Which-Prophet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$31

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.8%

Resolved

Trades

237

lifetime

Volume

$631

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-19

last 06-15 09:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

85% 57% +$31

Politics

9% — —

Other

5% — —

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1775816400	5	$37	31	30	+1	open	—	04-10 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	2	$30	71	0	+71	Up	+$41	05-12 09:55
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$22	30	30	+0	open	—	04-17 15:04
btc updown 5m 1776858000	3	$21	29	27	+1	open	—	04-22 11:42
sol updown 15m 1771490700	2	$17	12	12	+0	open	—	02-19 09:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	5	$16	278	2	+276	open	—	06-01 14:04
btc updown 5m 1775228400	3	$15	18	10	+8	open	—	04-03 15:04
btc updown 5m 1776933300	3	$13	13	10	+3	open	—	04-23 08:36
btc updown 5m 1776847500	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	04-22 08:50
btc updown 5m 1776258000	1	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	04-15 12:59
btc updown 5m 1776259500	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	04-15 13:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	1	$10	13	0	+13	Up	+$3	05-06 14:26
will company b be accused of insider trading	2	$8	11	11	+0	open	—	02-26 10:43
btc updown 5m 1781017800	2	$8	13	0	+13	open	—	06-09 15:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	2	$8	12	0	+12	open	—	05-14 12:15
btc updown 5m 1775228100	3	$8	17	2	+15	open	—	04-03 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	2	$7	12	0	+12	Up	+$5	05-06 08:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	3	$7	23	0	+23	open	—	05-01 12:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	3	$7	16	0	+16	Down	$-7	05-06 14:47
btc updown 5m 1781015100	3	$7	12	0	+12	open	—	06-09 14:28
btc updown 5m 1775816100	3	$7	10	3	+7	open	—	04-10 10:20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	2	$7	9	9	+0	open	—	04-22 07:33
btc updown 15m 1775563200	3	$7	20	4	+16	open	—	04-07 12:10
btc updown 5m 1776203400	1	$6	9	0	+9	open	—	04-14 21:50
btc updown 5m 1774442100	1	$6	8	0	+8	open	—	03-25 12:39
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$6	59	0	+59	open	—	04-02 14:06
btc updown 5m 1774363500	1	$6	16	0	+16	open	—	03-24 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	2	$6	17	0	+17	open	—	05-01 09:38
bitcoin up or down march 26 2026 8am et	1	$6	27	0	+27	open	—	03-26 12:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	2	$6	18	0	+18	Down	$-6	05-11 07:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 09:02:00	btc updown 5m 1781514000	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xcd7af7…
06-13 09:15:40	btc updown 5m 1781342100	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xfb877a…
06-12 13:41:10	btc updown 5m 1781271600	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xeb4fe5…
06-12 13:40:22	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x01f350…
06-09 15:45:21	btc updown 5m 1781019900	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x107447…
06-09 15:43:52	btc updown 5m 1781019600	Down	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x68f505…
06-09 15:43:19	btc updown 5m 1781019600	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x61e276…
06-09 15:11:21	btc updown 5m 1781017800	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x664471…
06-09 15:10:12	btc updown 5m 1781017800	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xac09fe…
06-09 15:06:54	btc updown 5m 1781017500	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xd65bd1…
06-09 14:28:00	btc updown 5m 1781015100	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x3d75c2…
06-09 14:26:31	btc updown 5m 1781015100	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x237a2d…
06-09 14:25:52	btc updown 5m 1781015100	Up	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0xef6fe7…
06-09 14:23:37	btc updown 5m 1781014800	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xbf154f…
06-09 14:22:58	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x0f984e…
06-01 14:06:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x580c49…
06-01 14:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x5186d6…
06-01 14:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x451892…
06-01 14:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0xdd575d…
06-01 14:01:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x2b6aaf…
06-01 14:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x536bc7…
05-29 15:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x751a05…
05-29 15:20:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x742d75…
05-21 18:52:58	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xb78e38…
05-18 07:52:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x9c13ef…
05-15 16:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x3534c0…
05-15 16:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x15b694…
05-15 16:17:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x7332a7…
05-14 12:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x60a72f…
05-14 12:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xdc5013…
05-13 10:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x59104e…
05-12 09:55:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0x556fb5…
05-12 09:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xa324fd…
