Musty-Ascot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$152

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 05-11 14:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 52% $-9

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	4	$22	20	20	+0	Down	+$6	05-08 21:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	5	$17	32	3	+29	Up	$-11	05-08 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	3	$9	18	4	+14	Down	+$10	05-11 14:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	2	$9	6	6	+0	Up	+$3	05-08 21:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$8	20	0	+20	Down	$-8	05-11 14:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	3	$7	81	0	+81	Up	$-7	05-08 21:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	4	$6	11	0	+11	Up	+$5	05-08 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	2	$5	38	38	+0	Up	$-5	05-08 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	3	$5	26	0	+26	Up	$-5	05-08 21:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Up	$-5	05-08 20:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	2	$4	8	0	+8	Up	+$4	05-08 19:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$4	10	0	+10	Up	$-2	05-08 20:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	4	$4	113	0	+113	Down	$-3	05-08 16:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	Down	$-3	05-08 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$3	9	0	+9	Down	$-1	05-08 19:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	Up	+$3	05-08 21:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	Down	$-3	05-08 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	2	$3	5	0	+5	Up	+$2	05-08 16:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Down	+$1	05-08 19:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$2	3	0	+3	Down	$-2	05-08 16:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Up	+$2	05-08 19:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	2	$2	9	0	+9	Down	+$7	05-08 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	Down	+$2	05-08 18:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	2	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	05-08 17:13
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	2	$2	28	28	+0	open	—	05-08 16:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-08 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$1	6	0	+6	Down	$-1	05-08 21:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 8?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	$-1	05-08 16:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	1	$1	50	0	+50	Down	$-1	05-08 16:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	Up	+$4	05-08 21:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 14:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x749908…
05-11 14:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	4	68¢	$3	0x156b3f…
05-11 14:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xed63ba…
05-11 14:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x888d66…
05-11 14:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xb3c4f4…
05-08 21:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xf4269b…
05-08 21:46:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	26¢	$1	0x520fec…
05-08 21:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x28121f…
05-08 21:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xbf4bb3…
05-08 21:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	38	1¢	$0	0x317834…
05-08 21:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x93eeb4…
05-08 21:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x43f3a6…
05-08 21:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x4ed929…
05-08 21:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xb3b25a…
05-08 21:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xb8ff66…
05-08 21:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xc40429…
05-08 21:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	20	67¢	$14	0x615ed9…
05-08 21:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0xc7ea15…
05-08 21:21:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x27cebf…
05-08 21:20:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xe16aa7…
05-08 21:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x2060d2…
05-08 21:18:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xf797fd…
05-08 21:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x01aba2…
05-08 21:12:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xcdc4cf…
05-08 21:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x1120d2…
05-08 21:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x970ac0…
05-08 21:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x615860…
05-08 20:23:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x456eab…
05-08 20:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x376398…
05-08 20:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x8afc66…
05-08 20:02:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0xa22873…
05-08 20:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x760144…
05-08 19:48:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x5e9a01…
05-08 19:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x70e9c9…
05-08 19:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xbd869c…
05-08 19:46:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xcb99ba…
05-08 19:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x62d48b…
05-08 19:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc611af…
05-08 19:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x2d0697…
05-08 19:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x02fbfd…
05-08 19:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x113a3f…
05-08 19:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1857b8…
05-08 19:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x7e28ed…
05-08 19:23:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xff4109…
05-08 19:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x8b5aeb…
05-08 19:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x858175…
05-08 19:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe93327…
05-08 19:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xc3e447…
05-08 18:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x30365b…
05-08 18:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x43a183…
05-08 18:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xfdb54e…
05-08 18:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xe4137e…
05-08 18:51:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x52ee82…
05-08 18:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdcce15…
05-08 17:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xa1e045…
05-08 17:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x462cdf…
05-08 17:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7eb037…
05-08 17:13:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x78e8dc…
05-08 16:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xba1c78…
05-08 16:57:43	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	28	3¢	$1	0x6188be…
05-08 16:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x5ab487…
05-08 16:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x97ae8a…
05-08 16:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xffa7c8…
05-08 16:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x42f957…
05-08 16:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x65fc9b…
05-08 16:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb8c713…
05-08 16:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xff5cd2…
05-08 16:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x505207…
05-08 16:33:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x7d7d5a…
05-08 16:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xc7f391…
05-08 16:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x4cfdb3…
05-08 16:31:40	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xa76b37…
05-08 16:31:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x892e54…