Firm-Validity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$438

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.9%

Resolved

Trades

140

lifetime

Volume

$99.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$708

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 06-28 04:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 94% +$15

Other

6% 100% +$423

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-28).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 60k on february 25	7	$9.0K	4,500	4,500	+0	Yes	+$0	02-25 13:56
bitcoin above 64k on march 6	6	$9.0K	4,500	4,500	+0	Yes	+$0	03-06 13:28
bitcoin above 60k on march 9	3	$5.2K	2,611	2,611	+0	Yes	+$8	03-09 07:53
EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	21	$5.0K	2,505	2,505	+0	No	+$1	03-30 21:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 5?	1	$4.6K	4,605	0	+4,605	Yes	+$5	05-05 02:13
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	1	$4.5K	4,505	0	+4,505	No	+$5	05-29 07:48
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 May 11-17?	2	$4.4K	2,220	2,220	+0	No	+$0	05-15 14:56
bitcoin above 60k on march 26	5	$4.0K	2,002	2,002	+0	Yes	+$0	03-25 12:41
bitcoin above 60k on march 16	1	$4.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	Yes	+$4	03-14 14:00
bitcoin above 74k on february 9	1	$4.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	No	+$4	02-09 13:18
bitcoin above 62k on march 12	2	$4.0K	3,960	0	+3,960	Yes	+$5	03-12 02:19
bitcoin above 66k on february 24	6	$3.8K	1,969	1,869	+100	No	+$2	02-24 13:56
bun wer bay 2026 02 14 wer	38	$3.6K	4,000	0	+4,000	No	+$400	02-13 12:41
bitcoin above 64k on march 10	4	$3.4K	3,393	0	+3,393	Yes	+$10	03-10 02:25
will bitcoin reach 86k march 16 22	1	$2.9K	2,903	0	+2,903	No	+$3	03-21 03:14
bitcoin above 66k on march 25	2	$2.9K	2,900	0	+2,900	Yes	+$3	03-25 13:02
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 May 11-17?	8	$2.8K	1,402	1,402	+0	No	+$0	05-16 02:39
will bitcoin reach 80k in june 2026	2	$2.5K	2,500	0	+2,500	No	+$2	06-28 04:08
will bitcoin dip to 66k on march 13	2	$2.2K	2,250	0	+2,250	No	+$3	03-13 14:26
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 May 18-24?	1	$2.0K	2,002	0	+2,002	No	+$2	05-20 06:56
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 May 18-24?	1	$2.0K	2,002	0	+2,002	No	+$2	05-20 06:56
ethereum above 1700 on march 7	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$0	03-07 07:45
Will Arc launch a token by March 31 2026?	4	$1.5K	1,558	0	+1,558	No	+$9	03-30 05:16
will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in june 2026	1	$1.5K	1,501	0	+1,501	No	+$2	06-28 04:08
will bitcoin dip to 65k on march 13	1	$1.2K	1,224	0	+1,224	No	+$1	03-13 14:25
will bitcoin reach 78k june 15 21 2026	1	$1000	1,001	0	+1,001	No	+$1	06-17 08:08
bitcoin above 70k on march 27	1	$1000	1,004	0	+1,004	No	+$4	03-27 12:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 4?	1	$1000	1,004	0	+1,004	Yes	+$4	05-04 08:21
bitcoin above 72k on march 26	1	$996	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$4	03-26 12:48
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 May 11-17?	1	$988	989	0	+989	No	+$1	05-14 04:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-28 04:08:41	will bitcoin reach 80k in june 2026	No	BUY	2,033	100¢	$2,031	0x8cc08f…
06-28 04:08:41	will bitcoin reach 80k in june 2026	No	BUY	467	100¢	$466	0x89b83d…
06-28 04:08:34	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	1,501	100¢	$1,499	0x5b3b15…
06-17 08:08:17	will bitcoin reach 78k june 15 21 2026	No	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0xf74a15…
05-29 07:48:02	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	4,505	100¢	$4,500	0xcec323…
05-20 06:56:49	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 May 18-24?	No	BUY	2,002	100¢	$2,000	0xc5a6ee…
05-20 06:56:44	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 May 18-24?	No	BUY	2,002	100¢	$2,000	0x4191fb…
05-16 02:39:16	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 May 11-17?	No	SELL	86	100¢	$86	0x353688…
05-16 02:34:24	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 May 11-17?	No	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0x73d774…
