Strong-Vector — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$55

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.56K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 05-28 17:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 55% +$55

Politics

12% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	2	$184	135	135	+0	Up	+$84	05-04 23:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	2	$124	85	85	+0	Up	+$44	05-04 23:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	2	$121	71	71	+0	open	—	05-04 15:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	2	$104	55	55	+0	Down	+$4	05-04 23:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	2	$97	68	68	+0	Up	+$38	05-05 00:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	2	$88	67	67	+0	Up	+$44	05-05 00:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	1	$79	0	203	-203	open	—	05-28 17:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	2	$76	49	49	+0	Down	+$21	05-04 23:10
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$67	35	35	+0	open	—	04-07 16:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	2	$55	29	29	+0	open	—	05-04 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$53	27	27	+0	open	—	05-04 15:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	1	$50	60	0	+60	open	—	05-04 15:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$49	26	26	+0	open	—	05-04 15:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$48	25	25	+0	open	—	05-04 15:29
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	2	$46	207	207	+0	open	—	04-10 18:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	2	$45	431	0	+431	Up	$-45	05-05 00:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	1	$40	129	0	+129	Down	$-40	05-05 00:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$40	145	0	+145	Up	$-40	05-05 00:13
btc updown 5m 1775847600	2	$37	22	22	+1	open	—	04-10 19:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$30	147	0	+147	Up	$-30	05-04 23:52
btc updown 5m 1775847900	2	$27	18	17	+1	open	—	04-10 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$25	61	0	+61	Up	$-25	05-04 23:17
btc updown 5m 1775847300	2	$22	13	13	+0	open	—	04-10 19:00
btc updown 5m 1775847000	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-10 18:56
btc updown 5m 1775848200	1	$10	298	0	+298	open	—	04-10 19:12
btc updown 5m 1775848500	1	$10	31	0	+31	open	—	04-10 19:16
btc updown 5m 1775849100	1	$9	35	0	+35	open	—	04-10 19:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-28 17:50:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	203	39¢	$79	0x8f201f…
05-05 00:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	67	99¢	$66	0x92d29c…
05-05 00:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	67	33¢	$22	0x305615…
05-05 00:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	145	28¢	$40	0x30c68f…
05-05 00:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	129	31¢	$40	0xa7e83b…
05-05 00:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	320	5¢	$15	0x524f22…
05-05 00:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	111	27¢	$30	0x634b49…
05-05 00:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	68	99¢	$67	0xcec930…
05-04 23:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	68	44¢	$30	0x84da14…
05-04 23:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	147	20¢	$30	0x66bb85…
05-04 23:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	135	99¢	$134	0x484943…
05-04 23:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	135	37¢	$50	0x443322…
05-04 23:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	55	99¢	$54	0x0b5395…
05-04 23:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x085988…
05-04 23:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0xca3786…
05-04 23:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	85	99¢	$84	0x9c0407…
05-04 23:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	85	47¢	$40	0x4945c9…
05-04 23:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	49	99¢	$49	0xb82668…
05-04 23:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	49	56¢	$28	0x97e115…
05-04 15:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	SELL	29	99¢	$28	0xedb412…
05-04 15:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	29	94¢	$27	0x1ff361…
05-04 15:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0xf71bfb…
05-04 15:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	27	95¢	$26	0x0d8109…
05-04 15:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	26	99¢	$25	0xe591c9…
05-04 15:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	26	93¢	$24	0xb9d97a…
05-04 15:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x88d457…
05-04 15:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0x32a65f…
05-04 15:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0xfb12d0…
05-04 15:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	71	99¢	$71	0xecfea7…
05-04 15:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0x853fec…
04-10 19:27:17	btc updown 5m 1775849100	Up	BUY	35	26¢	$9	0xfcf352…
04-10 19:16:21	btc updown 5m 1775848500	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x1317d8…
04-10 19:12:21	btc updown 5m 1775848200	Down	BUY	298	3¢	$10	0x4f845c…
04-10 19:09:41	btc updown 5m 1775847900	Down	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x5b8489…
04-10 19:06:37	btc updown 5m 1775847900	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xc23b05…
04-10 19:04:53	btc updown 5m 1775847600	Up	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x31aa37…
04-10 19:01:11	btc updown 5m 1775847600	Up	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0x7bec41…
04-10 19:00:21	btc updown 5m 1775847300	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$12	0xcbec37…
04-10 18:56:57	btc updown 5m 1775847300	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xc1b817…
04-10 18:56:23	btc updown 5m 1775847000	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xb3b230…
04-10 18:54:31	btc updown 5m 1775847000	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x426bef…
04-10 18:53:55	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	SELL	207	6¢	$13	0x0d4f29…
04-07 16:37:47	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	BUY	207	16¢	$33	0x7581d1…
04-07 16:36:37	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	35	94¢	$33	0xca1d61…
04-07 15:08:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0x473d52…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	26	$25.3K	700	06-09 16:57
Svelte-Chicory 0x9412…0cd0	24	$34.9K	3,216	05-05 00:20
(anonymous) 0xf8e3…fd17	24	$20.9K	3,400	05-05 00:19
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	24	$13.3K	958	05-05 00:19
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	24	$9.73K	2,698	05-05 00:19
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	24	$9.71K	1,620	05-05 00:19
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	24	$9.05K	545	05-05 00:19
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	24	$8.09K	1,252	05-05 00:19