Roasted-Ruffle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$182

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.3%

Resolved

Trades

2,014

lifetime

Volume

$29.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-27 19:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

50% 35% $-182

Other

48% — —

Politics

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 520 539	11	$1.0K	1,055	1,055	+0	open	—	01-06 14:17
another us government shutdown by february 14	23	$920	1,539	969	+570	open	—	02-15 02:05
bitcoin up or down february 2 10pm et	3	$797	403	403	+0	open	—	02-03 03:45
bitcoin up or down january 23 12pm et	13	$775	400	400	+0	open	—	01-23 17:58
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 90 114	6	$763	870	300	+570	open	—	02-04 16:29
elon musk 48h tweets january 1 january 3 140plus	17	$758	613	249	+364	open	—	01-03 06:40
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 500 519	10	$754	2,065	1,328	+737	open	—	01-02 16:50
elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 190 214	21	$681	629	637	-9	open	—	01-10 15:59
elon musk of tweets february 28 march 2 40 64	8	$653	413	413	+0	open	—	03-02 16:50
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 480 499	4	$649	489	489	+0	open	—	01-02 16:27
bitcoin above 68k on march 3	8	$648	520	520	+0	open	—	03-03 16:39
bitcoin up or down january 19 5pm et	12	$590	300	300	+0	open	—	01-19 22:58
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 380 399	5	$584	295	295	+0	open	—	01-30 16:32
elon musk 48h tweets january 3 january 5 140plus	9	$536	457	131	+326	open	—	01-05 14:52
will bitcoin dip to 60k in february 2026 394 616	16	$468	4,261	261	+4,000	open	—	02-06 03:47
elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 115 139	8	$464	306	306	+0	open	—	01-12 16:46
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	14	$412	670	300	+370	open	—	01-31 04:15
highest temperature in london on january 26 6c	1	$390	400	0	+400	open	—	01-26 23:03
btc updown 15m 1768939200	6	$356	200	200	+0	open	—	01-20 20:08
btc updown 15m 1769541300	8	$347	200	199	+1	open	—	01-27 19:29
will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	3	$339	200	200	+0	open	—	02-25 19:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	9	$319	215	215	+0	open	—	04-26 16:04
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 540 559	3	$307	543	0	+543	open	—	01-06 16:49
elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 165 189	3	$302	291	191	+100	open	—	02-11 16:58
btc updown 15m 1769792400	1	$297	300	0	+300	open	—	01-30 17:12
bitcoin above 72k on march 6	8	$270	200	200	+0	open	—	03-06 03:42
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	5	$263	685	500	+185	open	—	02-03 20:51
btc updown 15m 1769027400	3	$262	311	0	+311	open	—	01-21 20:41
bitcoin above 64k on february 28	7	$247	240	160	+80	open	—	02-28 15:27
elon musk of tweets january 12 january 14 115 139	7	$211	178	274	-95	open	—	01-14 16:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-27 19:20:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	225	15¢	$34	0xb0858a…
05-26 19:02:25	World Championships: Czechia vs. Canada	Czechia	SELL	72	47¢	$34	0xce2291…
05-26 18:24:26	World Championships: Czechia vs. Canada	Czechia	BUY	72	26¢	$19	0x06573c…
05-11 14:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	80	13¢	$10	0x1fc3b3…
05-11 13:51:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	29	60¢	$18	0xd4a1cd…
05-11 13:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x46550d…
05-11 13:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x551cad…
05-11 13:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	59¢	$11	0x13add0…
05-11 13:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	27	27¢	$7	0xfb9a5c…
05-11 13:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	13	27¢	$4	0x9d3644…
05-11 13:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	27¢	$1	0x7e80e6…
05-11 13:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x52690a…
05-11 13:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x468bc6…
05-11 13:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x0fdc71…
05-11 13:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x085e34…
05-11 13:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xa862c2…
05-11 13:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x938cc2…
05-11 13:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x4f02f3…
05-11 13:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xd45e50…
05-11 13:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	130	2¢	$3	0xbc48a8…
05-11 13:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	54	90¢	$48	0x5d1509…
05-11 13:17:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	40	69¢	$28	0x9d9cf1…
05-11 13:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xae3b6b…
05-11 13:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xd4d31c…
05-11 13:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xd8d740…
05-11 13:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x6854a1…
05-11 13:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	24	53¢	$13	0x484fb8…
05-11 13:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x423124…
05-11 13:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xd0e616…
05-11 13:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xd1f4a0…
05-11 13:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xdfdb57…
05-11 13:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	60	10¢	$6	0xb55049…
05-11 13:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	70	9¢	$6	0xedef50…
05-11 12:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	39	85¢	$33	0xe1a0bd…
05-11 12:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	39	72¢	$28	0x680b49…
05-11 12:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0xe02811…
05-11 12:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xc22563…
05-11 12:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0xab2ecd…
05-11 12:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0x889d38…
05-11 12:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x6ff6f7…
05-11 12:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x49cff1…
05-11 12:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	13¢	$0	0x38c320…
05-11 12:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x2c1c48…
05-11 12:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x118346…
05-11 12:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	70	44¢	$31	0xfc1fa7…
05-11 12:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	62¢	$1	0xa9b581…
05-11 12:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	22	62¢	$14	0xa7f539…
05-11 12:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x833e57…
05-11 12:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0x7f51ba…
05-11 12:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	14¢	$2	0xc224b8…
05-11 12:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	61	14¢	$8	0x847018…
05-11 12:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x41f008…
05-11 12:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	18	14¢	$3	0x3751b7…
05-11 12:25:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0x5a9ccb…
05-11 12:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x1a3940…
05-11 12:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe7a94c…
05-11 12:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0xfb2c4e…
05-11 12:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x94e8cd…
05-11 12:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x02253c…
05-11 12:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x236949…
05-11 12:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x449311…
05-11 12:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	40	43¢	$17	0xdc4800…
05-10 23:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x5339e3…
05-10 23:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	24	20¢	$5	0xe6cc9a…
05-10 23:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x8f17ec…
05-10 23:21:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	30¢	$3	0x9a1541…
05-10 23:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xed95bf…
05-10 23:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xeb9322…
05-10 23:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	30¢	$4	0x4ca3f9…
05-10 23:21:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x601b96…
05-10 23:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x3c5b71…
05-10 23:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x0a532a…
05-10 22:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	3¢	$0	0xd53027…
05-10 22:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xe4151f…
05-10 22:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xd837bd…
05-10 22:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xf4417b…
05-10 22:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x871d6e…
05-10 22:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x530f62…
05-10 21:39:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0xb4f88d…
05-10 21:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x5376f6…
05-10 21:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xf764f0…
05-10 21:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xbb8178…
05-10 21:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x4985f8…
05-10 21:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x4869b8…
05-10 21:34:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xf17235…
05-10 21:34:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0xf01090…
05-10 21:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xbd51a1…
05-10 21:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x9d2364…
05-10 21:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x0cdd2d…
05-10 21:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	30	41¢	$12	0x96886f…
05-10 21:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x044955…
05-10 21:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	130	1¢	$1	0x1d6a10…
05-10 20:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0x0e9bed…
05-10 20:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xddff7b…
05-10 20:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x3c0d6b…
05-10 20:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x704308…
05-10 20:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	18	21¢	$4	0x7a45c9…
05-10 20:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x43e712…
05-10 20:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	21¢	$2	0x0a34b2…
05-10 20:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x0adf7f…