Foolish-Median — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

19.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$14.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$160

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 04-19 16:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

64% 20% $-1

Sports

27% — —

Politics

6% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$946	474	474	+0	No	$-0	04-02 12:35
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$872	438	438	+0	open	—	03-31 10:27
Will Oviedo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$838	419	419	+0	open	—	02-13 05:31
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$734	368	368	+0	open	—	04-04 20:03
will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	4	$706	354	354	+0	open	—	03-07 16:06
Will Osasuna win the 2025–26 La Liga?	3	$517	334	183	+151	open	—	03-03 05:07
Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$484	242	242	+0	No	+$0	04-03 13:07
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	2	$474	237	237	+0	open	—	03-15 14:11
Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$464	232	232	+0	open	—	03-02 09:18
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	2	$446	224	224	+0	open	—	04-12 22:50
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$440	221	221	+0	open	—	03-29 17:02
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	2	$432	216	216	+0	open	—	03-16 09:15
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	2	$429	215	215	+0	open	—	02-21 04:01
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$424	213	213	+0	open	—	04-11 19:13
Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$410	205	205	+0	open	—	03-17 10:59
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	2	$408	205	205	+0	open	—	04-06 16:07
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	2	$408	204	204	+0	No	$-0	04-13 06:10
will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	2	$406	203	203	+0	open	—	03-14 00:33
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	2	$400	201	201	+0	open	—	04-07 22:08
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	2	$394	197	197	+0	open	—	02-17 22:56
Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$382	191	191	+0	open	—	02-11 23:26
will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	2	$362	181	181	+0	open	—	03-14 19:18
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$362	181	181	+0	open	—	04-13 15:23
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	2	$352	177	177	+0	No	$-0	03-29 08:27
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$338	169	169	+0	open	—	03-18 06:02
Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$336	168	168	+0	open	—	02-15 04:34
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$330	165	165	+0	open	—	04-19 16:12
will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$320	160	160	+0	open	—	03-17 23:45
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$318	159	159	+0	open	—	03-28 23:03
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$264	133	133	+0	No	$-0	04-01 03:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-19 16:12:40	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	165	100¢	$165	0x5c2313…
04-19 14:30:10	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0xf01c74…
04-13 15:23:59	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	181	100¢	$181	0x9ab90c…
04-13 10:47:05	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	181	100¢	$181	0x4c16b1…
04-13 06:10:39	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	204	100¢	$204	0x39363a…
04-13 04:41:15	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	204	100¢	$204	0x1ed53b…
04-12 22:50:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	SELL	224	100¢	$223	0x6fc9d3…
04-12 18:00:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	224	100¢	$223	0xf5c96b…
04-11 19:13:15	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	213	100¢	$212	0x9cfdba…
04-10 09:31:35	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	213	100¢	$212	0xfc8448…
04-07 22:08:03	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	201	99¢	$200	0xe1922a…
04-07 18:37:43	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0xaa401a…
04-06 16:07:17	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	205	100¢	$204	0x0e0f52…
04-06 14:05:13	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	205	100¢	$204	0x6fd0e7…
04-04 20:03:13	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	174	100¢	$173	0xa7766a…
04-04 11:32:13	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	174	100¢	$173	0xa80e12…
04-03 17:58:29	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	195	100¢	$194	0x6174b9…
04-03 16:03:27	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	195	100¢	$194	0xdf38bd…
04-03 13:07:51	Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	242	100¢	$242	0x0bc8bd…
04-03 07:35:37	Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	242	100¢	$242	0xc849ee…
04-02 12:35:21	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	249	99¢	$248	0x99056f…
04-02 05:24:03	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	249	100¢	$248	0xc9274d…
04-01 03:49:47	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	133	99¢	$132	0x3cc61a…
03-31 23:26:35	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	133	100¢	$132	0x3e2031…
03-31 14:20:17	EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x68f9d6…
03-31 10:28:07	will solana dip to 70 in march 2026	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x7e829b…
03-31 10:27:51	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	229	100¢	$228	0x1e8937…
03-31 05:18:11	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	229	100¢	$228	0x3d637c…
