Likable-Donut — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

105

lifetime

Volume

$411

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 05-20 18:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

88% 100% +$1

Crypto

11% — —

Politics

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$185	100	100	+0	open	—	03-21 19:39
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$103	56	56	+0	open	—	02-15 12:48
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	3	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	03-16 14:56
will ethereum reach 2600 in march 2026	3	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	03-17 15:37
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-19 12:21
West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	2	$3	2	2	+0	Under	+$0	05-10 16:50
uel por1 stu3 2026 03 19 por1	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	03-19 20:27
epl mun ast 2026 03 15 mun	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	03-15 15:16
bun moe mai 2026 04 19 total 1pt5	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-19 18:35
epl eve bur 2026 03 03 total 1pt5	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-03 15:53
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$2	0	2	-2	open	—	01-25 20:34
lal val rea 2026 02 08 rea	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	02-08 20:56
Will Solana reach $110 in May?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-04 19:03
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-04 19:01
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-04 19:02
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-20 18:07
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-02 18:52
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-25 20:33
lal bil vil 2026 04 12 total 3pt5	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-12 20:12
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	03-26 07:51
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-02 18:49
Will Solana reach $100 in April?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-02 18:53
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-02 18:51
will ethereum reach 2400 in march 2026	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	03-08 20:59
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	02-19 21:01
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-23 13:51
sea com int 2026 04 12 com	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-12 20:01
megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	02-08 17:03
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-20 18:08
Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	01-06 19:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 18:11:36	Aalesunds FK vs. SK Brann: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x5069ec…
05-20 18:08:16	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0x2ce9b5…
05-20 18:07:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xba41e9…
05-16 05:29:01	1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x8469af…
05-15 20:54:47	FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x67b12b…
05-15 20:50:19	Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x161408…
05-15 20:46:44	Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xf8730d…
05-13 09:25:03	Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xb6cdb2…
05-10 16:50:26	West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	2	90¢	$1	0xdb758f…
05-10 16:02:59	West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xc6e673…
05-10 11:57:22	New York City FC vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xc49a8a…
05-08 18:42:22	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x098b20…
05-04 19:03:52	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	No	BUY	2	81¢	$1	0xda4ea6…
05-04 19:03:36	Will Solana reach $110 in May?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x46249b…
05-04 19:02:52	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x9b1fd9…
05-04 19:02:36	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?	No	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0xaaffee…
05-04 19:01:56	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x9bb8b7…
05-04 19:01:10	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0xf010a1…
05-04 18:56:48	AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xd53913…
05-02 18:49:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xc053a5…
05-02 18:41:50	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xf2c658…
05-02 18:15:20	Chicago Fire FC vs. FC Cincinnati: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x215272…
05-02 18:12:04	FC Metz vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xbe6086…
04-23 19:53:00	highest temperature in seoul on april 24 2026 21corhigher	Yes	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x3240bc…
04-23 19:50:22	lal ovi vil 2026 04 23 btts	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x8ea591…
04-19 18:35:38	bun moe mai 2026 04 19 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x30f4ee…
04-19 12:35:22	bun moe mai 2026 04 19 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x0d5f8d…
04-19 12:33:16	bun fre hei 2026 04 19 hei	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x44dca7…
04-19 12:21:30	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$1	0x4a1808…
04-12 20:12:23	lal bil vil 2026 04 12 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	1	52¢	$1	0xc89962…
04-12 20:11:17	will vitality win iem rio 2026	Yes	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x09994c…
04-12 20:01:23	sea com int 2026 04 12 com	Yes	SELL	2	27¢	$0	0x9c7236…
04-12 19:26:33	sea com int 2026 04 12 com	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x9c4c7e…
04-12 19:22:53	lal bil vil 2026 04 12 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xaf2fd9…
04-11 17:38:47	sea ata juv 2026 04 11 spread away 1pt5	Atalanta BC	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x96e9ea…
04-11 17:19:15	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x5675a2…
04-08 19:22:01	ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 btts	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x11935f…