05-16 02:33:21	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 May 11-17?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xe549bd…
05-16 02:32:11	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 May 11-17?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xafd6b4…
05-15 23:48:46	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 May 11-17?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x996a83…
05-15 20:33:47	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 May 11-17?	No	SELL	556	100¢	$555	0x6eb182…
05-15 18:59:56	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 May 11-17?	No	SELL	117	100¢	$117	0x071375…
05-15 14:56:34	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 May 11-17?	No	SELL	2,220	100¢	$2,217	0xa76b13…
05-14 04:01:57	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 May 11-17?	No	BUY	1,402	100¢	$1,400	0xff3f93…
05-14 04:01:42	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 May 11-17?	No	BUY	2,220	100¢	$2,217	0x1b1626…
05-14 04:01:22	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	989	100¢	$988	0x142a61…
05-05 02:13:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	4,605	100¢	$4,600	0x4cc2d4…
05-04 08:21:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	1,004	100¢	$1,000	0xf4c05f…
03-30 21:46:21	EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0x0f00c9…
03-30 21:45:25	EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	SELL	78	100¢	$78	0x086038…
03-30 21:44:33	EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0xb61819…
03-30 21:43:35	EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	SELL	79	100¢	$79	0x12f3bd…
03-30 21:42:47	EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	SELL	69	100¢	$69	0x7743cb…
03-30 21:42:03	EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0xfbfa5b…
03-30 21:41:03	EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	SELL	71	100¢	$71	0x5c219d…
03-30 21:40:15	EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0xff90f1…
03-30 21:39:37	EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0x84ed86…
03-30 21:39:05	EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	SELL	900	100¢	$899	0x231d04…
03-30 19:01:35	EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	SELL	558	100¢	$557	0x3ee2cc…
03-30 05:16:56	Will Arc launch a token by March 31 2026?	No	BUY	450	100¢	$450	0x3341bc…
03-29 03:47:40	Will EdgeX launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x6263f1…
03-28 06:49:25	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x33ede9…
03-27 12:17:55	EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,502	100¢	$1,500	0xa6c49a…
03-27 12:17:15	bitcoin above 70k on march 27	No	BUY	1,004	100¢	$1,000	0x2c4991…
03-26 12:48:19	bitcoin above 72k on march 26	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$996	0xfca12e…
03-25 13:02:01	bitcoin above 66k on march 25	Yes	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0x99e968…
03-25 13:01:53	bitcoin above 66k on march 25	Yes	BUY	2,500	100¢	$2,498	0x52932e…
03-25 12:41:11	bitcoin above 60k on march 26	Yes	SELL	89	100¢	$89	0x005e8c…
03-25 12:37:57	bitcoin above 60k on march 26	Yes	SELL	380	100¢	$380	0x359b66…
03-25 12:31:45	bitcoin above 60k on march 26	Yes	SELL	601	100¢	$600	0x050841…
03-25 12:20:37	bitcoin above 60k on march 26	Yes	SELL	932	100¢	$931	0x7b13b0…
03-25 08:40:13	bitcoin above 60k on march 26	Yes	BUY	2,002	100¢	$2,000	0xa3a197…
03-21 03:14:41	will bitcoin reach 86k march 16 22	No	BUY	2,903	100¢	$2,900	0xcea125…
03-20 07:45:19	Will Arc launch a token by March 31 2026?	No	BUY	501	100¢	$500	0x46bb3c…
03-20 05:26:41	EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7554df…
03-20 05:26:39	EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x23e378…
03-20 05:26:17	EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0xf5c9e7…
03-20 05:26:13	EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x8ca6b4…
03-20 05:25:53	EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0x39d4f1…
03-20 05:25:45	EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	SELL	76	100¢	$75	0x043c7e…
03-20 05:25:41	EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	SELL	86	100¢	$85	0x587c9f…
