Uncomfortable-Collectivization — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$64

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.8%

Resolved

603

Trades

741

lifetime

Volume

$1.80K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 05-13 14:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 48% $-64

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 370 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	2	$10	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 16:36
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	3	$9	15	15	+0	open	—	05-13 14:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	2	$8	15	0	+15	Up	$-8	05-10 19:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	3	$7	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	05-10 20:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	1	$6	12	0	+12	Down	+$6	05-11 21:16
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	2	$6	11	0	+11	Down	$-6	05-12 00:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	1	$6	11	0	+11	Down	$-6	05-12 00:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	1	$6	11	0	+11	Down	$-6	05-11 21:06
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	1	$6	12	0	+12	Up	$-6	05-11 21:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	1	$6	11	0	+11	Up	$-6	05-11 22:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	2	$6	11	0	+11	Up	$-6	05-11 22:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	1	$6	11	0	+11	Down	$-6	05-12 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	1	$6	11	0	+11	Down	$-6	05-12 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	2	$6	11	0	+11	Down	+$6	05-11 23:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	1	$6	11	0	+11	Down	+$6	05-11 23:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	1	$6	11	0	+11	Up	+$6	05-11 23:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Up	$-5	05-11 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Down	+$5	05-11 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Down	$-5	05-12 01:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Down	$-5	05-12 01:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Up	+$5	05-12 04:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	3	$5	11	0	+11	Down	$-5	05-12 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Down	$-5	05-12 04:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Down	$-5	05-11 17:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	3	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$5	05-11 20:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$5	05-12 03:31
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$5	05-12 03:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$5	05-12 06:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$5	05-11 17:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	2	$5	9	0	+9	Up	+$4	05-12 07:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 14:35:51	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15	30¢	$4	0x1d7c42…
05-13 08:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x9e1a25…
05-13 08:05:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x9d6d62…
05-13 08:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xed5f78…
05-13 08:00:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x4af3b1…
05-13 08:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xa0ab2b…
05-13 08:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x420a26…
05-13 08:00:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x36ef1b…
05-13 07:56:12	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xb08ce5…
05-13 07:45:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xcd33d7…
05-13 07:30:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6c7e63…
05-13 07:30:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x60aa00…
05-13 07:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0xa55896…
05-13 07:30:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3f2c4a…
05-13 07:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xc9684e…
05-13 07:27:50	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	32¢	$4	0xe1250d…
05-13 07:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x07cde6…
05-13 06:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xd76526…
05-13 06:48:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0xe842ac…
05-13 06:46:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x289e02…
05-13 06:30:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x919e16…
05-13 06:30:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x9385fc…
05-13 06:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x95ad8d…
05-13 06:15:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf8e9d8…
05-13 06:15:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xa0ca16…
05-13 06:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x55615b…
05-13 06:15:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x35d2e6…
05-13 06:10:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x88e6c7…
05-13 06:05:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xc480cf…
05-13 06:01:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x360f4f…
05-13 05:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x5a1ff3…
05-13 05:46:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0xfa7e5a…
05-13 05:46:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x18e6f6…
05-13 05:40:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd8b14a…
05-13 05:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xda75f6…
05-13 05:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x1616f5…
05-13 05:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x94ce00…
05-13 05:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x554024…
05-13 05:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x4d7a62…
05-13 05:10:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x079ff2…
05-13 05:10:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x02f9c5…
05-13 05:05:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xac85c5…
05-13 05:00:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0xa36086…
05-13 05:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xb370d2…
05-13 05:00:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x6cd445…
05-13 04:56:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x86ab33…
05-13 04:50:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd03c83…
05-13 04:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x445c80…
05-13 04:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc203e6…
05-13 04:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x901fb7…
05-13 04:46:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8edb7d…
05-13 04:46:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x865559…
05-13 04:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x30b0f3…
05-13 04:30:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x96e265…
05-13 04:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0x28f26a…
05-13 04:10:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x9d6a36…
05-13 04:10:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x304fd5…
05-13 04:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1031e9…
05-13 04:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xdac4c4…
05-13 04:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	46¢	$0	0x99520d…
05-13 04:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xfa8d51…
05-13 04:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	0	54¢	$0	0x22cd1a…
05-13 04:00:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xc496c4…
05-13 03:55:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x65fb1c…
05-13 03:55:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x4e873f…
05-13 03:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xa8cc25…
05-13 03:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x321fc1…
05-13 03:50:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x5856a8…
05-13 03:50:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x35468c…
05-13 03:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x2a5ec5…
05-13 03:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x0aaa4f…
05-13 03:46:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xbfde4f…
05-13 03:45:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x0cdb58…
05-13 03:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x8a83b1…
05-13 03:40:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x46fe39…
05-13 03:40:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc1d248…
05-13 03:35:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x39dcb0…
05-13 03:35:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x052c6a…
05-13 03:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xf9c18e…
05-13 03:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x77c624…
05-13 03:30:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x9dd27b…
05-13 03:30:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x467437…
05-13 03:30:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x0e5f2e…
05-13 03:30:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xbb22d4…
05-13 03:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xba5768…
05-13 03:25:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x3b1fac…
05-13 03:20:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xb232db…
05-13 03:15:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0xe8183c…
05-13 03:10:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x928047…
05-13 03:05:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x2696f2…
05-13 03:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x21e318…
05-13 03:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x4ed60b…
05-13 03:00:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x67a6ac…
05-13 03:00:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd9ba18…
05-13 03:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0971cd…
05-13 02:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x691467…
05-13 02:45:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x8c0207…
05-13 02:45:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x64109c…
05-13 02:45:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x78fbf2…
05-13 02:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x479185…