Adored-Snowstorm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

27.0%

Resolved

Trades

183

lifetime

Volume

$434

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 05-27 15:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Politics

47% 100% +$10

Crypto

30% 43% $-5

Other

23% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump cut off trade with spain	2	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	03-13 23:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	3	$21	15	10	+5	Down	$-1	05-07 22:30
us strikes iran by january 11 2026 946	2	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	01-10 19:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	2	$17	12	12	+0	open	—	05-16 05:55
will partido popular pp win the 2026 castilla y len regional election 258	1	$14	15	0	+15	open	—	03-13 23:40
internet access restored in iran by friday	3	$13	7	7	+0	open	—	01-15 19:09
US strike on Cuba by January 31?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	01-10 02:12
will khamenei leave iran by friday	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	01-09 08:09
us forces in venezuela again by january 10 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	01-09 08:16
internet access restored in iran by friday 263	4	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	01-28 22:17
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by february 15	4	$9	20	0	+20	open	—	01-29 14:45
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	4	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	02-28 07:41
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	02-20 11:20
will the us next strike iran before march 2026 et	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	02-20 11:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	5	$6	14	2	+11	open	—	05-20 21:40
US strike on Mexico by January 31?	3	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	01-14 22:03
will israel strike greater beirut on march 7 2026	1	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	03-07 09:51
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	01-10 02:14
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by january 24 671	3	$6	8	0	+8	open	—	01-22 23:41
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	03-07 09:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-17 20:13
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	03-13 23:47
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	03-13 23:45
pakistan x afghanistan ceasefire by march 31	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	02-28 07:44
will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	03-13 23:48
will epstein data set 13 be released by	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	02-05 10:54
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	03-07 09:49
will laure lavalette be the next mayor of toulon	2	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	03-15 22:25
us strikes iraq by february 28	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-20 11:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	05-16 20:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-27 15:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb24a76…
05-27 06:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xe7722b…
05-27 05:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x60dced…
05-23 20:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xb7eb7f…
05-23 17:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x13b851…
05-22 18:02:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x4b1abd…
05-22 18:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xe391e7…
05-22 17:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xfd0f67…
05-21 21:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x27cf59…
05-21 21:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x6b6da6…
05-21 21:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xf871bd…
05-21 20:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x8e1f8b…
05-21 20:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x4c4d90…
05-21 20:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x005d25…
05-21 18:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x78909c…
05-20 21:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x946b97…
05-20 21:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xb1b9e1…
05-20 21:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc32839…
05-20 21:38:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x20ec27…
05-20 21:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xf29474…
05-20 21:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x0df8a1…
05-20 21:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa46892…
05-20 21:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x2184d9…
05-20 21:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x3f5d2a…
05-20 18:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x271ebf…
05-20 17:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xfc9a1a…
05-20 17:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x1a0ceb…
05-20 16:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xf2046f…
05-20 14:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xb2827a…
05-20 06:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x8e9e29…
05-18 16:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xc33ad4…
05-18 16:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xfd5795…
05-18 16:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x0951f6…
05-18 16:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xaa1f5c…
05-18 16:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x82606c…
05-17 20:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2cba36…
05-16 20:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x42521c…
05-16 20:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xc03fd9…
05-16 20:18:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x432574…
05-16 20:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xf20a53…
05-16 06:06:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x97b5e5…
05-16 06:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x725533…
05-16 06:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xcb1d7f…
05-16 05:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x55edde…
05-16 05:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xe464b1…
05-16 05:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xca4df3…
05-16 05:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x1fc9a7…
05-11 14:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xc5d800…
05-11 14:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x238305…
05-11 13:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xb6212a…
05-11 13:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xf468ad…
05-11 13:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x22f4ef…
05-11 12:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x17a3d0…
05-10 22:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x8fc4a0…
05-10 22:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x1386b7…
05-10 21:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x00de99…
05-10 21:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x87d4ea…
05-10 17:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xbfa3a7…
05-10 17:01:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x94dc6f…
05-10 13:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x29ad8d…
05-10 13:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x81aea1…
05-10 13:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xf87107…
05-10 06:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x9a99b0…
05-09 20:41:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xc4acec…
05-08 22:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x825d12…
05-07 22:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x625fba…
05-07 22:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x4e2fc5…
05-07 22:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x130af3…
05-07 22:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x2f775e…
05-07 22:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd8e6bb…
05-07 22:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x88ab55…
05-07 22:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x0c5d9c…
05-07 15:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x0051b4…
05-07 15:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xd492d4…
05-07 14:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x1b23ad…
05-06 21:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd61665…
05-06 20:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x9a10a5…
05-06 17:05:38	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xd2b596…
03-15 22:54:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x5f535e…
03-15 22:53:35	mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xb1c817…
03-15 22:51:53	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x3d153f…
03-15 22:25:27	will laure lavalette be the next mayor of toulon	Yes	SELL	4	35¢	$1	0xa4815e…
03-14 10:21:53	will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xaff5f6…
03-13 23:48:01	will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x7e83ce…
03-13 23:47:15	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x6a1a8c…
03-13 23:46:23	will laure lavalette be the next mayor of toulon	Yes	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x5e03d7…
03-13 23:45:59	Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x73eb22…
03-13 23:43:53	will trump cut off trade with spain	No	SELL	16	97¢	$16	0x3027a3…
03-13 23:42:59	will benot payan win the marseille mayor election	Yes	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x7a5a36…
03-13 23:40:31	will partido popular pp win the 2026 castilla y len regional election 258	Yes	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0xb4e8f9…
03-13 23:37:15	trump approval up or down this week 857	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x4f6c07…
03-13 23:34:11	will trump say hormuz this week march 22	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xba1008…
03-07 09:51:27	will israel strike greater beirut on march 7 2026	Yes	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x345a2f…
03-07 09:50:27	us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xde883f…
03-07 09:49:59	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x315816…
03-07 09:49:35	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x7e3a2d…
03-05 17:20:17	will trump cut off trade with spain	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xb05821…
02-28 22:14:05	will iran strike gulf oil facilities by march 31	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xdf6cf8…
02-28 07:44:07	pakistan x afghanistan ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x6687a9…
02-28 07:41:51	US strike on Cuba by March 31?	No	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x445b99…