03-20 05:25:17	EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0x10adb8…
03-19 14:10:25	EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,003	100¢	$1,000	0x0debc2…
03-14 14:00:35	bitcoin above 60k on march 16	Yes	BUY	4,000	100¢	$3,996	0x13efe3…
03-13 14:26:23	will bitcoin dip to 66k on march 13	No	BUY	1,800	100¢	$1,798	0x1a0f57…
03-13 14:26:03	will bitcoin dip to 66k on march 13	No	BUY	450	100¢	$450	0xf5c6e7…
03-13 14:25:55	will bitcoin dip to 65k on march 13	No	BUY	1,224	100¢	$1,223	0x7728a3…
03-12 02:19:01	bitcoin above 62k on march 12	Yes	BUY	3,000	100¢	$2,997	0xb4b938…
03-12 02:18:43	bitcoin above 62k on march 12	Yes	BUY	960	100¢	$958	0x68c9af…
03-10 02:25:47	bitcoin above 64k on march 10	Yes	BUY	1,500	100¢	$1,496	0xf01267…
03-10 02:25:39	bitcoin above 64k on march 10	Yes	BUY	1,500	100¢	$1,496	0x592ea2…
03-10 02:25:27	bitcoin above 64k on march 10	Yes	BUY	286	100¢	$285	0xb9666a…
03-10 02:25:05	bitcoin above 64k on march 10	Yes	BUY	107	100¢	$106	0x66728b…
03-09 07:53:55	bitcoin above 60k on march 9	Yes	SELL	2,611	100¢	$2,609	0xb4fdd2…
03-09 01:58:59	bitcoin above 60k on march 9	Yes	BUY	2,211	100¢	$2,202	0x430eae…
03-09 01:58:55	bitcoin above 60k on march 9	Yes	BUY	400	100¢	$398	0xf5e51e…
03-08 08:27:53	Will Arc launch a token by March 31 2026?	No	BUY	303	99¢	$300	0x340a05…
03-08 08:27:43	Will Arc launch a token by March 31 2026?	No	BUY	304	99¢	$300	0x0d156c…
03-07 07:45:35	ethereum above 1700 on march 7	Yes	SELL	1,000	100¢	$999	0x699637…
03-07 02:53:33	ethereum above 1700 on march 7	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x2f2bfd…
03-06 13:28:29	bitcoin above 64k on march 6	Yes	SELL	3,296	100¢	$3,292	0x3c7597…
03-06 13:28:23	bitcoin above 64k on march 6	Yes	SELL	511	100¢	$511	0x9bf787…
03-06 13:28:23	bitcoin above 64k on march 6	Yes	SELL	310	100¢	$310	0x6c84ec…
03-06 13:28:21	bitcoin above 64k on march 6	Yes	SELL	211	100¢	$210	0xa9a408…
03-06 13:28:17	bitcoin above 64k on march 6	Yes	SELL	172	100¢	$172	0x6f8ca0…
03-06 11:37:55	bitcoin above 64k on march 6	Yes	BUY	4,500	100¢	$4,496	0xaf366c…
02-25 13:56:30	bitcoin above 60k on february 25	Yes	SELL	2,465	100¢	$2,462	0x52fc70…
02-25 13:54:32	bitcoin above 60k on february 25	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x456126…
02-25 13:52:14	bitcoin above 60k on february 25	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x6f6f37…
02-25 13:51:10	bitcoin above 60k on february 25	Yes	SELL	361	100¢	$360	0xe72b64…
02-25 13:51:08	bitcoin above 60k on february 25	Yes	SELL	502	100¢	$502	0x864a09…
02-25 13:51:00	bitcoin above 60k on february 25	Yes	SELL	1,168	100¢	$1,167	0x10dc1a…
02-25 13:01:12	bitcoin above 60k on february 25	Yes	BUY	4,500	100¢	$4,496	0x734603…
02-24 13:56:50	bitcoin above 66k on february 24	No	SELL	274	100¢	$273	0x7fe85f…
02-24 13:56:50	bitcoin above 66k on february 24	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x087b52…
02-24 13:56:26	bitcoin above 66k on february 24	No	SELL	195	100¢	$194	0xa4aa96…
02-24 13:52:46	bitcoin above 66k on february 24	No	BUY	576	99¢	$572	0x8358ce…
02-24 13:51:34	bitcoin above 66k on february 24	No	SELL	1,393	99¢	$1,385	0x6df432…
02-24 13:45:34	bitcoin above 66k on february 24	No	BUY	1,393	99¢	$1,383	0xa48107…
02-21 04:36:24	bitcoin above 62k on february 21	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xac5e6f…
02-20 02:39:42	will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x9bf2d6…
02-17 09:44:25	Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?	No	SELL	126	100¢	$126	0xf69aca…
02-17 09:44:07	bitcoin above 64k on february 17	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x203e2a…
02-15 12:58:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-15 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0xe7e714…
02-15 12:58:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-15 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x65a7ab…
02-15 11:59:21	bitcoin up or down february 15 6am et	Down	BUY	152	100¢	$152	0x4cde67…
02-15 11:59:11	bitcoin up or down february 15 6am et	Down	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x46ff80…
02-13 12:41:35	bun wer bay 2026 02 14 wer	No	BUY	135	90¢	$122	0xd2731c…