Old-Alibi — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

112

lifetime

Volume

$20.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$181

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 04-26 18:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

46% 0% $-1

Sports

32% — —

Crypto

16% — —

Politics

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$982	491	491	+0	open	—	03-18 18:47
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	4	$982	492	492	+0	open	—	04-13 12:51
will billy horschel win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$980	491	491	+0	open	—	03-26 19:16
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$942	471	471	+0	open	—	03-23 04:13
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	4	$866	434	434	+0	open	—	03-04 18:24
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$838	421	421	+0	No	$-0	03-29 20:52
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$818	409	409	+0	No	$-0	03-26 06:47
Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$526	263	263	+0	open	—	03-05 08:44
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$518	260	260	+0	open	—	03-28 20:58
Will Olympiakos win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$502	252	252	+0	open	—	02-14 22:39
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	2	$490	245	245	+0	open	—	03-21 21:14
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	2	$488	245	245	+0	open	—	03-24 04:49
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$488	245	245	+0	open	—	04-14 15:45
will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	2	$480	240	240	+0	open	—	03-27 14:01
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$460	230	230	+0	open	—	03-12 11:32
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$440	221	221	+0	open	—	04-08 11:02
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	2	$434	218	218	+0	No	$-0	03-26 00:33
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	2	$432	217	217	+0	open	—	04-18 03:35
Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$428	214	214	+0	open	—	03-03 05:28
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	2	$421	211	211	+0	open	—	02-26 18:30
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	2	$414	207	207	+0	open	—	03-14 04:48
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$410	206	206	+0	open	—	03-25 18:09
will zach johnson win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$406	203	203	+0	open	—	04-03 19:38
will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$406	203	203	+0	open	—	02-28 10:03
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	2	$392	196	196	+0	No	$-0	03-18 11:07
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$390	195	195	+0	open	—	04-11 18:35
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$390	195	195	+0	open	—	04-26 18:55
will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	2	$388	194	194	+0	open	—	03-30 04:38
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	2	$388	195	195	+0	open	—	04-13 17:38
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$382	191	191	+0	open	—	04-06 13:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-26 18:55:12	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	195	100¢	$195	0x5deec6…
04-26 14:48:10	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	195	100¢	$195	0x724312…
04-22 01:56:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	No	SELL	187	100¢	$187	0x220bf4…
04-21 15:29:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	No	BUY	187	100¢	$187	0x4a3281…
04-18 10:41:44	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	SELL	169	100¢	$169	0x3b2aad…
04-18 07:16:48	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	169	100¢	$169	0xaad0bc…
04-18 03:35:14	Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	217	99¢	$216	0x7d5078…
04-18 02:26:14	Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	217	100¢	$216	0x38c22d…
04-14 15:45:29	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	245	99¢	$244	0xaf7b65…
04-14 13:23:27	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	245	100¢	$244	0x3af2dc…
04-13 17:38:17	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	195	100¢	$194	0x39623e…
04-13 12:52:09	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	195	100¢	$194	0x560e5f…
04-13 12:51:49	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	243	100¢	$243	0x767929…
04-13 10:12:31	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	243	100¢	$243	0x6faacb…
04-11 21:52:53	Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	171	99¢	$170	0xf4df90…
04-11 18:35:23	Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	171	100¢	$170	0xd7d94d…
04-11 18:35:05	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	195	100¢	$195	0xb3b87b…
04-10 16:41:41	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	195	100¢	$195	0xd49f13…
04-08 11:02:27	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	221	99¢	$220	0x55a2af…
04-08 07:33:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	221	99¢	$220	0x8eca4b…
04-08 03:16:09	will wyndham clark win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	176	100¢	$175	0x3f954b…
04-07 21:39:17	will wyndham clark win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	176	100¢	$175	0x542549…
04-07 10:04:59	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	No	SELL	186	100¢	$185	0x5d2ff8…
04-07 08:31:25	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	No	BUY	186	100¢	$185	0xe29acc…
04-06 13:17:01	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	191	100¢	$191	0x47f428…
04-06 02:57:11	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	191	100¢	$191	0xc17f0f…
04-03 19:38:39	will zach johnson win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	203	100¢	$203	0x805395…
04-03 16:01:09	will zach johnson win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	203	100¢	$203	0x0931a7…
04-01 19:11:57	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	249	99¢	$248	0x8a7355…
04-01 15:21:43	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	249	100¢	$248	0x3a6ee6…
03-31 11:26:25	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x8ad53f…
03-30 15:33:29	will ethereum dip to 1600 in march 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xcd3725…
03-30 12:15:16	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	181	100¢	$181	0x5a888e…
03-30 08:25:46	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	181	100¢	$181	0xadff40…
03-30 04:38:14	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	SELL	194	100¢	$194	0x6e1524…
03-30 04:32:54	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	BUY	194	100¢	$194	0xead332…
