Muted-Skyscraper — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.6%

Resolved

Trades

148

lifetime

Volume

$577

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 07-07 17:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

66% — —

Crypto

33% 48% +$1

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	2	$300	462	462	+0	open	—	07-01 17:29
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	1	$55	162	0	+162	open	—	07-06 17:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	4	$16	13	13	+0	open	—	05-14 19:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	3	$13	10	8	+2	open	—	05-15 06:39
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 spread home 1pt5	1	$10	364	0	+364	open	—	07-07 17:53
bnb updown 5m 1781168700	2	$10	64	0	+64	open	—	06-11 09:09
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	05-15 05:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	5	$8	8	6	+2	Down	+$1	05-06 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	6	$7	6	6	+0	Up	$-0	05-07 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	4	$7	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 12:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	4	$7	7	6	+1	Down	+$1	05-06 12:03
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	3	$6	10	4	+6	open	—	05-15 06:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	5	$6	5	4	+1	Up	+$1	05-06 12:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	6	$6	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	3	$6	6	3	+2	Up	$-0	05-06 12:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	5	$6	5	3	+2	open	—	05-14 19:38
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	5	$6	6	4	+2	Up	+$1	05-06 12:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	3	$5	7	3	+4	Down	$-1	05-06 11:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	5	$5	7	4	+2	Up	$-1	05-06 12:59
bnb updown 5m 1781168100	1	$5	500	0	+500	open	—	06-11 09:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	+$2	05-10 11:26
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	5	$5	6	4	+1	Up	$-1	05-06 12:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	4	$5	15	12	+2	open	—	05-14 19:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	6	$5	5	4	+1	Down	$-1	05-06 12:53
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	5	$4	5	4	+1	Down	$-1	05-06 12:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	4	$4	6	1	+5	Up	$-1	05-06 12:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	4	$4	4	2	+2	Down	$-1	05-07 19:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	4	$4	3	3	+1	open	—	05-14 19:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	4	$4	3	3	+1	Up	$-0	05-06 10:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 17:53:28	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	364	3¢	$10	0xa11808…
07-06 17:11:55	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Portugal	BUY	162	34¢	$55	0xc865d7…
07-01 17:29:47	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	DR Congo	SELL	462	52¢	$240	0x269b15…
07-01 15:44:11	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	DR Congo	BUY	462	13¢	$60	0xb2b7ae…
06-11 09:09:09	bnb updown 5m 1781168700	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x8613e4…
06-11 09:05:21	bnb updown 5m 1781168700	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xe2cc54…
06-11 09:00:01	bnb updown 5m 1781168100	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x82afb7…
05-15 06:39:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	8	94¢	$7	0xfc5837…
05-15 06:36:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x2998d1…
05-15 06:36:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x2743cb…
05-15 06:34:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	SELL	4	13¢	$0	0x6a94f0…
05-15 06:32:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb780da…
05-15 06:30:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xf15306…
05-15 05:54:35	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xa805b9…
05-14 20:34:49	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x6d8cc9…
05-14 19:43:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0x775425…
05-14 19:41:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	47¢	$0	0x255901…
05-14 19:40:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x32433c…
05-14 19:38:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe8d9ac…
05-14 19:37:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xbd692b…
05-14 19:35:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x2d763e…
05-14 19:35:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x44796c…
05-14 19:35:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x4ae7b5…
05-14 19:34:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0a9e57…
05-14 19:33:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb597aa…
05-14 19:32:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8d2bf5…
05-14 19:28:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0xfeff36…
05-14 19:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0x38fa84…
05-14 19:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x37cf0b…
05-14 19:25:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xcdff1e…
05-14 19:21:16	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x09fe25…
05-14 19:18:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$1	0xe0c876…
05-14 19:15:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x579afd…
05-14 19:15:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xa1c1bc…
05-14 19:13:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xe5bf5e…
05-14 19:13:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0xacae8e…
05-14 19:11:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x363931…
05-14 19:10:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x6288f3…
05-14 19:09:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x69f438…
05-14 19:09:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	12	13¢	$2	0xd7883d…
05-14 19:07:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x3aa17e…
05-14 19:07:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x8cfffb…
05-14 19:03:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	27¢	$1	0xd7c19b…
05-14 18:59:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x97f17a…
05-14 18:59:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x89aabf…
05-10 11:26:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xa52940…
05-10 11:22:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xef38c2…
05-07 19:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xcd4c0f…
05-07 19:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x142518…
05-07 19:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x374463…
05-07 19:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x40be4f…
05-07 05:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x4e0939…
05-07 05:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0xd60acc…
05-07 05:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xad86d3…
05-07 05:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xb1c255…
05-07 05:44:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x4608db…
05-07 05:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x485651…
05-07 05:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x382dbf…
05-07 05:42:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xe63761…
05-07 05:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x24f4b2…
05-07 05:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xf4eb49…
05-07 05:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x066aec…
05-07 05:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x228568…
05-07 05:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0xde2f2c…
05-07 05:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x727bbb…
05-06 12:59:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$1	0xa50cf3…
05-06 12:58:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x010c31…
05-06 12:57:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0xed1f55…
05-06 12:55:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x875faa…
05-06 12:55:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x3d5f0f…
05-06 12:53:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x4fdc65…
05-06 12:53:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	0	87¢	$0	0x83a068…
05-06 12:53:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0x5f5867…
05-06 12:51:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0xeb2dd7…
05-06 12:50:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xd13a66…
05-06 12:50:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xdade22…
05-06 12:49:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x458058…
05-06 12:49:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0xb12791…
05-06 12:47:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0x0e0791…
05-06 12:45:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xbbb881…
05-06 12:45:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xb31c68…
05-06 12:44:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x5a76aa…
05-06 12:44:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$1	0xd1f110…
05-06 12:43:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	13¢	$0	0xbd6160…
05-06 12:40:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x135d29…
05-06 12:40:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x51af9b…
05-06 12:39:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xb7ccb0…
05-06 12:39:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf04e0d…
05-06 12:37:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0xb20cc5…
05-06 12:36:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x7fc8cd…
05-06 12:36:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x366f09…
05-06 12:34:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xd050cd…
05-06 12:34:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x4662a3…
05-06 12:33:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	72¢	$2	0x6a25b7…
05-06 12:31:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xf8a498…
05-06 12:31:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x883669…
05-06 12:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xbd8aba…
05-06 12:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x2c2581…
05-06 12:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	76¢	$2	0x39a750…
05-06 12:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	25¢	$0	0x4c4073…