Nocturnal-Illustration — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

72.2%

Resolved

Trades

738

lifetime

Volume

$22.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

$159

1 position

First seen

2026-03-23

last 06-09 07:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

51% 86% +$14

Politics

24% — —

Crypto

22% 50% $-28

Tech

2% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 138 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes		+200	$164	80¢	$159	$-5	06-09 07:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	35	$3.0K	2,688	2,850	-162	open	—	03-30 14:37
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	23	$2.3K	6,120	6,120	+0	open	—	03-30 13:08
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	11	$774	679	679	+0	open	—	04-14 12:20
spx up or down on march 30 2026	8	$747	529	529	+0	open	—	03-30 16:12
Dota 2: Aurora vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	15	$634	436	436	+0	open	—	05-16 16:54
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	15	$633	848	848	+0	open	—	05-17 16:08
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs	10	$595	570	570	+0	open	—	05-16 17:56
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	3	$591	750	500	+250	open	—	04-06 11:19
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	10	$539	280	280	+0	open	—	03-27 18:27
dota2 gl 1win 2026 04 07	5	$508	350	350	+0	open	—	04-07 11:36
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	25	$507	2,277	2,277	+0	open	—	05-17 12:23
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	3	$480	400	200	+200	open	—	06-09 07:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$472	800	800	+0	open	—	04-18 12:04
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	8	$459	900	900	+0	open	—	04-18 13:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	6	$459	560	560	+0	open	—	04-18 15:18
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 13?	22	$455	393	393	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 14:35
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	2	$430	400	400	+0	open	—	04-12 11:00
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs fnatic (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs	12	$426	283	283	+0	open	—	05-15 12:02
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	4	$415	250	250	+0	Weibo Gaming	+$0	05-10 10:37
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	4	$395	250	250	+0	Natus Vincere	+$0	05-13 15:08
will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	19	$373	728	1,000	-272	open	—	03-23 17:10
btc updown 5m 1774778700	4	$364	273	270	+4	open	—	03-29 10:10
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?	4	$312	200	200	+0	open	—	05-18 15:10
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 27?	7	$278	200	200	+0	open	—	04-27 13:15
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	3	$272	250	250	+0	9z	+$8	05-09 12:16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$252	600	600	+0	open	—	05-02 12:43
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	2	$251	500	500	+0	open	—	05-06 13:02
btc updown 5m 1774803000	3	$209	112	111	+0	open	—	03-29 16:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	24	$208	260	0	+260	open	—	05-17 16:29
lol nsea hle 2026 04 13	5	$192	250	250	+0	open	—	04-13 10:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 07:21:36	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0xe6739d…
06-08 11:12:52	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	SELL	200	79¢	$158	0xbc5789…
06-07 08:30:22	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	BUY	200	78¢	$156	0xebc056…
06-05 16:21:10	btc updown 5m 1780676400	Down	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xf46e10…
06-05 16:19:27	btc updown 5m 1780676100	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x69a8af…
06-05 16:19:25	btc updown 5m 1780676100	Down	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0xdf76ca…
06-05 16:19:25	btc updown 5m 1780676100	Down	BUY	21	11¢	$2	0xcf67c8…
06-05 16:19:25	btc updown 5m 1780676100	Down	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0x7b417e…
06-05 16:19:25	btc updown 5m 1780676100	Down	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x4fa4c7…
06-05 16:19:25	btc updown 5m 1780676100	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x3c3932…
06-05 16:19:25	btc updown 5m 1780676100	Down	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x13f963…
06-02 14:23:43	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on June 2?	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xa902ae…
06-02 14:22:24	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on June 2?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x44ee0d…
06-02 13:45:20	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	SELL	148	44¢	$65	0x761972…
06-02 13:44:45	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xbf7cd7…
06-02 13:38:18	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xd1b491…
05-18 16:30:53	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	SELL	500	11¢	$56	0x933c4d…
05-18 16:25:55	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	200	23¢	$46	0x9d1000…
05-18 16:25:53	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	200	23¢	$46	0xc578aa…
05-18 16:25:53	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0x2ff217…
05-18 15:10:54	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	SELL	56	78¢	$44	0x54ce27…
05-18 15:06:16	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	SELL	60	78¢	$47	0xe4895f…
05-18 15:06:16	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	SELL	84	78¢	$66	0xdf045c…
05-18 11:34:47	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	200	78¢	$156	0xc7f048…
05-17 16:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	500	2¢	$10	0x92ccd1…
05-17 16:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	197	10¢	$20	0x0fbe0a…
05-17 16:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0xe1bdd3…
05-17 16:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xd4468c…
05-17 16:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xcf4000…
05-17 16:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	24	10¢	$2	0xc91e6f…
