Impartial-Criteria — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

82.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$46

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-21

last 06-08 13:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

68% 60% $-1

Other

17% — —

Politics

9% — —

Sports

4% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes		+1	$1	97¢	$1	$-0	06-08 13:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$6	6	0	+6	Down	+$0	05-13 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	4	$4	10	0	+10	open	—	05-19 12:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	3	$3	8	0	+8	open	—	05-19 15:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 01:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-19 12:09
btc updown 5m 1780586700	2	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	06-04 15:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	2	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-26 11:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-08 01:41
will frankenstein win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$1	250	0	+250	open	—	01-21 19:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-23 23:16
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$1	200	0	+200	open	—	04-16 14:38
spx up or down on january 21 2026	1	$1	200	0	+200	open	—	01-21 19:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-04 15:36
trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-07 22:01
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	03-02 19:18
ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 fcb1	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-14 20:12
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	1	$1	22	0	+22	open	—	05-13 15:40
btc updown 5m 1780926900	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	06-08 13:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	1	$1	6	0	+6	Up	$-1	05-07 13:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-20 12:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	04-07 22:00
btc updown 5m 1780592100	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	06-04 16:56
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-14 20:19
Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	06-08 13:59
trump out as president by march 31	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	03-02 19:20
btc updown 5m 1780583100	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	06-04 14:27
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-14 20:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-08 13:18
lal rea get 2026 03 02 rea	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	03-02 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-22 13:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 13:59:22	Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5b13f1…
06-08 13:56:55	btc updown 5m 1780926900	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x19e52a…
06-04 16:56:37	btc updown 5m 1780592100	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x81f301…
06-04 15:26:07	btc updown 5m 1780586700	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x666a91…
06-04 15:26:03	btc updown 5m 1780586700	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x188554…
06-04 14:27:06	btc updown 5m 1780583100	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xae44e6…
05-26 11:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xd82578…
05-26 11:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xffd95c…
05-23 23:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x083ddb…
05-22 13:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xdb5c13…
05-20 12:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xc6a573…
05-19 15:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xf3c68d…
05-19 15:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xc3acc5…
05-19 15:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xf7990a…
05-19 12:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x7933aa…
05-19 12:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x81bdd8…
05-19 12:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x6cc2e7…
05-19 12:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x08a542…
05-19 12:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xeca3c5…
05-19 12:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x7f536c…
05-13 15:40:13	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0xf88e68…
05-13 15:39:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x367a7a…
05-13 15:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe7af62…
05-13 15:36:10	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x8fb040…
05-08 13:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x26efe8…
05-08 01:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc19db4…
05-08 01:40:09	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1e2c1e…
05-07 13:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x9317a8…
05-07 01:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdafdcd…
05-07 01:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x4a8ef9…
05-04 15:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xa0d1f1…
04-16 14:38:00	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x166e8f…
04-14 20:19:14	Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4fa2db…
04-14 20:16:44	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc9b018…
04-14 20:12:16	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 fcb1	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xdf3a57…
04-07 22:01:25	trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x84070b…
04-07 22:00:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x82ec28…
03-02 19:20:59	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4e593c…
03-02 19:18:59	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xfc96f7…
03-02 19:14:53	lal rea get 2026 03 02 rea	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x298f36…
01-21 19:52:34	will frankenstein win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xe9e965…
01-21 19:48:54	spx up or down on january 21 2026	Down	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x088419…