Revolving-Dust — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

88.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$377

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-24

last 06-23 11:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

60% 0% $-1

Other

40% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes		+10	$2	12¢	$1	$-1	06-23 11:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	5	$37	24	24	+0	open	—	05-31 18:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$29	16	16	+0	open	—	04-26 11:03
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$25	15	15	+0	open	—	04-15 08:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	3	$24	13	13	+0	open	—	05-01 05:11
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	04-06 19:42
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	1	$13	22	0	+22	open	—	06-09 20:23
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	2	$13	7	7	+0	open	—	06-01 19:59
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	04-25 12:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-19 16:34
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-01 05:12
Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	2	$11	6	6	+0	Yes	+$1	05-08 13:00
US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-01 05:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-14 09:59
will the indian national congress inc win the most seats in the 2026 kerala legislative assembly election	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	04-05 18:13
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$10	477	0	+477	open	—	04-04 19:43
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	04-05 18:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	04-05 18:16
will iran close its airspace by june 9 20260609184136047	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	06-09 20:22
will juan pablo velasco win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 929	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	04-13 17:48
will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	06-09 20:22
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-01 05:13
spx up or down on april 22 2026	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	04-22 19:29
will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	1	$7	9	0	+9	open	—	04-20 17:45
will wti crude oil settle at 90100 on april 8 118	1	$7	8	0	+8	open	—	04-08 16:43
Will the All India N.R. Congress (AINRC) win the most seats in the 2026 Puducherry Legislative Assembly election?	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	04-14 18:37
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	04-08 18:25
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	1	$5	13	0	+13	open	—	03-24 19:13
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	03-24 19:12
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	06-23 11:37
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-15 09:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-23 11:39:10	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x1d1ffe…
06-23 11:37:35	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x531b5d…
06-09 20:23:33	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	22	63¢	$13	0xf92835…
06-09 20:22:22	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x6c381b…
06-09 20:22:13	will iran close its airspace by june 9 20260609184136047	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x2b13f9…
06-01 19:59:31	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xbe9234…
05-31 18:19:26	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	BUY	7	93¢	$6	0x388519…
05-31 18:16:15	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x070cfd…
05-25 17:29:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	17	88¢	$15	0x67c649…
05-19 16:37:41	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xe6f955…
05-19 16:34:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x98508e…
05-15 13:22:23	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xb4f191…
05-14 09:59:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1384c4…
05-08 13:01:41	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0x09808e…
05-08 13:00:14	Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xc339fb…
05-06 14:36:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x9ff739…
05-06 14:35:11	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x277324…
05-01 05:18:44	Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xe0fe72…
05-01 05:17:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x084fd4…
05-01 05:17:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xbf0513…
05-01 05:13:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xbc369e…
05-01 05:12:48	US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7d04b9…
05-01 05:12:34	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x2609eb…
05-01 05:11:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xb88616…
04-26 14:07:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xe25018…
04-26 11:19:46	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xcc722f…
04-26 11:03:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xba6a39…
04-25 12:15:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$6	0xd850db…
04-25 12:10:32	Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	Yes	SELL	7	93¢	$6	0x503783…
04-22 19:31:02	Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xff8d54…
04-22 19:29:12	spx up or down on april 22 2026	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3c2da9…
04-22 08:39:28	US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x60ba69…
04-22 08:38:20	spx up or down on april 22 2026	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xd56b9d…
04-20 17:45:44	will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	Yes	BUY	9	85¢	$7	0x89e293…
04-15 09:03:40	Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x5047ba…
04-15 09:00:06	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xea6654…
04-15 08:51:44	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0xc3eb58…
04-14 18:37:00	Will the All India N.R. Congress (AINRC) win the most seats in the 2026 Puducherry Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x458497…
04-13 17:49:49	will tatiana auguste win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	Yes	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x127809…
04-13 17:48:55	will juan pablo velasco win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 929	Yes	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xdefbeb…
04-08 18:25:09	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x3af31c…
04-08 18:24:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xf57413…
04-08 16:43:45	will wti crude oil settle at 90100 on april 8 118	Yes	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x432640…
04-06 19:46:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	16	85¢	$14	0xe19a69…
04-06 19:42:27	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x8141fb…
04-05 18:16:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xac925c…
04-05 18:13:53	will the indian national congress inc win the most seats in the 2026 kerala legislative assembly election	Yes	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x7eef31…
04-05 18:03:49	Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xf41b73…
04-05 18:01:51	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x0d0b00…
04-05 18:00:55	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x016bbf…
04-04 19:43:19	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	477	2¢	$10	0x757e33…
03-27 16:34:21	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xa5ad78…
03-24 19:15:49	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	1,950	0¢	$4	0xb34c08…
03-24 19:13:19	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0xc06687…
03-24 19:12:47	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x48a41d…
03-24 19:12:21	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x28452e…