Untried-Colonialism — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$15.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$163

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-13

last 04-30 09:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

51% 0% $-1

Sports

32% — —

Crypto

15% — —

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	6	$1.3K	655	655	+0	No	$-1	04-14 20:20
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	4	$908	456	456	+0	open	—	04-12 13:06
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$864	432	432	+0	open	—	02-25 13:30
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$862	431	431	+0	open	—	03-15 09:30
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$860	431	431	+0	open	—	03-19 20:37
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$832	417	417	+0	open	—	04-08 14:17
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	2	$510	256	256	+0	No	$-0	03-25 03:45
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	2	$506	253	253	+0	open	—	03-26 13:23
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$478	239	239	+0	open	—	04-14 11:40
will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	2	$468	234	234	+0	open	—	03-30 04:38
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$464	232	232	+0	open	—	04-16 01:29
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$464	233	233	+0	open	—	03-30 04:16
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$452	227	227	+0	open	—	03-03 14:33
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	2	$446	223	223	+0	open	—	02-13 21:25
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$442	221	221	+0	open	—	04-12 03:22
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$440	221	221	+0	No	$-0	03-29 19:40
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$436	218	218	+0	open	—	03-13 18:15
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$408	205	205	+0	open	—	04-08 21:14
will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	2	$396	198	198	+0	open	—	03-27 20:02
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	2	$392	197	197	+0	open	—	03-12 22:33
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$384	193	193	+0	No	$-0	04-02 21:20
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$384	192	192	+0	open	—	04-07 03:47
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$378	189	189	+0	open	—	04-07 10:11
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	2	$366	184	184	+0	open	—	03-25 10:26
Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$362	181	181	+0	open	—	02-22 21:00
will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	2	$358	179	179	+0	open	—	03-17 14:42
will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	2	$348	174	174	+0	open	—	03-26 20:09
Will the Vancouver Canucks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	3	$289	145	145	+0	open	—	02-27 00:06
nba ind lac 2026 03 04	1	$44	51	0	+51	open	—	03-04 22:18
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$43	43	0	+43	open	—	03-05 14:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-30 09:12:56	Will Solana dip to $70 in April?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x56eb21…
04-28 22:12:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x55adae…
04-16 01:29:10	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	232	100¢	$232	0xc14371…
04-15 15:42:40	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	232	100¢	$232	0x8ade11…
04-14 20:20:20	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	189	100¢	$189	0x125638…
04-14 16:50:50	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	189	100¢	$189	0x0e0339…
04-14 11:40:39	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	239	100¢	$239	0x35e9f0…
04-14 02:30:39	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	239	100¢	$239	0x38775e…
04-12 13:06:59	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	214	100¢	$213	0x4bedc4…
04-12 07:42:07	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	214	100¢	$213	0x2db47b…
04-12 03:22:47	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	221	100¢	$221	0xb3918d…
04-11 22:53:57	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	221	100¢	$221	0x3f187e…
04-08 21:14:53	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	205	99¢	$204	0x0aa267…
04-08 18:12:31	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	205	99¢	$204	0xf1ccf8…
04-08 14:17:39	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	198	100¢	$197	0xd6ec00…
04-08 11:05:33	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	198	100¢	$197	0xd69f3f…
04-07 10:11:55	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	189	100¢	$189	0xafe7db…
04-07 08:17:27	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	189	100¢	$189	0xa89875…
04-07 03:47:57	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	192	100¢	$192	0x8e90d6…
04-07 01:28:03	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	192	100¢	$192	0x3538ed…
04-03 08:56:53	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	242	100¢	$241	0x3136ed…
04-03 07:22:47	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	242	100¢	$241	0xef5ec4…
04-02 21:20:17	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	193	100¢	$192	0xdddb1f…
04-02 17:23:41	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	193	100¢	$192	0x32ba4a…
04-01 18:44:37	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	250	100¢	$250	0xed86a5…
04-01 14:25:59	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	251	100¢	$250	0xe824c5…
04-01 10:02:21	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	220	99¢	$219	0x157735…
04-01 05:39:09	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	220	100¢	$219	0xca4ffe…
03-30 04:38:14	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	SELL	234	100¢	$234	0x6e1524…