03-30 19:09:45	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	209	100¢	$208	0x8ca589…
03-30 10:17:00	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	209	100¢	$208	0x0aa8a3…
03-29 17:02:06	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	221	100¢	$220	0xe53b35…
03-29 12:43:00	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	221	100¢	$220	0xb1af38…
03-29 08:27:12	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	177	100¢	$176	0x82cd20…
03-29 04:11:08	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	177	100¢	$176	0xff2281…
03-28 23:03:54	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	159	100¢	$159	0x7b3a42…
03-28 18:46:49	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	159	100¢	$159	0x33ae78…
03-18 06:02:05	Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	169	100¢	$169	0x16e78d…
03-17 23:45:33	Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	169	100¢	$169	0xc5d7e5…
03-17 23:45:15	will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	160	100¢	$160	0x7db26b…
03-17 17:21:49	will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0x561a0d…
03-17 10:59:31	Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	205	100¢	$205	0xd31f8c…
03-17 04:32:25	Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	205	100¢	$205	0xc860e5…
03-16 09:15:09	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	SELL	216	100¢	$216	0x18fd8a…
03-16 02:53:07	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	BUY	216	100¢	$216	0x4ceafb…
03-15 14:11:01	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	237	100¢	$237	0x58374d…
03-15 07:53:43	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	237	100¢	$237	0xee08d3…
03-14 19:18:13	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	No	SELL	181	100¢	$181	0x512511…
03-14 13:02:03	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	No	BUY	181	100¢	$181	0xefe8ce…
03-14 00:33:51	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	No	SELL	203	100¢	$203	0x8e5c37…
03-13 18:21:17	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	No	BUY	203	100¢	$203	0xe9bcaf…
03-12 04:51:47	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	225	100¢	$225	0xef9c59…
03-11 22:40:57	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	225	100¢	$225	0x8076b0…
03-07 16:07:01	will bitcoin reach 78k march 2 8	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xf93e24…
03-07 16:06:45	will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	No	SELL	187	100¢	$187	0x026e9f…
03-06 08:42:45	will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	No	BUY	187	100¢	$187	0x108d82…
03-03 19:55:13	nba okc chi 2026 03 03	Thunder	BUY	44	77¢	$34	0x603bd3…
03-03 19:54:45	nba bkn mia 2026 03 03	Nets	BUY	40	16¢	$6	0xd01f0c…
03-03 19:54:11	nba mem min 2026 03 03	Timberwolves	BUY	33	87¢	$29	0xcc4df2…
03-03 10:40:43	nba was orl 2026 03 03	Magic	BUY	34	90¢	$31	0x393951…
03-03 10:40:13	nba okc chi 2026 03 03	Thunder	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x1e5332…
03-03 10:39:41	nba nyk tor 2026 03 03	Raptors	BUY	31	43¢	$13	0x1ec7c2…
03-03 05:07:15	Will Osasuna win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	183	100¢	$183	0x6966ad…
03-02 19:57:21	Will Osasuna win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	183	100¢	$183	0xda86bf…
03-02 09:20:07	nba den uta 2026 03 02	Jazz	BUY	32	16¢	$5	0x2695be…
03-02 09:19:37	nba hou was 2026 03 02	Wizards	BUY	40	11¢	$4	0xaa7a0a…
03-02 09:19:07	nba bos mil 2026 03 02	Celtics	BUY	39	75¢	$29	0xa35802…
03-02 09:18:43	Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	232	100¢	$232	0x7ba1fd…
03-02 02:14:45	Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	232	100¢	$232	0x2a63f5…
03-01 12:52:05	will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	No	SELL	166	100¢	$166	0x9e7937…
03-01 00:46:05	will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	No	BUY	166	100¢	$166	0x63907e…
02-28 11:16:25	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0xf5e9ab…
02-25 06:13:40	Will Osasuna win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	151	100¢	$151	0x24ddbd…
02-22 19:10:04	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x8d1e83…
02-22 19:09:36	Fabric FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x7910fa…
02-21 21:36:34	nba hou nyk 2026 02 21	Knicks	BUY	14	61¢	$8	0x6b88c4…
02-21 04:01:48	Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	215	100¢	$214	0x3a200f…
02-19 10:47:48	Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	215	100¢	$214	0x3a8a2e…
02-17 22:56:51	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	197	100¢	$197	0x18e65f…
02-15 22:16:47	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	197	100¢	$197	0x4c4203…
02-15 04:34:37	Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	168	100¢	$168	0x4f6c10…
02-14 15:05:23	Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	168	100¢	$168	0x7f9582…
02-13 05:31:23	Will Oviedo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	203	100¢	$203	0x21fc43…
02-12 09:45:03	Will Oviedo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	203	100¢	$203	0x054e25…
02-11 23:26:39	Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	191	100¢	$191	0x75b902…
02-11 14:25:39	Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	191	100¢	$191	0x461626…
02-10 19:27:59	Will Oviedo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	216	100¢	$216	0xac4322…
02-10 09:11:41	Will Oviedo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	216	100¢	$216	0x84de18…
02-09 09:10:25	EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x93afc1…
02-09 09:10:01	Based FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa2f964…
02-09 09:09:39	Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xba8e22…