05-17 16:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0xb5ef7d…
05-17 16:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x9c7fab…
05-17 16:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x9041cc…
05-17 16:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x489719…
05-17 16:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0xe27d66…
05-17 16:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0x9f6572…
05-17 16:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x882255…
05-17 16:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	45	10¢	$5	0x82b178…
05-17 16:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x79eed2…
05-17 16:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0x760336…
05-17 16:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x5d7ac3…
05-17 16:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x55dab5…
05-17 16:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x0bad15…
05-17 16:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xed7c01…
05-17 16:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xccc938…
05-17 16:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xa7f133…
05-17 16:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0xa35509…
05-17 16:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x84c91e…
05-17 16:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x412852…
05-17 16:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x17345b…
05-17 16:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0x1561ce…
05-17 16:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xbe370e…
05-17 16:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	28	10¢	$3	0xa3b87f…
05-17 16:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0xa235b2…
05-17 16:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x87279a…
05-17 16:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x7c254b…
05-17 16:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x6dced7…
05-17 16:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x6a1d43…
05-17 16:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x63b341…
05-17 16:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x4f7caa…
05-17 16:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x47e16f…
05-17 16:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0x2602d9…
05-17 16:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x8c52b9…
05-17 16:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x7a7829…
05-17 16:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x2fbd56…
05-17 16:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	63	85¢	$54	0xe80cbf…
05-17 16:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	37	85¢	$31	0x76fa1a…
05-17 16:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x8558ff…
05-17 16:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xab472e…
05-17 16:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x5c24d4…
05-17 16:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x59f6bc…
05-17 16:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x53f48f…
05-17 16:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xde0d9e…
05-17 16:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xa46fb8…
05-17 16:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x6f7716…
05-17 16:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xf474b9…
05-17 16:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0xe374a9…
05-17 16:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xbfa5a3…
05-17 16:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0xbf7e23…
05-17 16:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	24	80¢	$19	0xacaa6e…
05-17 16:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0x6e19a6…
05-17 16:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x576f31…
05-17 16:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x45f2af…
05-17 16:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x410159…
05-17 16:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0x3ce066…
05-17 16:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	80¢	$13	0x2f5426…
05-17 16:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$9	0x24ffa5…
05-17 16:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xe51c45…
05-17 16:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x5f17ab…
05-17 16:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0x231b80…
05-17 16:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x1cc3cd…
05-17 16:08:36	Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	PlayTime	SELL	410	45¢	$185	0x83093d…
05-17 16:07:56	Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	PlayTime	SELL	33	45¢	$15	0xef21bd…
05-17 16:07:44	Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	PlayTime	SELL	21	45¢	$9	0x7e13f7…
05-17 16:07:28	Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	PlayTime	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xf2c47f…
05-17 16:07:23	Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	PlayTime	SELL	10	45¢	$5	0xb64ed5…
05-17 15:55:39	Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	PlayTime	BUY	447	50¢	$224	0x9cd0f8…
05-17 15:55:31	Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	PlayTime	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x7c43d3…
05-17 15:55:29	Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	PlayTime	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xdcc001…
05-17 15:55:27	Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	PlayTime	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xe567b9…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	86	$97.2K	1,268	06-10 02:44
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	77	$332.0K	988	06-09 19:49
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	76	$24.5K	3,987	06-05 16:22
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	75	$12.4K	1,179	06-05 16:22
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	74	$59.7K	14,422	06-05 16:22
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	74	$29.3K	6,370	06-05 16:22
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	73	$216.5K	8,775	06-05 16:19
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	72	$46.8K	3,012	05-17 16:57