Austere-Normalization — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$19.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$486

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-21 11:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% $-4

Other

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on April 30?	1	$2.1K	2,074	0	+2,074	open	—	05-01 00:30
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 30?	1	$2.1K	2,070	0	+2,070	open	—	04-30 13:53
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 29?	1	$2.1K	2,067	0	+2,067	open	—	04-29 08:42
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on April 28?	1	$2.1K	2,062	0	+2,062	open	—	04-29 01:45
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 28?	1	$2.1K	2,059	0	+2,059	open	—	04-28 09:11
ethereum above 2800 on january 9	1	$1.1K	1,066	0	+1,066	open	—	01-09 05:33
ethereum above 2500 on january 8	1	$1.1K	1,065	0	+1,065	open	—	01-08 03:26
will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on january 6	1	$1.1K	1,064	0	+1,064	open	—	01-06 02:51
will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on january 5	1	$1.1K	1,061	0	+1,061	open	—	01-05 02:52
will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on january 4	1	$1.1K	1,060	0	+1,060	open	—	01-04 02:31
will the price of ethereum be greater than 3400 on january 3	1	$1.1K	1,058	0	+1,058	open	—	01-03 10:30
ethereum above 3300 on january 2	1	$1.1K	1,057	0	+1,057	open	—	01-02 02:08
ethereum above 3300 on january 1	1	$1.1K	1,056	0	+1,056	open	—	01-01 03:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 9?	1	$19	19	0	+19	Yes	+$0	05-08 03:35
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on february 11	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	02-10 05:55
bitcoin above 80k on february 6	1	$16	16	0	+16	open	—	02-05 07:57
bitcoin above 64k on march 12	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	03-11 09:42
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	05-21 11:15
bitcoin above 64k on march 7	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	03-06 06:56
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?	1	$12	14	0	+14	open	—	02-04 09:27
bitcoin above 64k on march 27	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	03-26 06:08
bill clinton in jail by december 31	2	$11	6	5	+1	open	—	01-27 07:15
will israel nuke iran by january 31	2	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	01-31 06:10
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on April 26?	1	$6	2,082	0	+2,082	open	—	04-27 02:38
will iranian officials visit the white house by february 28	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	02-24 04:04
nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	01-15 13:03
Will The Bride be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	04-14 02:47
will bitcoin dip to 76k on april 22	1	$4	2,092	0	+2,092	open	—	04-23 02:41
will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on march 21	2	$4	2,086	0	+2,086	open	—	03-21 02:37
will ethereum dip to 2200 on april 17	1	$4	2,076	0	+2,076	open	—	04-18 00:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 11:15:10	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7cf1ca…
05-14 01:22:09	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	1,833	0¢	$4	0x057f84…
05-08 03:35:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xf22baf…
05-01 00:30:26	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on April 30?	No	BUY	2,074	100¢	$2,070	0x5de25f…
04-30 13:53:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	2,070	100¢	$2,066	0x646281…
04-29 08:42:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 29?	No	BUY	2,067	100¢	$2,063	0x86bd66…
04-29 01:45:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	2,062	100¢	$2,058	0x4a8098…
04-28 09:11:08	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 28?	No	BUY	2,059	100¢	$2,053	0xa0fc33…
04-27 02:38:36	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	2,082	0¢	$6	0x2110b1…
04-23 02:41:10	will bitcoin dip to 76k on april 22	Yes	BUY	2,092	0¢	$4	0xf53818…
04-20 13:19:12	xrp above 1pt2 on april 20	No	BUY	2,064	0¢	$4	0x8d8cc9…
04-20 13:19:12	xrp above 1pt2 on april 20	No	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x0b9a1d…
04-18 00:44:30	will ethereum dip to 2200 on april 17	Yes	BUY	2,076	0¢	$4	0x5a48e4…
04-14 02:47:59	Will The Bride be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb3dddc…
03-26 06:08:01	bitcoin above 64k on march 27	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x571ace…
03-21 02:37:43	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on march 21	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xe3c585…
03-21 02:37:43	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on march 21	Yes	BUY	2,073	0¢	$4	0x7dcae4…
03-11 09:42:27	bitcoin above 64k on march 12	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x792a73…
03-06 06:56:37	bitcoin above 64k on march 7	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x711a81…
02-24 04:04:00	will iranian officials visit the white house by february 28	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5ffb10…
02-17 07:38:57	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x29cdac…
02-10 05:55:49	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on february 11	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x60b7f9…
02-05 07:57:19	bitcoin above 80k on february 6	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x683e33…
02-04 09:27:34	Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	88¢	$12	0xa49d2f…
02-02 12:04:24	will msft close above 480 week february 6 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x81836d…
01-31 06:10:42	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb20435…
01-30 07:38:32	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd384f2…
01-29 09:49:44	will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x04e267…
01-27 07:15:37	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x37c2f7…
01-26 06:55:44	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc66648…
01-15 13:03:44	nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x364ef4…
01-09 05:33:42	ethereum above 2800 on january 9	Yes	BUY	1,066	100¢	$1,065	0xcffbc4…
01-08 03:26:47	ethereum above 2500 on january 8	Yes	BUY	1,065	100¢	$1,064	0x0acc55…
01-06 02:51:05	will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on january 6	No	BUY	1,064	100¢	$1,062	0x51d0db…
01-05 02:52:27	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on january 5	No	BUY	1,061	100¢	$1,060	0xd25b5b…
01-04 02:31:59	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on january 4	No	BUY	1,060	100¢	$1,059	0x29deae…
01-03 10:30:31	will the price of ethereum be greater than 3400 on january 3	No	BUY	1,058	100¢	$1,057	0x4f27d7…
01-02 02:08:25	ethereum above 3300 on january 2	No	BUY	1,057	100¢	$1,056	0xdb50ff…
01-01 03:09:55	ethereum above 3300 on january 1	No	BUY	1,056	100¢	$1,054	0x2730e4…