04-08 19:20:23	ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x50d3be…
04-02 18:53:49	Will Solana reach $100 in April?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x5af268…
04-02 18:52:53	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x546d15…
04-02 18:51:15	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xa468e1…
04-02 18:49:53	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x256511…
03-31 18:53:39	uef cze den 2026 03 31 btts	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x9b4c3e…
03-31 15:27:23	will sweden qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x5e992c…
03-27 12:24:37	fif che ger 2026 03 27 btts	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xb44652…
03-26 07:51:59	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x62488a…
03-26 07:39:29	uef ukr swe 2026 03 26 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xda770f…
03-22 19:30:43	por scb por 2026 03 22 btts	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x60c852…
03-22 19:11:39	lal bil bet 2026 03 22 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x111005…
03-21 19:39:27	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	41	99¢	$41	0xa326b0…
03-21 19:26:15	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0xe6aae8…
03-21 18:49:31	bun dor hsv 2026 03 21 btts	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x747735…
03-21 18:13:23	lal osa gir 2026 03 21 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc6509b…
03-21 18:10:55	epl eve che 2026 03 21 btts	Yes	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x63e4db…
03-19 20:27:41	uel por1 stu3 2026 03 19 por1	Yes	SELL	3	56¢	$1	0x1b0ceb…
03-19 19:38:33	uel por1 stu3 2026 03 19 por1	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x24d916…
03-19 19:24:11	uel bet1 pao2 2026 03 19 bet1	Yes	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x8fecd6…
03-17 15:37:19	will ethereum reach 2600 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xc1fbde…
03-17 15:33:19	ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 fcb1	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x23f55f…
03-16 14:56:41	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0xdfdc1f…
03-16 14:55:21	will ethereum reach 2600 in march 2026	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x9510a4…
03-15 15:16:57	epl mun ast 2026 03 15 mun	Yes	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0xa0fe9c…
03-15 12:50:37	lal bar sev 2026 03 15 btts	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xbde92d…
03-15 12:44:23	epl mun ast 2026 03 15 mun	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x17c328…
03-14 19:44:37	sea udi juv 2026 03 14 btts	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3fed85…
03-14 11:08:25	lal mad get 2026 03 14 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xf25c81…
03-12 20:01:41	uel gnk scf 2026 03 12 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x77677a…
03-10 21:21:45	ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 btts	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xe35ef1…
03-10 21:12:49	will ethereum reach 2600 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x1fa457…
03-08 21:44:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	59	88¢	$52	0x9a4574…
03-08 21:32:05	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	59	89¢	$52	0x771180…
03-08 21:04:23	sea mil int 2026 03 08 btts	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x639d66…
03-08 20:59:37	will ethereum reach 2400 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0xd94526…
03-06 13:46:19	sea nap tor 2026 03 06 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x82ebfd…
03-06 13:45:13	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x76a5a8…
03-03 15:56:13	epl eve bur 2026 03 03 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xcbdfb3…
03-03 15:53:41	epl eve bur 2026 03 03 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x610b89…
03-03 15:46:05	epl eve bur 2026 03 03 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xd3f28e…
03-03 15:27:13	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x7fe5c7…
03-03 15:26:51	will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x3d5460…
03-01 18:53:15	sea rom juv 2026 03 01 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x75e84f…
02-27 15:56:05	bun aug koe 2026 02 27 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x53cc87…
02-26 17:20:24	uel stu3 cel3 2026 02 26 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x1bfc83…
02-24 20:39:36	ucl int2 bog1 2026 02 24 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xa06af7…
02-24 20:38:12	ucl lev2 oly 2026 02 24 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xfdaa2f…
02-19 21:05:08	uel pao2 plz1 2026 02 19 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xf2c179…
02-19 21:01:28	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	No	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x9f5290…
02-18 10:57:20	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	No	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0xce244f…
02-18 10:53:04	ucl qar1 new 2026 02 18 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xa8f190…
02-15 12:48:59	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	56	92¢	$51	0xf7a91b…
02-15 12:44:17	lal gir bar 2026 02 16 bar	Yes	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xe1d7f9…
02-15 12:38:57	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	56	93¢	$52	0xcd4771…
02-15 12:18:33	will ethereum dip to 1600 in february 2026	No	BUY	2	87¢	$1	0xe61b41…
02-08 20:56:15	lal val rea 2026 02 08 rea	Yes	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x2f9175…
02-08 17:07:51	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$1	0x44d364…
02-08 17:03:51	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xfb0b96…
02-08 17:01:33	lal val rea 2026 02 08 rea	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x6c8cbf…
01-28 20:30:54	ucl lev2 vil1 2026 01 28 lev2	Yes	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0x00ca76…
01-25 20:34:00	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x68404a…
01-25 20:33:32	Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x31a513…