Novel-Polenta — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$42

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

18.8%

Resolved

Trades

246

lifetime

Volume

$1.03K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 05-28 02:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Sports

52% 29% $-42

Other

22% — —

Crypto

18% — —

Politics

8% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Lakers vs. Rockets	7	$75	1,056	0	+1,056	open	—	04-27 03:55
Lakers vs. Rockets	7	$72	100	98	+2	open	—	04-25 02:52
highest temperature in hong kong on april 23 2026 29c	3	$69	179	65	+114	open	—	04-23 06:04
76ers vs. Celtics	1	$54	0	54	-54	open	—	04-29 02:17
T20 Hong Kong Tri-Series, Women: China vs Hong Kong, China	2	$42	22	22	+0	open	—	05-08 09:42
will trump say insurance during healthcare event	2	$33	33	32	+1	open	—	04-24 02:17
Bruins vs. Sabres	2	$32	22	22	+0	open	—	04-29 03:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 25?	4	$31	92	51	+42	open	—	04-25 10:20
nba hou lal 2026 04 21	5	$30	25,500	0	+25,500	open	—	04-22 05:40
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	2	$28	18	18	+0	open	—	05-01 04:21
Utah vs. Golden Knights	2	$25	16	16	+0	open	—	04-30 06:58
76ers vs. Celtics	2	$22	17	17	+0	open	—	05-03 03:32
Kansas City Royals vs. Athletics	2	$20	15	15	+0	open	—	04-29 04:56
nhl lak col 2026 04 21	2	$20	11,000	0	+11,000	open	—	04-22 06:12
Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	1	$20	34	0	+34	open	—	04-27 02:36
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$20	20	20	+0	open	—	04-22 15:34
Rockets vs. Lakers	2	$17	65	0	+65	open	—	04-30 03:59
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	3	$16	6,000	5,000	+1,000	open	—	04-28 10:06
Lakers vs. Thunder	3	$15	1,117	0	+1,117	Thunder	$-15	05-06 02:58
76ers vs. Knicks	2	$13	42	0	+42	Knicks	$-13	05-04 03:06
btc updown 5m 1776867300	1	$11	1,100	0	+1,100	open	—	04-22 14:18
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	2	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	04-22 06:12
Lakers vs. Rockets	1	$10	26	0	+26	open	—	05-01 03:59
Lakers vs. Thunder	1	$10	77	0	+77	Thunder	$-10	05-06 03:11
Celtics vs. 76ers	1	$10	30	0	+30	open	—	04-30 04:51
will donald trumps tie be red on april 24 2026	1	$10	18	0	+18	open	—	04-22 04:50
highest temperature in seoul on april 22 2026 19corhigher	1	$10	118	0	+118	open	—	04-22 05:33
Madrid Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Vit Kopriva	2	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	04-22 06:53
nba orl det 2026 04 22	2	$10	22	21	+1	open	—	04-22 13:06
Knicks vs. 76ers	1	$9	18	0	+18	Knicks	+$9	05-08 05:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-28 02:41:09	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x041fed…
05-28 02:40:50	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x34215f…
05-28 02:40:11	Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers	Texas Rangers	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xaf3765…
05-18 03:26:53	Geneva Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	Stefanos Tsitsipas	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x0e138d…
05-14 03:06:29	Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros	Houston Astros	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x7651fd…
05-08 09:42:36	T20 Hong Kong Tri-Series, Women: China vs Hong Kong, China	Hong Kong, China	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x641b73…
05-08 05:35:17	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x29ba72…
05-08 05:34:56	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	18	49¢	$9	0x69c321…
05-08 05:34:37	T20 Hong Kong Tri-Series, Women: China vs Hong Kong, China	Hong Kong, China	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x954d91…
05-06 03:11:50	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x6b01e0…
05-06 03:11:14	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	31	29¢	$9	0xbac0b6…
05-06 02:58:24	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x372b4e…
05-04 03:06:00	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0xe1c75b…
05-03 06:22:24	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	12	30¢	$4	0x68b976…
05-03 03:47:00	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	33	12¢	$4	0x1388d7…
05-03 03:32:12	76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x4b1a58…
05-02 15:37:20	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xe7f104…
05-02 15:36:38	76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x288bf3…
05-01 10:57:10	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	26	31¢	$8	0xbcc8d5…
05-01 10:10:18	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x4f4c9e…
05-01 04:21:54	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xa0b27c…
05-01 03:59:28	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x5c2110…
05-01 03:48:20	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x7e7c91…
04-30 10:00:22	Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x1469cd…
04-30 09:58:32	Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in April?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x2b5ee1…
04-30 09:58:14	Will Trump talk to Yoon Suk Yeol in April?	Yes	BUY	108	1¢	$1	0x453d16…
04-30 07:53:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x280c86…
04-30 07:20:32	Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in April?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xdc787b…
04-30 06:58:26	Utah vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x9a6c65…
04-30 05:05:04	Utah vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	16	56¢	$9	0x48f064…
04-30 04:51:32	Celtics vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xbe9d75…
04-30 03:59:54	Rockets vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xe0199b…
04-30 03:57:12	Rockets vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	23	30¢	$7	0xeed906…