03-30 04:17:08	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	BUY	234	100¢	$234	0x4de540…
03-30 04:16:50	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	233	100¢	$232	0x506f54…
03-30 00:01:28	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	233	100¢	$232	0xdf4788…
03-29 19:40:08	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	221	100¢	$220	0xddd925…
03-29 15:18:26	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	221	100¢	$220	0x87f314…
03-27 20:02:25	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	SELL	198	100¢	$198	0xc0552a…
03-27 16:06:37	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	BUY	198	100¢	$198	0x18d863…
03-26 20:09:21	will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	No	SELL	174	100¢	$174	0x76c614…
03-26 13:24:01	will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	No	BUY	174	100¢	$174	0x389874…
03-26 13:23:47	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	SELL	253	100¢	$253	0x56809a…
03-26 06:40:47	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	253	100¢	$253	0x4ee2ec…
03-25 10:26:17	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	184	100¢	$183	0x1bdb5c…
03-25 03:45:49	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	184	100¢	$183	0xfe5e96…
03-25 03:45:31	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	256	100¢	$255	0x391d61…
03-24 20:54:31	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	256	100¢	$255	0x59651f…
03-24 00:47:27	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	215	100¢	$215	0xe4e6a5…
03-23 18:06:05	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	215	100¢	$215	0x4e8210…
03-19 20:37:37	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	247	100¢	$247	0xb83dea…
03-19 13:52:19	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	247	100¢	$247	0x7fd5d2…
03-18 04:18:27	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	183	100¢	$183	0x0c4557…
03-17 21:27:05	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	183	100¢	$183	0xcfed90…
03-17 14:42:59	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	No	SELL	179	100¢	$179	0x495ec2…
03-17 08:02:39	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	No	BUY	179	100¢	$179	0xf2237e…
03-15 09:30:19	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	225	100¢	$225	0xaa89f4…
03-15 02:50:39	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	225	100¢	$225	0x9a2cd2…
03-13 18:15:19	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	218	100¢	$218	0x01e8e2…
03-13 09:46:29	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	218	100¢	$218	0x3c0b11…
03-12 22:34:53	nba chi lal 2026 03 12	Bulls	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x26d96d…
03-12 22:34:27	nba den sas 2026 03 12	Spurs	BUY	31	63¢	$19	0x29516e…
03-12 22:33:53	nba bos okc 2026 03 12	Thunder	BUY	33	72¢	$24	0xa51cfd…
03-12 22:33:31	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	197	100¢	$196	0x654042…
03-12 16:40:37	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	197	100¢	$196	0xdb2b8f…
03-12 02:22:17	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	206	100¢	$206	0xbc7d2c…
03-11 20:37:45	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	206	100¢	$206	0xa42658…
03-10 18:45:51	nba dal atl 2026 03 10	Mavericks	BUY	37	22¢	$8	0x8dfb05…
03-10 18:45:21	nba cha por 2026 03 10	Hornets	BUY	29	59¢	$17	0xf0438b…
03-10 18:44:49	nba tor hou 2026 03 10	Rockets	BUY	42	65¢	$27	0xde03dc…
03-07 13:34:05	nba lac mem 2026 03 07	Grizzlies	BUY	28	31¢	$9	0xb0c9fb…
03-07 13:33:33	nba gsw okc 2026 03 07	Thunder	BUY	32	87¢	$28	0x51169b…
03-05 14:27:21	Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x463b40…
03-04 22:18:43	nba ind lac 2026 03 04	Clippers	BUY	51	87¢	$44	0x52462d…
03-04 22:18:11	nba uta phi 2026 03 04	76ers	BUY	25	76¢	$19	0x0f81a7…
03-04 22:17:41	nba por mem 2026 03 04	Trail Blazers	BUY	33	80¢	$26	0x10174e…
03-03 23:41:27	nba nop lal 2026 03 03	Lakers	BUY	45	76¢	$34	0x6d624e…
03-03 14:34:05	nba bkn mia 2026 03 03	Heat	BUY	36	86¢	$31	0x8f4658…
03-03 14:33:47	nba sas phi 2026 03 03	Spurs	BUY	36	73¢	$26	0x5ff4c4…
03-03 14:33:09	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	227	100¢	$226	0x72fd31…
03-03 05:29:25	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	227	100¢	$226	0xb41068…
02-27 00:06:04	Will the Vancouver Canucks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	145	100¢	$145	0x324699…
02-26 11:55:42	Will the Vancouver Canucks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$129	0x9de817…
02-26 11:47:26	Will the Vancouver Canucks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xcda40c…
02-25 13:30:50	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	190	100¢	$190	0x558643…
02-24 22:54:46	EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xcad28a…
02-24 22:54:22	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x5b63b8…
02-24 19:39:30	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0xa20d01…
02-22 21:01:28	Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x012c35…
02-22 21:01:04	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xf7875a…
02-22 21:00:38	Fabric FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x338927…
02-22 21:00:20	Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	181	100¢	$181	0x7a1494…
02-21 19:39:14	Fabric FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x72793a…
02-21 00:27:06	Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	181	100¢	$181	0x5e5195…
02-14 07:27:09	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	242	100¢	$242	0xb2d2e4…
02-13 21:25:37	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	242	100¢	$242	0x8d4634…
02-13 21:25:19	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	223	100¢	$223	0xb21b5d…
02-13 10:12:49	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	223	100¢	$223	0x9cc2bd…