	0xed4d63…
04-19 05:28:50	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	224	100¢	$224	0xe45f17…
04-15 04:12:46	Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	268	100¢	$267	0xc2ea68…
04-14 22:02:02	Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	268	100¢	$267	0x19c7df…
04-14 18:16:02	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	222	100¢	$222	0xee72ff…
04-14 14:12:11	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	222	100¢	$222	0xd7ad77…
04-14 11:45:43	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	257	99¢	$256	0x188512…
04-14 09:21:03	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	257	99¢	$256	0xf1c8fa…
04-14 05:58:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	SELL	252	100¢	$251	0x499d23…
04-14 02:15:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	252	100¢	$251	0x699632…
04-13 12:04:37	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	269	100¢	$268	0x0bbab5…
04-13 07:24:01	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	269	100¢	$268	0x6f55de…
04-12 06:57:59	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	SELL	318	100¢	$317	0xca8fa9…
04-11 21:51:43	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	318	100¢	$317	0x05d481…
04-08 07:33:55	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	292	100¢	$291	0x4479b5…
04-08 04:16:27	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	292	100¢	$291	0xe09a13…
04-08 01:10:13	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	247	100¢	$247	0x13f5c9…
04-07 19:27:43	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	247	100¢	$247	0xbe9475…
04-07 13:42:21	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	SELL	314	99¢	$313	0xd126bc…
04-07 10:30:29	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	315	100¢	$313	0xbc95b4…
04-07 08:33:27	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	252	100¢	$252	0x88c406…
04-07 00:06:19	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	252	100¢	$252	0xcd8439…
04-06 21:01:49	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	231	100¢	$230	0x9c433c…
04-06 14:05:27	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	231	100¢	$230	0x28bb0c…
04-05 04:46:01	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	245	100¢	$245	0x0b57d6…
04-04 22:56:05	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	245	100¢	$245	0x1fc118…
04-04 17:08:17	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	231	100¢	$230	0xc13fc9…
04-04 13:04:29	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	231	100¢	$230	0x5680d8…
04-03 14:43:33	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	282	100¢	$281	0x33c80a…
04-03 11:38:59	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	282	100¢	$281	0xd41dcc…
04-03 09:57:05	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	226	100¢	$226	0xeaafc9…
04-03 05:52:47	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	226	100¢	$226	0xee1e3f…
04-03 00:58:07	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	204	100¢	$203	0x0f2c76…
04-02 19:26:37	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	204	100¢	$203	0xcdb671…
04-02 19:26:19	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	245	100¢	$244	0x642ec6…
04-02 13:42:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	245	100¢	$244	0x7f6e28…
04-01 14:24:59	will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	212	100¢	$212	0x50f38a…
04-01 10:30:07	will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	212	100¢	$212	0x937a10…
04-01 00:31:23	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	304	100¢	$303	0x16cd3c…
03-31 20:40:39	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	304	100¢	$303	0x83c75a…
03-31 00:48:21	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	288	100¢	$287	0x7edff8…
03-30 20:57:07	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	288	100¢	$287	0x94cae3…
03-30 14:07:01	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc91429…
03-30 05:34:00	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	254	100¢	$253	0xba5700…
03-30 01:48:42	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	254	100¢	$253	0x953958…
03-29 18:08:38	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	SELL	324	100¢	$324	0x5348cd…
03-29 14:19:28	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	BUY	324	100¢	$324	0xb52624…
03-26 22:21:23	will crude oil cl hit low 45 by end of march 524 288 596 421 318 497 667 674 276 275	No	SELL	248	100¢	$248	0x2e42d9…
03-26 15:15:53	will crude oil cl hit low 45 by end of march 524 288 596 421 318 497 667 674 276 275	No	BUY	248	100¢	$248	0xb21397…
03-24 21:14:51	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	272	100¢	$271	0x432e4a…
03-24 14:05:45	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	272	100¢	$271	0x1303ac…
03-24 14:05:27	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	322	100¢	$320	0xa6a663…
03-24 06:57:11	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	322	100¢	$321	0x95262b…
03-23 23:56:21	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	256	100¢	$255	0x34ee8f…
03-23 16:49:13	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	256	100¢	$255	0x7d821f…
03-22 05:28:23	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	SELL	253	100¢	$252	0xe16645…
03-21 23:14:59	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	BUY	253	100¢	$252	0x2db794…
03-20 17:33:33	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	254	100¢	$254	0x09c911…
03-20 10:16:45	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	255	100¢	$254	0x61459a…
03-18 09:13:07	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	SELL	300	100¢	$299	0x39f8dd…
03-18 02:14:33	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0x786b83…
03-18 02:14:15	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	266	100¢	$265	0xa96889…
03-17 19:09:03	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	266	100¢	$265	0x155539…
03-17 05:15:41	Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	307	100¢	$306	0x85c1ae…
03-16 22:24:05	Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	307	100¢	$306	0xe131c1…
03-15 18:27:07	Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	266	100¢	$266	0x01f31e…
03-15 11:35:13	Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	266	100¢	$266	0x76551f…
03-15 04:40:35	Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	231	100¢	$231	0x82242a…
03-14 21:46:59	Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	231	100¢	$231	0x2a42ac…
03-14 14:52:23	will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	No	SELL	227	100¢	$227	0xfbdaf5…
03-14 08:05:51	will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	No	BUY	227	100¢	$227	0x28d7f9…
03-12 19:52:35	nba was orl 2026 03 12	Wizards	BUY	54	11¢	$6	0x9e28c4…
03-12 19:52:07	nba phx ind 2026 03 12	Suns	BUY	31	78¢	$24	0x56f9c5…
03-12 19:51:37	nba mil mia 2026 03 12	Heat	BUY	51	71¢	$36	0xdf73eb…
03-12 02:55:27	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	240	100¢	$240	0xd4af0b…
03-11 19:52:19	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	240	100¢	$240	0x864c62…
03-11 19:52:01	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	249	100¢	$249	0x934102…
03-11 13:04:19	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	249	100¢	$249	0x0c36c3…
03-10 16:17:07	nba tor hou 2026 03 10	Rockets	BUY	45	65¢	$29	0x8f9d2c…
03-07 17:19:21	will ethereum reach 2500 march 2 8	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x595f84…
03-05 17:38:43	nba tor min 2026 03 05	Timberwolves	BUY	41	66¢	$27	0xf9b7f8…
03-05 17:38:11	nba bkn mia 2026 03 05	Heat	BUY	45	87¢	$39	0x9beea1…
03-05 01:42:33	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	252	100¢	$252	0x3b1926…
03-04 17:57:07	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	252	100¢	$252	0x7eaab0…
03-04 17:56:51	will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	No	SELL	279	100¢	$278	0x04d9fc…
03-04 09:51:39	will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	No	BUY	279	100¢	$278	0x5dea54…
03-03 20:48:01	nba sas phi 2026 03 03	Spurs	BUY	53	75¢	$40	0x87b04b…
03-03 20:47:29	nba det cle 2026 03 03	Cavaliers	BUY	25	43¢	$11	0x2d4c30…
03-03 10:43:53	nba nyk tor 2026 03 03	Knicks	BUY	39	58¢	$23	0x3ee1d2…
03-03 10:43:19	nba was orl 2026 03 03	Wizards	BUY	36	11¢	$4	0x12be5a…
03-03 02:50:45	Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	180	100¢	$180	0x07e063…
03-02 19:31:11	Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0xeb99ef…
03-02 09:36:55	Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	199	100¢	$199	0xdd583d…
03-02 02:15:05	Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	199	100¢	$199	0x38b317…