Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$180

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

104

lifetime

Volume

$201.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.94K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 06-06 19:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

44% — —

Politics

33% 100% +$180

Crypto

23% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	16	$31.7K	17,000	17,000	+0	open	—	05-06 19:34
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	2	$26.2K	13,600	13,600	+0	open	—	04-14 11:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	3	$23.3K	14,000	14,000	+0	open	—	06-06 19:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	19	$19.1K	11,290	11,290	+0	open	—	05-27 14:50
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	3	$19.0K	20,534	0	+20,534	open	—	04-17 01:07
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	7	$15.5K	18,696	0	+18,696	open	—	05-22 02:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	5	$15.4K	8,000	8,000	+0	open	—	05-20 11:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	2	$11.6K	6,000	6,000	+0	No	+$78	05-07 22:26
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	2	$9.7K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	05-18 10:49
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	2	$8.0K	4,069	4,069	+0	open	—	05-17 11:15
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	2	$6.1K	3,087	3,087	+0	open	—	05-16 10:32
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	11	$5.7K	3,400	3,400	+0	No	+$102	05-05 18:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	19	$3.3K	1,700	1,700	+0	open	—	05-20 02:39
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	7	$2.9K	6,030	6,030	+0	open	—	05-19 20:53
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	3	$2.0K	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	05-08 01:34
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	1	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	05-21 23:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 19:00:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	7,000	86¢	$6,020	0x77cbc5…
06-03 23:50:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	7,000	85¢	$5,950	0x0af0cf…
06-03 20:28:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	14,000	81¢	$11,340	0x5f7374…
05-27 14:50:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	261	81¢	$211	0xaaf808…
05-27 14:50:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x7b8a91…
05-27 14:49:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	24	81¢	$19	0x8146a1…
05-27 01:36:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	236	75¢	$177	0x328bae…
05-27 01:35:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	75¢	$6	0x11789a…
05-27 01:32:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0xcb2e17…
05-27 01:28:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	39	75¢	$29	0x1142a1…
05-22 02:34:51	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	2,880	92¢	$2,650	0xa8b862…
05-21 23:15:53	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	No	BUY	2,000	98¢	$1,962	0x8f574e…
05-21 02:04:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3,003	81¢	$2,433	0x61d97b…
05-21 00:23:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	79¢	$10	0xfaecdc…
05-21 00:20:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0xa5b6ca…
05-21 00:19:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	886	79¢	$700	0x989d90…
05-21 00:17:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	79¢	$790	0xa2a84e…
05-21 00:17:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	79¢	$79	0xe9d952…
05-21 00:16:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	79¢	$79	0x9dbc8e…
05-21 00:09:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0xeced2f…
05-21 00:08:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	888	79¢	$701	0x858c7f…
05-20 23:44:04	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	10,693	93¢	$9,900	0x3b08e6…
05-20 11:58:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	8,000	97¢	$7,720	0x049e5c…
05-20 02:39:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	1,375	98¢	$1,349	0x7c75c7…
05-20 02:39:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0x95cfae…
05-20 02:38:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x5b2e26…
05-20 02:38:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2acb31…
05-20 02:35:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	131	98¢	$128	0x17c78a…
05-20 02:35:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x6fd2c6…
05-20 02:35:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x987711…
05-20 02:35:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xebfb40…
05-20 02:33:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	31	98¢	$30	0x6824c4…
05-20 02:23:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	31	98¢	$30	0x56af07…
05-20 02:22:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x1c3243…
05-20 02:21:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xdeb0f9…
05-20 02:17:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xb9f45e…
05-20 02:16:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1ecf21…
05-20 02:16:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd45baa…
05-19 22:47:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	1,166	98¢	$1,138	0x566121…
05-19 21:43:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	210	98¢	$205	0x63f9eb…
05-19 21:34:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0xbdeafb…
05-19 21:21:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	270	98¢	$264	0x55c18d…
05-19 20:53:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	2,726	16¢	$436	0x7a9e68…