05-11 22:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x6d0826…
05-11 17:36:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x84143d…
05-11 17:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xaf498d…
05-11 12:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x299807…
05-11 07:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xe3319a…
05-11 07:21:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x28ec2a…
05-07 15:20:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x7805f9…
05-07 14:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x465fde…
05-07 14:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x37b25b…
05-07 14:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x07b08c…
05-07 14:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x60b8be…
05-07 14:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x33ac27…
05-07 09:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x41e852…
05-07 07:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x43ca47…
05-06 22:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0ddefe…
05-06 22:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x410a03…
05-06 21:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x95c094…
05-06 14:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x33a411…
05-06 14:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x2e4a45…
05-06 14:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x1b791a…
05-06 14:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xc61997…
05-06 12:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd2e6e0…
05-06 08:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xa356c2…
05-06 08:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xde45ec…
05-06 07:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa6dc25…
05-05 12:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x4ea406…
05-05 12:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf562e7…
05-05 12:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x54c97b…
05-01 12:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x8dc63f…
05-01 12:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x12a512…
05-01 12:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xd51588…
05-01 12:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x7eaed1…
05-01 12:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x08bff2…
05-01 12:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x6ec00a…
05-01 09:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0xf800e8…
05-01 09:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb22ddc…
05-01 09:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x91f5df…
04-30 16:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xf15ac1…
04-30 08:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xf517cd…
04-23 08:36:46	btc updown 5m 1776933300	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc491bf…
04-23 08:36:32	btc updown 5m 1776933300	Down	SELL	10	65¢	$7	0xfd893a…
04-23 08:35:02	btc updown 5m 1776933300	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x3db2fd…
04-23 08:34:14	btc updown 5m 1776933000	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x566df0…
04-22 11:42:36	btc updown 5m 1776858000	Up	SELL	27	41¢	$11	0x04b75c…
04-22 11:40:28	btc updown 5m 1776858000	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x45e7c9…
04-22 11:40:04	btc updown 5m 1776858000	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x269d34…
04-22 11:36:30	btc updown 5m 1776857700	Up	BUY	75	7¢	$5	0x0a85a7…
04-22 08:50:14	btc updown 5m 1776847500	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x3e7979…
04-22 08:45:14	btc updown 5m 1776847500	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x387a9c…
04-22 07:33:34	btc updown 5m 1776843000	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xb8e328…
04-22 07:33:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	SELL	9	9¢	$1	0xfcbd0d…
04-22 07:32:50	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0xba21cb…
04-17 15:05:34	btc updown 5m 1776438300	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xb40d2a…
04-17 15:04:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	30	44¢	$13	0x72bcdc…
04-17 15:03:36	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0xd36aba…
04-17 07:36:46	btc updown 5m 1776411300	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x644a8b…
04-15 13:43:04	btc updown 5m 1776260400	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x9526af…
04-15 13:40:40	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xf6caa6…
04-15 13:40:32	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x1e35ce…
04-15 13:38:58	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xd4b045…
04-15 13:25:40	btc updown 5m 1776259500	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x3212f2…
04-15 12:59:52	btc updown 5m 1776258000	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x47e9cd…
04-15 12:58:54	btc updown 5m 1776257700	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xcb52fd…
04-15 12:57:04	btc updown 5m 1776257700	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x2ba1f1…
04-15 12:15:14	btc updown 5m 1776255300	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xb7c6ee…
04-15 12:12:40	btc updown 15m 1776254400	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x78d292…
04-14 21:50:32	btc updown 5m 1776203400	Up	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x5f0b44…