Prickly-Ruin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

50.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$120

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-26

last 06-14 08:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

62% — —

Crypto

32% 40% +$2

Tech

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	Yes		+16	$7	47¢	$8	+$1	06-14 08:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	2	$27	18	18	+0	open	—	05-27 13:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$18	29	29	+0	open	—	06-10 18:19
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	2	$16	14	13	+1	open	—	04-14 04:37
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$10	499	0	+499	open	—	04-07 14:54
will russia enter bilytske by february 28	1	$10	111	0	+111	open	—	02-26 04:45
deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	1	$8	20	0	+20	open	—	03-09 16:03
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	1	$7	16	0	+16	open	—	06-14 08:12
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	2	$6	24	22	+1	open	—	04-14 04:37
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on May 29?	4	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	05-30 03:20
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on May 29?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-30 03:21
deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	1	$2	20	0	+20	open	—	03-09 16:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	2	$2	6	0	+6	Down	+$4	05-10 05:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-10 08:46
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-31 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-09 07:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-09 09:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-09 06:33
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on June 1?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	06-01 05:49
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on June 1?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	06-01 05:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-31 15:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 08:12:40	Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	Yes	BUY	16	43¢	$7	0xb0161f…
06-10 18:19:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	29	26¢	$8	0x6652d4…
06-04 16:06:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x0f02f7…
06-01 05:49:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x052b05…
06-01 05:49:38	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xe561fe…
05-31 15:39:43	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x4c9bf1…
05-31 15:39:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xee7649…
05-30 03:21:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on May 29?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x361c62…
05-30 03:20:42	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on May 29?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x87d9e7…
05-29 17:56:20	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on May 29?	Yes	SELL	4	13¢	$0	0xc9a98f…
05-29 17:24:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xfb2ae7…
05-29 17:24:22	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x47e318…
05-29 16:42:57	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x16b33c…
05-27 13:57:04	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	SELL	18	98¢	$17	0x459a9c…
05-18 15:51:07	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xaedbb0…
05-10 08:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xfda8c1…
05-10 05:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x61047d…
05-10 05:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x2f908c…
05-09 09:53:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x913b28…
05-09 07:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x1630aa…
05-09 06:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xdbe43e…
04-14 04:37:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	22	3¢	$1	0x424db6…
04-14 04:37:39	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	13	88¢	$11	0x620571…
04-07 14:54:41	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	499	2¢	$10	0x78d444…
04-02 19:03:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x3bb9a8…
04-02 19:02:53	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x1979d8…
03-09 16:03:17	deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x863294…
03-09 16:02:49	deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xb3a72c…
02-26 04:45:34	will russia enter bilytske by february 28	No	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x2ceb05…