05-19 20:43:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	12	16¢	$2	0x4f4d22…
05-19 20:40:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	3,293	16¢	$527	0xcbcf92…
05-18 11:41:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6,000	92¢	$5,520	0x1ac294…
05-18 11:38:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	5,009	96¢	$4,813	0x5111d5…
05-18 11:37:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0x6a55ea…
05-18 11:36:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	103	96¢	$99	0xd566b0…
05-18 11:35:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	2,837	96¢	$2,727	0x3c58ea…
05-18 10:49:15	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	SELL	5,000	99¢	$4,960	0xfa4ecb…
05-17 11:15:31	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	No	SELL	4,069	99¢	$4,045	0x2ee304…
05-16 10:32:30	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	3,087	99¢	$3,056	0x85f2b2…
05-14 15:53:08	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	774	48¢	$372	0xb52bdb…
05-14 15:52:57	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	662	48¢	$318	0xaf7344…
05-14 15:52:54	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	559	48¢	$268	0xe4150c…
05-14 15:00:24	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xbb0efd…
05-13 23:40:13	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	3,123	64¢	$2,000	0x35a397…
05-12 14:27:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5,000	84¢	$4,200	0x8a696a…
05-12 01:25:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	82¢	$4,100	0x70ee02…
05-11 17:23:54	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	BUY	5,000	94¢	$4,725	0x37b912…
05-08 01:34:12	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	2,396	82¢	$1,965	0x0fc651…
05-08 01:19:16	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0xa7d372…
05-08 00:10:28	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	96	82¢	$78	0x479b82…
05-07 22:26:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	6,000	97¢	$5,820	0x46dc8b…
05-07 22:03:25	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	No	BUY	4,069	98¢	$4,000	0xee2fca…
05-07 22:02:57	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	3,087	97¢	$3,000	0x58da56…
05-07 22:00:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	6,000	96¢	$5,742	0xd09847…
05-06 19:34:35	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	15,387	94¢	$14,494	0x5dbb4b…
05-06 11:03:20	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	806	96¢	$774	0xa7b7d2…
05-06 10:56:22	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	807	96¢	$775	0x2181c5…
05-05 18:01:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	1,432	85¢	$1,217	0xeb28fb…
05-05 18:01:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x17fa4b…
05-05 18:00:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	140	85¢	$119	0xea3045…
05-05 17:59:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	100	85¢	$85	0x18dd34…
05-05 17:59:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	500	85¢	$425	0x648d4e…
05-05 17:57:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	4	85¢	$3	0x609809…
05-05 17:54:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	1,200	85¢	$1,020	0x64e2d5…
05-05 17:44:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0x7af8e0…
05-05 17:42:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x163db5…
05-05 14:19:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	243	82¢	$199	0xf8fae6…
05-05 14:19:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	3,157	82¢	$2,589	0xcb3942…
05-04 03:25:40	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x1ccc1d…
05-04 03:20:20	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x617e63…
05-04 03:19:48	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xf5c7ef…
05-04 03:19:04	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0xbb52a5…
05-04 03:18:42	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	120	92¢	$110	0xb641e8…
05-04 03:17:46	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	1,000	92¢	$920	0xbce8fc…
05-04 00:44:48	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0x91e778…
05-04 00:25:10	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	12,920	92¢	$11,886	0x8d9bd2…
05-03 22:53:54	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	868	92¢	$799	0x866091…
05-03 22:51:42	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	155	92¢	$143	0x0ce573…
05-03 22:49:26	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x84e7d0…
05-03 22:26:56	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	1,370	92¢	$1,261	0xc4091e…
05-03 22:26:56	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	0	92¢	$0	0x09fcb3…
05-02 21:37:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	643	32¢	$206	0xf8a338…
05-02 21:37:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	23	32¢	$7	0x23226f…
05-02 21:37:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	2,334	32¢	$747	0x2cac84…
05-01 22:51:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	3,030	33¢	$1,000	0x86f1ab…
04-17 01:07:34	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	48	97¢	$46	0x371735…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	16	$326.2K	4,451	06-08 12:37
Impish-Revenge 0x744c…e37f	15	$1.04M	1,371	06-09 10:43
Required-Jellyfish 0xdae3…0863	14	$52.8K	2,271	06-01 10:53
Quirky-Parenthesis 0x5a89…c186	14	$44.5K	2,304	06-01 10:53
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	14	$22.5K	245	06-08 23:32
Edible-Lot 0x635d…5025	14	$17.7K	282	05-30 14:32
Buzzing-Trophy 0xeb54…d452	14	$5.04K	382	05-30 11:57
(anonymous) 0x238f…3015	14	$1.10K	832	05-31 00:57