03-29 20:52:22	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	217	100¢	$216	0x9813ad…
03-29 16:56:34	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	217	100¢	$216	0xed86b9…
03-28 20:58:20	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	260	100¢	$259	0x54e691…
03-28 13:39:39	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	260	100¢	$259	0x28a168…
03-27 14:01:49	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	No	SELL	240	100¢	$240	0x048c2e…
03-27 13:47:43	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	No	BUY	240	100¢	$240	0x53bf6e…
03-26 19:16:47	will billy horschel win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	237	100¢	$236	0xc94ef1…
03-26 13:01:31	will billy horschel win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	237	100¢	$236	0x5229b0…
03-26 06:47:25	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	227	100¢	$227	0xc6aa7f…
03-26 00:33:35	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	227	100¢	$227	0x187d99…
03-26 00:33:11	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	218	99¢	$217	0x61e430…
03-25 21:17:07	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	218	100¢	$217	0xf8224a…
03-25 18:09:11	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	206	99¢	$205	0x43f105…
03-25 17:16:27	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	206	100¢	$205	0x568da8…
03-25 12:02:03	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	204	100¢	$203	0x4cd68c…
03-25 09:47:47	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	204	100¢	$203	0xa3e6cd…
03-25 05:52:19	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	182	100¢	$182	0x85a02b…
03-24 23:41:53	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	182	100¢	$182	0xb634ea…
03-24 17:20:17	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	187	100¢	$186	0x917eee…
03-24 11:01:47	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	187	100¢	$186	0x6180fb…
03-24 04:49:17	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	245	100¢	$244	0x41f586…
03-23 22:40:43	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	245	100¢	$244	0x927cdb…
03-23 16:30:41	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	SELL	186	100¢	$186	0xdb269d…
03-23 10:19:31	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	186	100¢	$186	0xe7b50b…
03-23 04:13:41	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	231	100¢	$231	0xb83b3d…
03-22 22:02:41	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	231	100¢	$231	0x784bcd…
03-21 21:14:09	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	245	100¢	$245	0x5eab67…
03-20 23:33:33	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	245	100¢	$245	0x1ee314…
03-19 10:02:13	will billy horschel win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	255	100¢	$254	0x9c0297…
03-19 02:27:35	will billy horschel win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	255	100¢	$254	0xefae7c…
03-18 18:47:31	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	233	100¢	$233	0x1daea3…
03-18 11:07:37	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	233	100¢	$233	0x5a47f4…
03-18 11:07:23	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	196	100¢	$196	0xa0512e…
03-18 03:36:09	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	196	100¢	$196	0x7ee6ae…
03-14 04:48:39	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	SELL	207	100¢	$207	0x006b15…
03-13 22:17:49	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	BUY	207	100¢	$207	0xf2e5d3…
03-12 21:10:05	nba bkn atl 2026 03 12	Hawks	BUY	54	91¢	$49	0x27d6a8…
03-12 21:09:37	nba mil mia 2026 03 12	Bucks	BUY	47	31¢	$15	0x33be97…
03-12 21:09:09	nba was orl 2026 03 12	Wizards	BUY	41	11¢	$4	0x89e46c…
03-12 11:32:19	Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	230	100¢	$230	0x03e532…
03-12 03:57:17	Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	230	100¢	$230	0x303e1c…
03-08 19:49:49	will the price of ethereum be less than 1600 on march 9	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xa36e49…
03-07 16:26:29	will bitcoin reach 78k march 2 8	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x921c24…
03-07 16:26:13	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	258	100¢	$258	0x3450a8…
03-06 06:25:19	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	258	100¢	$258	0x6e98ba…
03-05 08:44:59	Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	263	100¢	$263	0x85b709…
03-05 01:44:47	Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	263	100¢	$263	0xae6021…
03-04 18:24:21	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	256	100¢	$255	0x08b5db…
03-04 11:16:33	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	256	100¢	$255	0x5549ff…
03-03 23:29:21	nba nop lal 2026 03 03	Lakers	BUY	46	76¢	$35	0x5ed092…
03-03 23:28:51	nba was orl 2026 03 03	Wizards	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x330489…
03-03 14:16:17	nba sas phi 2026 03 03	Spurs	BUY	33	73¢	$24	0x7613fe…
03-03 14:15:49	nba mem min 2026 03 03	Timberwolves	BUY	37	87¢	$32	0xb2b46f…
03-03 05:28:05	Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	214	100¢	$214	0x9fb2e0…
03-02 22:54:09	Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	214	100¢	$214	0x3b6eb5…
03-02 07:07:13	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	240	100¢	$240	0xbbd2f1…
03-01 15:15:13	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	240	100¢	$240	0x45fc4c…
03-01 03:12:21	Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	186	100¢	$185	0x039915…
02-28 22:25:33	Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	186	100¢	$186	0x82d5c7…
02-28 16:52:51	Fabric FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	130	99¢	$128	0x924293…
02-28 10:03:59	Fabric FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	130	99¢	$129	0xcf6727…
02-28 10:03:43	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	203	100¢	$203	0x6e8a6c…
02-28 02:10:47	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	203	100¢	$203	0xeb6b6b…
02-26 18:30:18	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	211	100¢	$210	0xbc83f0…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	47	$10.7K	10,205	04-27 02:24
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	45	$49.6K	703	04-27 23:42
Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9	38	$264.3K	3,724	03-13 01:55
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	37	$82.3K	1,518	04-28 13:34
Spirited-Motion 0x70b6…aa2f	37	$1.46K	1,338	04-12 06:28
Hideous-Register 0x458c…c504	36	$36.1K	1,120	04-30 16:13
Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf	34	$361.4K	8,008	04-27 18:23
Real-Veteran 0xe8dd…ec86	33	$4.33M	61,199	04-28 09:54