04-29 04:56:40	Kansas City Royals vs. Athletics	Kansas City Royals	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x8a3b7e…
04-29 03:33:56	Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by April 30?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa966fd…
04-29 03:21:18	Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres	San Diego Padres	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x93a165…
04-29 03:18:38	Kansas City Royals vs. Athletics	Kansas City Royals	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x140701…
04-29 03:11:42	Bruins vs. Sabres	Bruins	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x35736b…
04-29 02:31:00	Bruins vs. Sabres	Bruins	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xee2a70…
04-29 02:17:56	76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0x74ccd1…
04-28 10:07:28	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x393dfa…
04-28 10:06:52	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2d3a20…
04-28 10:06:44	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5ba500…
04-27 09:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xf4a4b4…
04-27 09:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xedce66…
04-27 09:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x9f7695…
04-27 08:23:22	Will MrBeast hit 485 million subscribers by April 30?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xc1fe1c…
04-27 08:03:24	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x3159ca…
04-27 05:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x7f4dd0…
04-27 05:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xbc8b8a…
04-27 05:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0x865313…
04-27 05:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xa5717b…
04-27 05:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2d3444…
04-27 04:19:30	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	25	24¢	$6	0xff58f8…
04-27 04:15:32	Will Trump say "N Word" in April?	Yes	BUY	41	2¢	$1	0x104e58…
04-27 04:15:24	Will Trump say "Love Trump" or "Loves Trump" in April?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x66bcfc…
04-27 03:55:16	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xd36b48…
04-27 03:42:30	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x47a26d…
04-27 03:13:04	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x52b4e3…
04-27 03:12:34	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xe0a29b…
04-27 02:36:12	Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x5949b7…
04-27 02:02:52	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0xe953d5…
04-26 12:55:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	194	1¢	$1	0x9ec92b…
04-26 12:55:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	210	0¢	$1	0x78ff2e…
04-26 12:55:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x760f87…
04-26 12:54:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	232	0¢	$1	0x19f8c4…
04-26 09:16:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$2	0xc75892…
04-26 09:14:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x3a4cbd…
04-26 09:13:10	Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	Timberwolves	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x365d7a…
04-26 09:12:48	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x67ae56…
04-26 06:51:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	105	1¢	$1	0x57ad61…
04-26 06:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x774066…
04-26 04:36:24	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	Yes	BUY	41	2¢	$1	0x957101…
04-26 04:36:18	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0xfcb257…
04-26 04:19:30	Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xf8cf89…
04-26 03:34:02	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa472e4…
04-26 02:18:42	Will anyone be kicked out of the WHCA Dinner?	No	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x452985…
04-25 17:07:54	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x6e5d13…
04-25 17:07:42	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x5f9310…
04-25 17:04:44	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x1cb79a…
04-25 10:46:50	Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	47	2¢	$1	0x36e9b6…
04-25 10:46:44	Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x0d1a79…
04-25 10:20:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xc991e0…
04-25 10:20:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x76d99d…
04-25 10:17:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 25?	Yes	SELL	51	26¢	$13	0xd0ce4d…
04-25 09:27:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	54	15¢	$8	0xf3e370…
04-25 08:24:54	Will "Michael" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	202	0¢	$1	0xe6b20d…
04-25 07:53:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	74	1¢	$1	0x8841d1…
04-25 07:00:30	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xaf6362…
04-25 07:00:06	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x0c4e98…
04-25 06:59:38	Thunder vs. Suns	Suns	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xd17455…
04-25 02:52:56	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	SELL	36	97¢	$35	0xc384ee…
04-25 01:38:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x1765f3…
04-24 17:50:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	12¢	$5	0xd3bd63…
04-24 17:49:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	59¢	$5	0x0dc832…
04-24 14:51:24	Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x143b31…
04-24 12:16:24	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0xcf563a…
04-24 11:56:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x288291…
04-24 11:53:56	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x77c5d0…
04-24 09:59:30	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x005d13…