Insidious-Flume — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$15.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$345

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-17

last 06-15 07:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

59% 50% +$1

Politics

21% 50% +$1

Sports

19% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	5	$2.8K	1,557	1,555	+2	Yes	+$2	03-18 10:05
elon musk of tweets march 2026 1120 1159	2	$2.7K	1,402	1,402	+0	open	—	03-18 06:45
will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	2	$2.7K	1,383	1,383	+0	open	—	03-18 11:54
will pltr close between 152 and 154 week march 20 2026	2	$2.5K	1,457	1,457	+0	open	—	03-18 14:35
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$2.5K	1,283	1,283	+0	open	—	03-19 02:32
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	6	$502	273	272	+1	open	—	03-19 01:12
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?	3	$493	265	265	+0	open	—	03-18 16:43
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$486	251	251	+0	No	+$0	03-18 22:31
will miguel roca win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	3	$477	264	264	+0	open	—	03-18 23:39
nvda up or down on march 17 2026	1	$102	364	0	+364	open	—	03-17 16:10
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	4	$42	837	837	+0	No	$-1	03-19 00:24
itsb reg mon 2026 03 17 spread away 2pt5	2	$24	26	0	+26	open	—	03-17 15:02
itsb ven pad 2026 03 17 pad	1	$23	24	0	+24	open	—	03-17 15:09
cs2 nem zerote 2026 03 17 game2	1	$22	198	0	+198	open	—	03-17 15:58
ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 spread away 1pt5	1	$16	17	0	+17	open	—	03-17 15:20
fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 spread home 2pt5	1	$15	17	0	+17	open	—	06-12 04:09
fifwc irn nzl 2026 06 15 total 4pt5	1	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	06-15 07:58
cs2 vit 9z 2026 06 12	1	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	06-12 05:36
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)	1	$11	12	0	+12	Newcastle United FC	+$1	05-10 07:52
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?	2	$7	115	115	+0	open	—	03-18 22:48
Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	2	$5	116	116	+0	open	—	03-18 21:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 07:58:55	fifwc irn nzl 2026 06 15 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xea376b…
06-12 05:36:10	cs2 vit 9z 2026 06 12	Vitality	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0xe35107…
06-12 04:09:39	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 spread home 2pt5	Bosnia and Herzegovina	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0x9acf60…
05-10 07:52:36	Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)	Newcastle United FC	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0xb09643…
03-19 02:32:19	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	1,283	97¢	$1,246	0xc2969a…
03-19 01:12:51	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	272	92¢	$251	0x146283…
03-19 01:09:13	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xcdcafa…
03-19 01:06:17	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	94	92¢	$87	0x75b34d…
03-19 01:06:17	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	86	92¢	$79	0x70268d…
03-19 01:06:17	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	53	92¢	$49	0x584a15…
03-19 01:06:17	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	38	92¢	$35	0x341cd9…
03-19 00:24:25	Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	370	2¢	$9	0x052cb8…
03-19 00:17:23	Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	370	3¢	$10	0x5b9c0c…
03-18 23:54:41	Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	467	2¢	$12	0x3b81a7…
03-18 23:45:23	Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	467	3¢	$12	0x04724b…
03-18 23:39:39	will miguel roca win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	No	SELL	211	90¢	$191	0x8bae44…
03-18 23:39:39	will miguel roca win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	No	SELL	53	90¢	$48	0x4ee296…
03-18 23:29:55	will miguel roca win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	No	BUY	264	90¢	$238	0x13b2ce…
03-18 22:48:59	Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	115	3¢	$3	0x8d163c…
03-18 22:39:21	Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	115	3¢	$4	0x1da19f…
03-18 22:31:23	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	251	97¢	$243	0xa7c0b2…
03-18 22:23:47	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	251	97¢	$243	0x846e7e…
03-18 21:26:13	Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	No	SELL	116	2¢	$3	0xdf9ee2…
03-18 21:20:19	Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	No	BUY	116	2¢	$3	0x6dedaa…
03-18 16:43:43	Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	265	93¢	$246	0xec4ad9…
03-18 16:36:59	Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0xe137ea…
03-18 16:36:57	Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	238	93¢	$222	0x712684…
03-18 15:31:03	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	1,283	97¢	$1,245	0xa0202e…
03-18 14:35:07	will pltr close between 152 and 154 week march 20 2026	No	SELL	1,457	86¢	$1,253	0x730c8e…
03-18 14:28:05	will pltr close between 152 and 154 week march 20 2026	No	BUY	1,457	88¢	$1,282	0x791889…
03-18 11:54:49	will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	No	SELL	1,383	97¢	$1,342	0xcb72c9…
03-18 11:47:01	will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	No	BUY	1,383	97¢	$1,340	0x72cb3b…
03-18 10:05:23	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	Yes	SELL	398	90¢	$359	0xe85cd8…
03-18 10:05:23	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	Yes	SELL	422	90¢	$381	0x4bf521…
03-18 10:05:23	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	Yes	SELL	735	90¢	$664	0x21a703…
03-18 09:57:43	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	Yes	BUY	1,159	90¢	$1,045	0xf23c8c…
03-18 09:57:43	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	Yes	BUY	398	90¢	$359	0x4f71d9…
03-18 06:45:41	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1120 1159	No	SELL	1,402	98¢	$1,368	0x46a0a2…
03-18 06:39:59	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1120 1159	No	BUY	1,402	98¢	$1,368	0x3656d9…
03-17 16:10:33	nvda up or down on march 17 2026	Up	BUY	364	28¢	$102	0x1590a2…
03-17 15:58:37	cs2 nem zerote 2026 03 17 game2	ex-Zero Tenacity	BUY	198	11¢	$22	0xa8292e…
03-17 15:20:25	ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 spread away 1pt5	Manchester City FC	BUY	17	95¢	$16	0xfea3f0…
03-17 15:09:41	itsb ven pad 2026 03 17 pad	No	BUY	24	94¢	$23	0x455fe6…
03-17 15:02:23	itsb reg mon 2026 03 17 spread away 2pt5	AC Reggiana 1919	BUY	18	92¢	$16	0xe34641…
03-17 15:02:21	itsb reg mon 2026 03 17 spread away 2pt5	AC Reggiana 1919	BUY	8	92¢	$8	0xa5a7b5…